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XG RO with 4 ply cube

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Wednesday, 20 January 2010, at 4:18 p.m.

In Response To: Money game cube action (Timothy Chow)

Here's a RO that will make fewer bad takes later on, although I suspect that there are still a few bad takes creeping in and raising the equity of the ND side here. My suspicion is that this position is a clear cube and likely by at least .030.




is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 150
Money session
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 128
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=----abEBCB---BbbAb-cab----:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 72.92% (G: 8.07% B: 0.25%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 27.08% (G: 3.79% B: 0.14%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 73.46% (G: 8.30% B: 0.28%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 26.54% (G: 3.82% B: 0.15%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0.458
Double:+1.031
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+0.827 (-0.028)
Double/Take:+0.855
Double/Drop:+1.000 (+0.145)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3 ply, cube decisions: 4 ply
Confidence No Double: 0.007 (+0.820...+0.833)
Confidence Double: 0.010 (+0.845...+0.865)
Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 1 hour 16 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.12

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