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63S-11N-F-C Jacoby, No Beavers 3-ply XG2 Rollout

Posted By: Taper_Mike
Date: Tuesday, 18 February 2014, at 12:33 p.m.

In Response To: 63S-11N-F-C - XG 4ply/XGR+ Rollout (Stick)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 165
Unlimited Game
Jacoby
pip: 163
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=aa---BCBA---dE-a-c-e----B-:0:0:1:00:0:0:1:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 65.418% (G:22.608% B:1.291%) 65.659% (G:22.853% B:1.322%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 34.582% (G:8.164% B:0.375%) 34.341% (G:8.199% B:0.377%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.4619 +0.9383
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.6919±0.0054 (+0.6865..+0.6973)
Double/Take:+0.6761 (-0.0158)±0.0069 (+0.6692..+0.6830)
Double/Pass:+1.0000 (+0.3081)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 4.7%
Rollout details
10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 10707559
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
 
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 1 hour 24 minutes

Rollout by Igor Erovenko
2013-Mar-09
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10
63S-11N-F-C-j-ie.xgp
[N 692-16] "<=10

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

Mike

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