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Variant (subtitled "how valuable a well-placed spare can be"

Posted By: Chuck Bower
Date: Friday, 8 January 2016, at 4:47 p.m.

In Response To: Rollout (Timothy Chow)

Spare on the 2-point moved back to the 6-point:

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 153 7 point match pip: 71 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=aCDc-BCB-------a-bAbbbb---:1:1:1:00:0:0:0:7:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout	No redouble	Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances:	64.506% (G:47.244% B:1.333%)	64.149% (G:49.459% B:5.567%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	35.494% (G:4.316% B:0.181%)	35.851% (G:3.258% B:0.215%)
Cubeless Equities	+0.7643	+1.4566
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:	+0.8657 (-0.1343)	±0.0092 (+0.8565..+0.8749)
Redouble/Take:	+1.0124 (+0.0124)	±0.0150 (+0.9973..+1.0274)
Redouble/Pass:	+1.0000
Best Cube action: Redouble / Pass
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 43934392 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:		100.0%
Take Decision confidence:		94.7%
Duration: 2 hours 31 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

Messages In This Thread

• Here's a good opportunity to laugh at XG 3-ply
  Timothy Chow -- Wednesday, 6 January 2016, at 2:39 a.m.
  • Here's a good opportunity to laugh at XG 3-ply
    Dmitriy Obukhov -- Wednesday, 6 January 2016, at 3:54 a.m.
  • Here's a good opportunity to laugh at XG 3-ply
    hominid -- Wednesday, 6 January 2016, at 4:10 p.m.
  • Here's a good opportunity to laugh at XG 3-ply
    ah_clem -- Wednesday, 6 January 2016, at 4:59 p.m.
  • Rollout
    Timothy Chow -- Thursday, 7 January 2016, at 5:17 p.m.
    • Rollout
      Nack Ballard -- Friday, 8 January 2016, at 5:34 a.m.
      • Rollout
        Casper Van der Tak -- Friday, 8 January 2016, at 8:05 a.m.
    • Variant (subtitled "how valuable a well-placed spare can be"
      Chuck Bower -- Friday, 8 January 2016, at 4:47 p.m.