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Extraordinary event?

Posted By: Chuck Bower
Date: Tuesday, 4 October 2011, at 3:18 p.m.

In Response To: Extraordinary event? (Bob Koca)

So 1 - (1 - 1/8)^2 = 1^2 - (1 - 1/8)^2 = [1 - (1 - 1/8)]*[1 + (1 - 1/8)] = [1/8]*[2 - 1/8] = 1/4 - 1/64 = 15/64 or ~23.4%. (You don't double count the 1/64 time that BOTH players make both finals.) And of course brute force would be an easier calculation. :)

Then what in the more realistic case that the open field is much larger than the masters field? Say 32 masters and 96 openers? (Left as an exercise to the reader.)

Messages In This Thread

• Extraordinary event?
  Daniel Murphy -- Sunday, 2 October 2011, at 7:10 p.m.
  • Extraordinary event?
    adambulldog -- Sunday, 2 October 2011, at 8:37 p.m.
  • Extraordinary event?
    Bob Koca -- Monday, 3 October 2011, at 1:26 a.m.
    • Extraordinary event?
      Chuck Bower -- Tuesday, 4 October 2011, at 3:18 p.m.
      • Extraordinary event?
        Daniel Murphy -- Tuesday, 4 October 2011, at 7:38 p.m.
        • Extraordinary event?
          Bob Koca -- Tuesday, 4 October 2011, at 8:36 p.m.
          • Extraordinary event?
            Daniel Murphy -- Tuesday, 4 October 2011, at 9:18 p.m.
            • Don't forget Brent Cohen
              adambulldog -- Wednesday, 5 October 2011, at 10:55 p.m.
              • Don't forget Brent Cohen
                Daniel Murphy -- Thursday, 6 October 2011, at 1:20 a.m.
  • Extraordinary event?
    neilkaz -- Tuesday, 4 October 2011, at 4:58 p.m.
  • How about a Double Double
    Bob Glass -- Thursday, 6 October 2011, at 11:27 p.m.