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42P-51S-52S-55A-F-C plus five relatives, CORRECTED DIAGRAMS

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Monday, 26 May 2014, at 2:07 p.m.

In Response To: 42P-51S-52S-55A-F-C plus five relatives, CORRECTED DIAGRAMS (Nack Ballard)

Obviously, the 5pt is better than the 4pt or bar point, so #1 and #4 must be weaker for Blue than the remaining four. And since I know that the computer puts #3 on the T/P borderline, #1 and #4 must be takes. The double is not in question except possibly for #1 and #4, but I would double in all six positions.

So much for the easy stuff. In general I would expect that the 4pt is better for White than the bar point here. Blue is primarily blitzing, so I think the extra home-board point is more important for White than a solid three-prime. Thus I would drop #2 and #5.

In general I would also expect that advancing Blue's checker from the 23pt to the 22pt is good for Blue; however, in #4 and #6, Blue's 5's are more awkward than in #1 and #3, so that may neutralize the advantage of being more advanced. So I'm guessing #6 is a take. And my ranking for Blue, from best to worst, would be #2, #5, #6, #3, #1, #4. I won't be surprised, though, if #2 and #5 are the other way around, and similarly for #3 and #6.

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