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42P-64R-31P-21Z-42 (one pip different), Rollout

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Saturday, 27 June 2015, at 5:34 p.m.

In Response To: OTB & RO (John O'Hagan)

is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 153
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 157
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=-a--BBC-A---eE-a-c-e----B-:0:0:1:42:0:0:3:0:10

42P-65R-31P-21D-42
[D Z22 S37 U53] "<=2


1.Rollout113/11 13/9eq: +0.269
Player:
Opponent:
55.40% (G:20.19% B:0.70%)
44.60% (G:11.12% B:0.70%)
Conf.: ± 0.010 (+0.259...+0.280) - [99.9%]
Duration: 38 minutes 39 seconds
2.Rollout124/22 13/9eq: +0.247 (-0.022)
Player:
Opponent:
55.22% (G:18.41% B:0.62%)
44.78% (G:10.82% B:0.52%)
Conf.: ± 0.009 (+0.238...+0.256) - [0.1%]
Duration: 38 minutes 58 seconds
3.Rollout124/20 13/11eq: +0.232 (-0.037)
Player:
Opponent:
54.95% (G:17.66% B:0.55%)
45.05% (G:10.90% B:0.55%)
Conf.: ± 0.009 (+0.223...+0.242) - [0.0%]
Duration: 41 minutes 09 seconds
4.Rollout124/18eq: +0.217 (-0.053)
Player:
Opponent:
54.62% (G:16.18% B:0.52%)
45.38% (G:10.61% B:0.44%)
Conf.: ± 0.011 (+0.206...+0.227) - [0.0%]
Duration: 38 minutes 43 seconds
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

John's rollout of his position is above. (I transposed White's two point-making plays in his sequence so that it is more in sync with mine.) The rollout of my position is below.

But first, here is a nacbracs summary of the two positions:

.....42P-65R-31P-21D-42 ..[D Z22 S37 U53] "<=2
.....42P-64R-31P-21Z-42 ...[S D8 Z17] "<=5

The D/Z swing is only .013, but the S/Z swing is .032, and the D/S swing is .045.

Nack

is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 154
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 157
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=-a--BBC-A---eEa--c-e----B-:0:0:1:42:0:0:3:0:10

42P-64R-31P-21Z-42
[S D8 Z17] "<=5


1.Rollout124/20 13/11eq: +0.307
Player:
Opponent:
56.27% (G:19.40% B:0.69%)
43.73% (G:10.51% B:0.53%)
Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.299...+0.315) - [93.5%]
Duration: 1 hour 52 minutes
2.Rollout113/11 13/9eq: +0.298 (-0.008)
Player:
Opponent:
55.86% (G:20.72% B:0.68%)
44.14% (G:10.58% B:0.61%)
Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.291...+0.306) - [6.5%]
Duration: 1 hour 48 minutes
3.Rollout124/22 13/9eq: +0.290 (-0.017)
Player:
Opponent:
55.71% (G:19.70% B:0.64%)
44.29% (G:10.23% B:0.50%)
Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.282...+0.298) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 40 minutes
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 68075517
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

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