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OLM 20140310B ROLLOUT

Posted By: Daniel Murphy
Date: Thursday, 13 March 2014, at 4:09 a.m.

In Response To: OLM 20140310B ROLLOUT (Jason Lee)

Unlimited.

Move number 4: Them on roll, cube decision?

Us170

 '2O2X2X '3X1O2X ' ' '2O

2X1X2O '2O2O '2O '2O '2X
Them154
Position ID: bM5gAFrMZsYgGA Match ID: UQkAABAAAAAE

Them doubles

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity +0.5931
Cubeful equities:
1.Double, take +0.8984
2.Double, pass +1.0000 +0.1016
3.No double +0.8717 -0.0267
Proper cube action:Redouble, take
Rollout details
WinW gW bg LoseL gL bgCubelessCubeful
Player Them owns 2-cube0.67460.31200.0352-0.32540.09820.0050 +0.5931 +0.8717
Standard error0.00300.00320.0014-0.00300.00240.0017 0.0083 0.0243
Player Us owns 4-cube0.67110.30320.0330-0.32890.09870.0046 +1.1501 +0.8984
Standard error0.00380.00460.0020-0.00380.00290.0015 0.0216 0.0356
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
269 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 708223732 and quasi-random dice
Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

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