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BGonline.org Forums
OLM 20140310B ROLLOUT
Posted By: Daniel Murphy In Response To: OLM 20140310B ROLLOUT (Jason Lee)
Date: Thursday, 13 March 2014, at 4:09 a.m.
Unlimited.
Move number 4: Them on roll, cube decision?
Us 170
Them 154 Position ID: bM5gAFrMZsYgGA Match ID: UQkAABAAAAAE • Them doubles
Cube decision Rollout cubeless equity +0.5931 Cubeful equities: 1. Double, take +0.8984 2. Double, pass +1.0000 +0.1016 3. No double +0.8717 -0.0267 Proper cube action: Redouble, take Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Player Them owns 2-cube 0.6746 0.3120 0.0352 - 0.3254 0.0982 0.0050 +0.5931 +0.8717 Standard error 0.0030 0.0032 0.0014 - 0.0030 0.0024 0.0017 0.0083 0.0243 Player Us owns 4-cube 0.6711 0.3032 0.0330 - 0.3289 0.0987 0.0046 +1.1501 +0.8984 Standard error 0.0038 0.0046 0.0020 - 0.0038 0.0029 0.0015 0.0216 0.0356 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 269 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 708223732 and quasi-random dice Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
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