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Holding game 54 payoffs

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Wednesday, 20 January 2010, at 8:31 p.m.

In Response To: Layered rollouts (Nack Ballard)

Here's a RO. GNU 2,3,and 4 plies fail to find the best play here. All of the XG evaluation plies do pay off here. XGR gets this wrong, but XGR+ pays off.

The score (after 0 games) is: GNU_bg 0, user 0

Move number 8: user to play 45

GNU_bg132


 ' ' '2X2X3X2X2X ' ' '2O

1O2O2O2O2X4O '2O ' ' '2X

user85

Position ID: 2G6DAQNt8wwGAA Match ID: QQkWAAAAAAAA

user moves 13/9 13/8

# Ply Move Equity
1 R 13/9 13/8 +0.2334
0.66860.04680.0004-0.33140.02380.0005 +0.3600 +0.2334
0.00080.00110.0001-0.00080.00060.0001 0.0019 0.0033
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 847030159 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
2 R 8/4 8/3 +0.2170 ( -0.0164)
0.65030.07400.0008-0.34970.03630.0010 +0.3381 +0.2170
0.00100.00120.0002-0.00100.00090.0001 0.0026 0.0037
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 847030159 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
3 R 6/2 6/1 +0.2163 ( -0.0170)
0.65420.06950.0006-0.34580.03740.0010 +0.3402 +0.2163
0.00110.00120.0001-0.00110.00090.0001 0.0026 0.0041
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 847030159 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
4 0 13/4 +0.0104 ( -0.2230)
0.5514 0.0871 0.0005 - 0.4486 0.0275 0.0000
5 0 13/8 6/2 -0.0151 ( -0.2484)
0.5457 0.0826 0.0005 - 0.4543 0.0351 0.0000





is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 132
Money session
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 85
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=-ABBBbD-B---bB---bbcbb----:1:-1:1:45:0:0:3:0:10
to play 45

1.Rollout113/9 13/8eq: +0.242
Player:
Opponent:
67.13% (G:4.99% B:0.07%)
32.87% (G:2.71% B:0.07%)
Conf: 0.006 (+0.236...+0.248)
Duration: 4 minutes 34 seconds
2.Rollout16/2 6/1eq: +0.221 (-0.021)
Player:
Opponent:
65.69% (G:6.61% B:0.13%)
34.31% (G:3.71% B:0.13%)
Conf: 0.007 (+0.214...+0.228)
Duration: 3 minutes 47 seconds
3.Rollout18/4 8/3eq: +0.209 (-0.033)
Player:
Opponent:
64.83% (G:7.38% B:0.16%)
35.17% (G:3.35% B:0.11%)
Conf: 0.008 (+0.201...+0.217)
Duration: 4 minutes 06 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: Random
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.12

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