At least the plays aren't close right? As I mentioned before the Reader's position reminded me of something I'd recently posted, Inside Backgammon Position. Prerollout I was with the Readers wanting to hit hit hit. Reflecting on the positions, one v. the other, I think the key is that, even though hitting is still my preference here, it is much more called for in the other position as a tempo hit. If White doesn't hit in the Inside Backgammon position Blue has free reign to make some serious improvement. The only I threaten to do here if you don't hit me is work on escaping my back checker. Not a big improvement and you'll likely get many shots on down the line unless I roll perfecta after perfecta. By hitting here you create a more complicated game but are sacrificing an awful lot, esp. on my double hit #s. I never like the 3 pt but here it is a real option. It keeps your checkers connected, grabs the anchor, and I won't be doubling any time this week.
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| Board image courtesy of GO-Figure | |
| # | Ply | Move | Equity | |
| 1 | R | bar/22 24/22 | -0.336 | |
| 0.4% 9.3% 41.7% 58.3% 16.6% 0.7% | ||||
| 95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: -0.242 ±0.014. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 1296 games (equiv. 30280 games), played 3-ply (precise), random seed, with race database. | ||||
| 2 | R | bar/23 8/5* | -0.337 (-0.001) | |
| 0.3% 10.1% 43.1% 56.9% 19.6% 1.7% | ||||
| 95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: -0.247 ±0.015. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 1296 games (equiv. 29211 games), played 3-ply (precise), random seed, with race database. | ||||