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luck's size

Posted By: Florin Popa
Date: Wednesday, 22 February 2017, at 7:52 p.m.

I am interested in how XG measures luck, let's see who else is. Luck in a match should be more or less: nr of points difference not considering the cube + difference in total equity lost. In one match I have found a big difference, 1.8, so I extracted the last (another 2 where similar) game at 2away where I played for gammon and it showed + 2,95 luck and - 0,270 in equity lost. So 0.7 is quite a big difference for one game, it looks like it doesn't work well in this case because when I analizez as a 1p it worked almost perfectly showing +1.08 luck and -0.07 equity lost. The game was a blitz with many dances as antijokers where the size in the 1p was about one third instead of half as I was expected.

Any thoughts ?

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