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Falafel Bets #2 - Rollout and VARIANT

Posted By: scotty
Date: Saturday, 28 October 2017, at 4:47 p.m.

In Response To: Falafel Bets #2 - Rollout and VARIANT (Nack Ballard)

As I look at the numbers that the variant rollout has provided for W, G, a0>19nd BGs, I am having difficulty understanding why both plays display identical equities. This game is Crawford, so we know the cube value is 1 for all wins, gammons and backgammons. We also know that whites gammons and backgammons are irrelevant to the equity of the position.

Play #2 has 0.04% more wins, 1.27% more gammons and 0.19% fewer backgammons. I cannot see how the value of 1.27 gammons is worth less in equity than 0.19 backgammons. My thinking is that play #2 should have a higher equity based on the numbers provided by the rollout. What am I missing here???

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