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This cube error cost us the match in Novi

Posted By: Casper Van der Tak
Date: Monday, 20 July 2015, at 8:23 a.m.

In Response To: This cube error cost us the match in Novi (Bob Koca)

Is this the way you do it OTB? It is very systematic!

I'd first make a rough estimate - win by getting of in one between 5 and 5.5%; in two probability in getting of in two exactly (a bit smaller than half) multiplied by the chance of getting two rolls (a bit smaller than one third). So a bit less than one out of six (say one of seven) plus at least 5%, which looks like 19-20% or so.

I like making a rough estimate first, so that if detailed calculations go off-track somewhere (which at least to me happens quite often), I'd note the difference between the two, and I'd know to redo the calculations.

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