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PUZZLE: Unluckiest snake eyes (even unluckier)

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Friday, 15 January 2016, at 2:51 p.m.

In Response To: PUZZLE: Unluckiest snake eyes (Nack Ballard)

It seems that this snake eyes is even unluckier.

[EMG loss of 3.109.]

Nack





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 120
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 101
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-BCCBB--a-a-a-aaaaacAbAbA-:1:1:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in XG Roller++ No redouble Redouble/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 93.21% (G:90.60% B:49.84%) 93.28% (G:90.69% B:49.73%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 6.79% (G:1.70% B:0.11%) 6.72% (G:1.68% B:0.11%)
  Cubeless Equities +2.250 +4.504
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+2.266
Redouble/Take:+4.467 (+2.201)
Redouble/Pass:+1.000 (-1.266)
 
Best Cube action: Too good to redouble / Pass
Percentage of wrong take needed to make the double decision right: 36.5%
White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 120
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 97
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-BDCC---a-a-a-aaaaacAbAbA-:1:1:-1:00:0:0:3:0:10
White on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in XG Roller++ No redouble Redouble/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 81.79% (G:33.98% B:2.28%) 81.79% (G:33.98% B:2.28%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 18.21% (G:9.75% B:1.26%) 18.21% (G:9.75% B:1.26%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.888 +1.777
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0.843 (-0.157)
Redouble/Take:+1.687 (+0.687)
Redouble/Pass:+1.000
 
Best Cube action: Redouble / Pass

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