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Famous 51 play

Posted By: mochy
Date: Friday, 25 April 2014, at 1:49 a.m.

In Response To: The positions CMC asked about (Carlo Melzi)

I was to blame to make the blunder 51 (11/6* 1/off) over the board.

I knew by the fact 1 more off compensates 2 more shots if you have 8 or more men off after the "off" play. I also saw that there is "bonus" follow up shot such as 63 53 43 after "less shot" play.

What I underestimate is that we could put three men on the bar not two. This would give us more time to running around before they are ready to contain.

What I really didn't see is that they will try to pick up the second checker and it wasn't that difficult because all of my ace and deuce will leave a blot or two.If it happens, 7 off or 8 off doesn't really matter. Our winning chance is very low either way. So we should have avoided those scenario by getting hit less often.

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