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Rollout: 61P-62R-52S-22N-32?

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Friday, 30 July 2010, at 10:50 p.m.

In Response To: 61P-62R-52S-22N-32? (Timothy Chow)

This is a short rollout by BGO standards but it confirms what most people have said. I think this is a position which may be just as tough for an Open-level player as an intermediate, because the Open-level player will puzzle over more possibilities (like making the 4 point or the 5 point, which many intermediates won't even see because they can't imagine that breaking the bar point could possibly be right). I did not find the top play here because 6/3 seemed too awkward, but I guess is the point is that 8/5 and 13/10 are worse.

Note that I didn't roll out 8/5 7/5 or 7/4 6/4; I don't think that they are close, but if someone else is willing to roll them out, I'd be interested in the results.

gnubg151


1O '1O2X '3X '3X ' '2X3O

1X ' ' ' '5O2O3O1X ' '3X

tchow153

Position ID: mHPMESDg28EBJA Match ID: cAkNAAAAAAAA

# Ply Move Equity
1 R 24/22 6/3 -0.336
0.4100.0960.004-0.5900.1190.006 -0.205 -0.336
0.0020.0020.000-0.0020.0020.001 0.004 0.011
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 868701023 and quasi-random dice
Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
2 R 24/22 13/10 -0.370 ( -0.035)
0.3990.0940.004-0.6010.1170.004 -0.226 -0.370
0.0020.0010.000-0.0020.0020.001 0.004 0.011
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 868701023 and quasi-random dice
Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
3 R 24/22 8/5 -0.381 ( -0.045)
0.4000.0960.003-0.6000.1200.005 -0.226 -0.381
0.0020.0010.000-0.0020.0020.000 0.004 0.011
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 868701023 and quasi-random dice
Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

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