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63S-11N-F-C Unlimited Games 3-ply XG2 Rollout

Posted By: Taper_Mike
Date: Tuesday, 18 February 2014, at 12:58 p.m.

In Response To: 63S-11N-F-C - XG 4ply/XGR+ Rollout (Stick)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 165
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 163
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=aa---BCBA---dE-a-c-e----B-:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 65.364% (G:22.831% B:1.340%) 65.560% (G:23.008% B:1.338%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 34.636% (G:8.156% B:0.376%) 34.440% (G:8.194% B:0.384%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.4637 +0.9378
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.6920±0.0057 (+0.6864..+0.6977)
Double/Take:+0.6751 (-0.0169)±0.0084 (+0.6667..+0.6835)
Double/Pass:+1.0000 (+0.3080)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 5.0%
Rollout details
10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply
 
Double Decision confidence:99.9%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 1 hour 41 minutes

Rollout by Dmitriy Obukhov
2011-Sep-11
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.xx
63S-11N-F-C-do.xgp
[N 692-17] "<10

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

Mike

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