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62S-62D-51D-53P-63

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Wednesday, 19 February 2014, at 9:32 a.m.

In Response To: Two Tough Plays (53P-52D-62D-63) (Paul Weaver)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 153
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 135
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-Aa--bE-E---bC-b-b-bc---aA:0:0:1:42:0:0:3:0:10

52S-43X-53Z-42@-63R-33O-32T-41P-431-51I-42
White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 151
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 160
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-b----E-D--AcCa--bad--b-B-:0:0:1:63:0:0:3:0:10

62S-62D-51D-53P-63


For the position on the left (with my Nactation sequence in the caption), your rollout result is [H %19 T25 Z66 $119 S185] "<=1***.6. While I can believe that hitting is the best play, I'm skeptical of the margins reported in 1k rollouts, so I'm going to do a longer rollout of the top three moves.

Concerning the originally quoted sequence of 53P-52D-62D-63 for the position on the right, the third roll move evaluates as a clear mistake (62D is -.046 and fourth best). In the subject header (and caption), I am offering a "well-played" sequence (though a roll longer).

For reference, your rollout result for the right-hand position is: [U R49 P64 B84 S112 C271] "<=1****.1.

Nack

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