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BGonline.org Forums
Almost home
Posted By: Joe Russell In Response To: Almost home (neilkaz)
Date: Friday, 25 December 2009, at 9:15 a.m.
I will be down 9 pips after the play. Two themes here: (1)Move up to the 21. I duplicate many of the numbers that would point on the 20, but I basically make almost all his numbers play well and all doubles crush me and leave me little chance to respond. If pointed on, I have to hope to come in and anchor and even then may only have a small take, some of the time. After this play, my opponent will probably cube.; (2)Stay back and hope my opponent rolls one of the 12 numbers that leave me a direct or indirect shot. This also maintains the chance of making an anchor on the 23 point when he points on my head on the 20 point, which, with him already having his ace-point, and with his three and four-points open, will make it very difficult to bring the game home. Also, he has very few super-jokers that give me no chance to respond. I play 13-7 and look for a two. I would choose 8-6 by a small margin over 7-5 as I like having my bar slotted and more numbers to make the 3 point. He can not cube after this play.
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