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Variation 5 rollout - cusp

Posted By: KenB
Date: Tuesday, 26 April 2016, at 2:27 p.m.

In Response To: OTB and RO (neilkaz)

I always like to find the cusp position, any improvement a drop, anything better a take.





White is Player 1

score: 6
pip: 158
9 point match
pip: 152
score: 0

Blue is Player 2
XGID=-aa---E-D---dDa--a-cbAbA--:0:0:-1:00:6:0:0:9:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 62.909% (G:25.280% B:0.901%) 63.477% (G:25.734% B:0.864%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 37.091% (G:8.744% B:0.833%) 36.523% (G:8.809% B:1.156%)
Cubeless Equities +0.4038 +1.0383
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.7962 (-0.2038)±0.0064 (+0.7899..+0.8026)
xg Double/Take:+1.0032 (+0.0032)±0.0081 (+0.9951..+1.0112)
Double/Pass:+1.0000
Best Cube action: Double / Pass
Rollout details
4000 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:77.9%
Duration: 1 hour 01 minute

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

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