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Huge varience in your two RO's running with a 9 at GS

Posted By: Stick
Date: Friday, 1 January 2010, at 6:29 p.m.

In Response To: Huge varience in your two RO's running with a 9 at GS (neilkaz)

The variance you're speaking of doesn't seem to be as off to me as you think it is. However, I'm a mathematical idiot and it's not something I pay attention to. I let ppl like yourself or Nack or Rockwell tell me when a rollout might be corrupt or when Gs lean too heavily in one rollout compared to another. As long as the results match my preconceived notions I don't pick things apart too much.

You thought the G lost difference was staggering in the two rollouts I showed you? Add these two to your collection and tell me what you think.

The score (after 0 games) is: GNU bg 0, user 1 (match to 2 points, Crawford game)

GNU bg167


2O ' ' ' '5X '3X ' ' '5O

2X ' ' ' '5O '3O ' ' '5X

user167

Position ID: 4HPwATDgc/ABMA Match ID: 8IlSAAAACAAA

# Ply Move Equity
• 1 R 24/20 13/8 -0.2779
0.49900.21200.0441-0.50100.13790.0159 -0.2779 -0.2779
0.00130.00320.0020-0.00130.00110.0012 0.0034 0.0034
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
5184 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 810122972 and quasi-random dice
Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
2 R 24/15 -0.2837 ( -0.0057)
0.50300.18960.0342-0.49700.14480.0157 -0.2837 -0.2837
0.00130.00330.0019-0.00130.00100.0013 0.0033 0.0033
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
5184 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 810122972 and quasi-random dice
Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

The score (after 0 games) is: GNU bg 0, user 1 (match to 2 points, Crawford game)

GNU bg167


2O ' ' ' '5X '3X ' ' '5O

2X ' ' ' '5O '3O ' ' '5X

user167

Position ID: 4HPwATDgc/ABMA Match ID: 8AlPAAAACAAA

# Ply Move Equity
1 R 24/15 -0.2810
0.50320.19420.0330-0.49680.14370.0151 -0.2810 -0.2810
0.00070.00190.0011-0.00070.00060.0006 0.0018 0.0018
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
15552 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 810305521 and quasi-random dice
Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
• 2 R 24/18 13/10 -0.2864 ( -0.0054)
0.50030.20820.0361-0.49970.14350.0189 -0.2864 -0.2864
0.00070.00190.0011-0.00070.00060.0008 0.0019 0.0019
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
15552 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 810305521 and quasi-random dice
Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

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