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5a5a

Posted By: ah_clem
Date: Wednesday, 22 November 2017, at 2:31 p.m.

In Response To: OTB, RO, etc etc. (neilkaz)

Since I botched this one so badly I thought I'd roll it out at a "normal" score, which for me is 5a5a - I play mostly short matches and almost never play unlimited. I've been playing against the various gammonbots on FIBS lately, and this is one of those positions where I just know I'm going to be blitzed off the board and gammoned in short order. Rollout confirms this - with the elevated gammon price, it's a pretty clear D/P at 5a5a.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 149
5 point match
pip: 144
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=---aBBC-C--AeB---d-e---AA-:0:0:1:00:0:0:0:5:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 66.59% (G:34.05% B:0.78%) 66.96% (G:34.97% B:0.98%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 33.41% (G:7.08% B:0.43%) 33.04% (G:7.46% B:0.64%)
Cubeless Equities +0.583 +1.346
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.814 (-0.186)±0.011 (+0.803..+0.825)
xg Double/Take:+1.087 (+0.087)±0.018 (+1.068..+1.105)
Double/Pass:+1.000
Best Cube action: Double / Pass
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 12 minutes 47 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

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