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41S-32-C and 41S-32Z at p-2, cube rollouts

Posted By: Dmitriy Obukhov
Date: Thursday, 27 March 2014, at 7:21 a.m.

In Response To: 41S-32-C and 41S-32Z at p-2, cube rollouts (Nack Ballard)

Nack, you used XGR (not XGR++ as you say). This makes a huge difference in rollouts at this score, because XGR cube is a donk here.

Here is my shorter rollout.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 162
2 point match
pip: 167
score: 1

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-aa---E-C---dE--ac-e----B-:0:0:1:32:1:0:0:2:10
Blue to play 32

1.Rollout113/8eq: -1.0000
Player:
Opponent:
45.74% (G:13.35% B:1.41%)
54.26% (G:16.64% B:2.43%)
Conf.: ±0.0042 (-1.0042...-0.9958) - [46.4%]
Duration: 2 hours 08 minutes
2.Rollout113/11 13/10eq: -1.0000
Player:
Opponent:
46.31% (G:14.34% B:1.75%)
53.69% (G:18.62% B:3.17%)
Conf.: ±0.0038 (-1.0038...-0.9962) - [46.4%]
Duration: 2 hours 05 minutes
3.Rollout124/21 13/11eq: -1.0039 (-0.0039)
Player:
Opponent:
47.08% (G:12.86% B:1.17%)
52.92% (G:16.68% B:1.34%)
Conf.: ±0.0049 (-1.0088...-0.9990) - [4.4%]
Duration: 1 hour 56 minutes
4.Rollout124/22 13/10eq: -1.0041 (-0.0041)
Player:
Opponent:
47.15% (G:12.82% B:1.07%)
52.85% (G:16.36% B:1.16%)
Conf.: ±0.0045 (-1.0085...-0.9996) - [2.9%]
Duration: 1 hour 43 minutes
5.Rollout16/1* eq: -1.0147 (-0.0147)
Player:
Opponent:
45.10% (G:12.20% B:0.62%)
54.90% (G:15.97% B:1.35%)
Conf.: ±0.0038 (-1.0185...-1.0109) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 hours 20 minutes
6.Rollout113/10 6/4eq: -1.0174 (-0.0174)
Player:
Opponent:
45.27% (G:12.01% B:0.84%)
54.73% (G:17.98% B:2.33%)
Conf.: ±0.0041 (-1.0215...-1.0133) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 hours 28 minutes
7.Rollout113/11 8/5eq: -1.0187 (-0.0187)
Player:
Opponent:
44.77% (G:11.99% B:0.71%)
55.23% (G:17.52% B:2.04%)
Conf.: ±0.0039 (-1.0226...-1.0148) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 hours 20 minutes
8.Rollout124/21 6/4eq: -1.0272 (-0.0272)
Player:
Opponent:
45.44% (G:11.51% B:0.82%)
54.56% (G:17.30% B:1.31%)
Conf.: ±0.0043 (-1.0315...-1.0229) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 hours 10 minutes
9.Rollout124/22 24/21eq: -1.0367 (-0.0367)
Player:
Opponent:
45.95% (G:11.61% B:0.93%)
54.05% (G:16.81% B:0.92%)
Conf.: ±0.0052 (-1.0419...-1.0315) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 51 minutes
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Rolled for both No double and Double
Dice Seed: 112479
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller+

Rollout by Dmitriy Obukhov
2013-Dec-18
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10.199.2658
MET: Kazaross XG2
Rolled for both No doube and Double
41S-32.-p-2-do.xgp
-p-2 [d=D S4 Z4 H15 N17 O19 W27 U37] "<+5
d(No double)=-998
D(No double)=-997

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

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