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Bearing off in the Silicon Valley Open

Posted By: John O'Hagan
Date: Monday, 8 August 2016, at 1:50 p.m.

In Response To: Bearing off in the Silicon Valley Open (David Levy)

White needs 25% to take, a bit higher than in a money game. Blue's EPC is 28.4 (using Matussek). How about White? Basically a 4 roll position with an EPC of 29. Matussek has a method for converting EPC's into winning chances based on the type of bearoff (i.e. pip v pip, pip v roll, roll v pip, roll v roll). Here White has a rolls position while Blue has something between a pips position and a rolls position. Using what I think is the proper coefficient in Matussek's formula gives Blue > 75% wins here so D/P looks correct.

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