Game number 8

The score (after 7 games) is: kit&stick 5, ed&howard 4 (match to 19 points)

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Move number 1: kit&stick to play 32

+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+

+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+

Pip counts: kit&stick 167, ed&howard 167
Position ID: 4HPwATDgc/ABMA Match ID: MIBpAlAAIAAA

• kit&stick moves 24/21 13/11

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	24/21 13/11	+0.0385
			0.5123 0.1396 0.0068 - 0.4877 0.1323 0.0043
	2	2	13/11 13/10	+0.0273 ( -0.0112)
			0.5056 0.1532 0.0067 - 0.4944 0.1367 0.0062
	3	2	24/22 13/10	+0.0153 ( -0.0233)
			0.5063 0.1393 0.0064 - 0.4937 0.1351 0.0045
	4	2	24/22 24/21	-0.0163 ( -0.0548)
			0.4999 0.1270 0.0066 - 0.5001 0.1348 0.0040

Move number 2: ed&howard to play 63

Pip counts: kit&stick 162, ed&howard 167
Position ID: 4HPkASLgc/ABMA Match ID: cAlvAlAAIAAA

• ed&howard moves 13/4*

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	13/4*	-0.0682
			0.4783 0.1381 0.0054 - 0.5217 0.1467 0.0071
	2	2	24/15	-0.1469 ( -0.0787)
			0.4685 0.1097 0.0037 - 0.5315 0.1577 0.0052
	3	2	24/21 24/18	-0.1821 ( -0.1139)
			0.4610 0.1005 0.0037 - 0.5390 0.1560 0.0044
	4	2	24/18 13/10	-0.1823 ( -0.1141)
			0.4587 0.1099 0.0039 - 0.5413 0.1601 0.0065

Move number 3: kit&stick to play 61

Pip counts: kit&stick 166, ed&howard 158
Position ID: yOfgATDgc+QBUA Match ID: MAFnAlAAIAAA

• kit&stick moves bar/24 11/5

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	bar/24 11/5	-0.1412
			0.4726 0.1355 0.0067 - 0.5274 0.1682 0.0095
	2	2	bar/24 13/7	-0.1805 ( -0.0394)
			0.4632 0.1339 0.0064 - 0.5368 0.1751 0.0112
	3	2	bar/18	-0.1853 ( -0.0441)
			0.4702 0.1174 0.0061 - 0.5298 0.1834 0.0075
	4	2	bar/24 8/2	-0.3343 ( -0.1932)
			0.4263 0.1235 0.0061 - 0.5737 0.1957 0.0130

Move number 4: ed&howard to play 64

Pip counts: kit&stick 159, ed&howard 158
Position ID: 0OfgATDI5+ABMA Match ID: cAlzAlAAIAAA

• ed&howard moves 24/20*/14

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	24/20*/14	+0.2179
			0.5503 0.1644 0.0106 - 0.4497 0.1237 0.0044
	2	2	24/20* 24/18	+0.1409 ( -0.0770)
			0.5336 0.1538 0.0107 - 0.4664 0.1330 0.0047
	3	2	24/18 8/4	+0.1216 ( -0.0963)
			0.5319 0.1566 0.0092 - 0.4681 0.1453 0.0048
	4	2	24/20* 13/7	+0.1102 ( -0.1077)
			0.5205 0.1638 0.0105 - 0.4795 0.1347 0.0064

Move number 5: kit&stick to play 51

Pip counts: kit&stick 179, ed&howard 148
Position ID: yOfgBSDgc/AAWA Match ID: MIFmAlAAIAAA

• kit&stick moves bar/20 6/5

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	bar/20 6/5	-0.4012
			0.4190 0.1044 0.0045 - 0.5810 0.2042 0.0175
	2	2	bar/20 24/23	-0.4158 ( -0.0146)
			0.4023 0.0945 0.0026 - 0.5977 0.1838 0.0074
	3	2	bar/20 8/7	-0.5136 ( -0.1124)
			0.3923 0.0960 0.0037 - 0.6077 0.2159 0.0184
	4	2	bar/24 6/1*	-0.5505 ( -0.1493)
			0.3852 0.0973 0.0032 - 0.6148 0.2146 0.0171

Move number 6: ed&howard to play 44

Pip counts: kit&stick 173, ed&howard 148
Position ID: 0HPwgDDI5+AFIA Match ID: cAlyAlAAIAAA

• ed&howard moves 24/20* 13/5* 8/4

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		+0.2744	(Money: +0.2749)
	0.5810 0.2042 0.0175 - 0.4190 0.1044 0.0045
Cubeful equities:
1.	No double	+0.4012
2.	Double, pass	+1.0000	+0.5988
3.	Double, take	+0.2868	-0.1144
Proper cube action:		No double, take (16.0%)

Alert: lucky roll! ( +0.456)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	24/20* 13/5* 8/4	+0.9374
			0.6880 0.3470 0.0482 - 0.3120 0.0531 0.0013
	2	2	24/20* 8/4 6/2(2)	+0.8359 ( -0.1016)
			0.6619 0.3106 0.0374 - 0.3381 0.0596 0.0013
	3	2	24/20*/16 14/10 8/4	+0.8201 ( -0.1174)
			0.6671 0.2667 0.0276 - 0.3329 0.0579 0.0011
	4	2	24/20* 13/9(2) 8/4	+0.8073 ( -0.1301)
			0.6595 0.2791 0.0285 - 0.3405 0.0582 0.0011

Move number 7: kit&stick to play 53

Pip counts: kit&stick 198, ed&howard 132
Position ID: WJ/BBQLgOXgAbA Match ID: MIFuAlAAIAAA

• kit&stick moves bar/22 bar/20*

Alert: lucky roll! ( +0.362)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	0	bar/22 bar/20*	-0.4709
			0.4075 0.0852 0.0031 - 0.5925 0.2236 0.0207

Move number 8: ed&howard to play 43

Pip counts: kit&stick 190, ed&howard 152
Position ID: 4Dl4QDKYz+ACQQ Match ID: cAluAlAAIAAA

• ed&howard moves bar/21 6/3*

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		+0.3619	(Money: +0.3611)
	0.5997 0.2279 0.0198 - 0.4003 0.0832 0.0029
Cubeful equities:
1.	No double	+0.5156
2.	Double, pass	+1.0000	+0.4844
3.	Double, take	+0.4706	-0.0450
Proper cube action:		No double, take (8.5%)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	bar/21 6/3*	+0.5203
			0.5991 0.2315 0.0242 - 0.4009 0.0873 0.0029
	2	2	bar/22 20/16	+0.4732 ( -0.0472)
			0.5927 0.2270 0.0230 - 0.4073 0.0994 0.0033
	3	2	bar/21 14/11	+0.4437 ( -0.0766)
			0.5857 0.2190 0.0189 - 0.4143 0.0897 0.0026
	4	2	bar/22 14/10	+0.4120 ( -0.1084)
			0.5798 0.2182 0.0167 - 0.4202 0.0924 0.0029

Move number 9: kit&stick to play 54

Pip counts: kit&stick 193, ed&howard 145
Position ID: NM/gAgXgOXhAWA Match ID: MIFyAlAAIAAA

• kit&stick moves bar/20 8/4*

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	bar/20 8/4*	-0.4091
			0.4215 0.0910 0.0035 - 0.5785 0.2114 0.0159
	2	2	bar/20 24/20	-0.4221 ( -0.0129)
			0.4023 0.0849 0.0021 - 0.5977 0.1765 0.0061
	3	2	bar/20 13/9	-0.4599 ( -0.0507)
			0.4103 0.0855 0.0030 - 0.5897 0.2157 0.0156
	4	2	bar/20 6/2	-0.5388 ( -0.1296)
			0.3836 0.0832 0.0024 - 0.6164 0.2078 0.0140

Move number 10: ed&howard to play 11

Pip counts: kit&stick 184, ed&howard 149
Position ID: yDN4wDA0z+ACQQ Match ID: cIlkAlAAIAAA

• ed&howard moves bar/21*

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		+0.2898	(Money: +0.2898)
	0.5785 0.2114 0.0159 - 0.4215 0.0910 0.0035
Cubeful equities:
1.	No double	+0.4091
2.	Double, pass	+1.0000	+0.5909
3.	Double, take	+0.3104	-0.0987
Proper cube action:		No double, take (14.3%)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	bar/21*	+0.5404
			0.5949 0.2360 0.0227 - 0.4051 0.0755 0.0023
	2	2	bar/24 14/13 8/7(2)	+0.3907 ( -0.1496)
			0.5758 0.2132 0.0176 - 0.4242 0.1008 0.0036
	3	2	bar/23 8/7(2)	+0.3373 ( -0.2031)
			0.5647 0.2110 0.0185 - 0.4353 0.1135 0.0048
	4	2	bar/22 14/13	+0.3260 ( -0.2144)
			0.5665 0.1938 0.0146 - 0.4335 0.1061 0.0038

Move number 11: kit&stick to play 11

Pip counts: kit&stick 205, ed&howard 145
Position ID: NM/gAgXgGTxgWA Match ID: MIFkAlAAIAAA

• kit&stick moves bar/23 6/5*(2)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	bar/23 6/5*(2)	-0.0768
			0.5058 0.1235 0.0058 - 0.4942 0.1870 0.0120
	2	2	bar/22* 6/5*	-0.1712 ( -0.0944)
			0.4839 0.1144 0.0058 - 0.5161 0.1985 0.0145
	3	2	bar/24 8/7 6/5*(2)	-0.2655 ( -0.1886)
			0.4711 0.1148 0.0065 - 0.5289 0.2337 0.0245
	4	2	bar/23 6/5/4	-0.2710 ( -0.1941)
			0.4634 0.1141 0.0063 - 0.5366 0.2246 0.0200

Move number 12: ed&howard to play 21

Pip counts: kit&stick 201, ed&howard 150
Position ID: sBk8YDQ0z+ACQg Match ID: cAllAlAAIAAA

• ed&howard moves bar/23 3/2*

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	bar/23 3/2*	+0.1974
			0.5214 0.2011 0.0152 - 0.4786 0.1087 0.0042
	2	2	bar/23 14/13	+0.1800 ( -0.0174)
			0.5243 0.1870 0.0114 - 0.4757 0.1124 0.0042
	3	2	bar/22	+0.1154 ( -0.0820)
			0.5089 0.1841 0.0134 - 0.4911 0.1254 0.0056
	4	2	bar/24 6/4	+0.0773 ( -0.1201)
			0.4979 0.1874 0.0137 - 0.5021 0.1331 0.0064

Move number 13: kit&stick to play 63

Pip counts: kit&stick 203, ed&howard 147
Position ID: Ms/gAhKwGTxgWA Match ID: MAFvAlAAIAAA

• kit&stick moves bar/16

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	bar/16	-0.1580
			0.4898 0.1094 0.0038 - 0.5102 0.1985 0.0128
	2	2	bar/22 13/7	-0.2111 ( -0.0530)
			0.4841 0.1119 0.0047 - 0.5159 0.2248 0.0184
	3	2	bar/22 24/18	-0.2169 ( -0.0589)
			0.4781 0.1105 0.0034 - 0.5219 0.2175 0.0103
	4	2	bar/22 8/2*	-0.3188 ( -0.1608)
			0.4567 0.1097 0.0050 - 0.5433 0.2379 0.0230

Move number 14: ed&howard to play 64

Pip counts: kit&stick 194, ed&howard 147
Position ID: sBk8wjAyz+ACEg Match ID: cAlzAlAAIAAA

• ed&howard moves 13/9* 8/2

Annotation

What does hitting gain here? We have two anchors, the hit is obnoxiously stringy. The quiet but solid 14/8 6/2 is clearly better.

Move number 15: kit&stick to play 52

Pip counts: kit&stick 203, ed&howard 137
Position ID: Zp7CAhKwGTxgWA Match ID: MIFqAlAAIAAA

• kit&stick moves bar/20 13/11*

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	0	bar/20 13/11*	+0.1611
			0.5720 0.1611 0.0103 - 0.4280 0.1910 0.0143
	2	0	bar/18	-0.2256 ( -0.3868)
			0.4918 0.1042 0.0044 - 0.5082 0.2463 0.0208
	3	0	bar/20 24/22	-0.2609 ( -0.4221)
			0.4863 0.1168 0.0034 - 0.5137 0.2786 0.0147
	4	0	bar/20 8/6	-0.3676 ( -0.5287)
			0.4640 0.0971 0.0037 - 0.5360 0.2785 0.0300

Move number 16: ed&howard to play 41

Pip counts: kit&stick 196, ed&howard 148
Position ID: sBk54DBmnsIASQ Match ID: cAlmAlAAIAAA

• ed&howard moves bar/21 9/8

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	bar/21 9/8	+0.1552
			0.5040 0.2081 0.0140 - 0.4960 0.1079 0.0032
	2	2	bar/24 8/4	-0.1400 ( -0.2952)
			0.4325 0.1836 0.0136 - 0.5675 0.1475 0.0067
	3	2	bar/21 23/22	-0.1992 ( -0.3543)
			0.4224 0.1659 0.0122 - 0.5776 0.1527 0.0064
	4	0	bar/21 8/7	-0.1901 ( -0.3452)
			0.4251 0.1610 0.0109 - 0.5749 0.1471 0.0066

Move number 17: kit&stick to play 43

Pip counts: kit&stick 196, ed&howard 143
Position ID: Zp7BABOwGTngMA Match ID: MAFuAlAAIAAA

• kit&stick moves 20/16 11/8

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	20/16 11/8	-0.1375
			0.5010 0.1123 0.0038 - 0.4990 0.2100 0.0145
	2	2	20/13	-0.1507 ( -0.0132)
			0.4964 0.1137 0.0036 - 0.5036 0.2099 0.0152
	3	2	24/20 11/8	-0.1737 ( -0.0362)
			0.4868 0.1079 0.0025 - 0.5132 0.2032 0.0071
	4	2	13/9 11/8	-0.2189 ( -0.0814)
			0.4862 0.1096 0.0038 - 0.5138 0.2328 0.0179

Move number 18: ed&howard to play 61

Pip counts: kit&stick 189, ed&howard 143
Position ID: sDk4wjBmnsEAEw Match ID: cAlnAlAAIAAA

• ed&howard moves 23/16

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	23/16	+0.1836
			0.5141 0.2032 0.0155 - 0.4859 0.1059 0.0027
	2	2	23/22 21/15	+0.0593 ( -0.1243)
			0.4827 0.2020 0.0183 - 0.5173 0.1310 0.0049
	3	2	21/14	+0.0505 ( -0.1331)
			0.4812 0.1981 0.0156 - 0.5188 0.1287 0.0047
	4	0	23/22 8/2	-0.2357 ( -0.4193)
			0.4093 0.1538 0.0109 - 0.5907 0.1409 0.0041

Move number 19: kit&stick to play 42

Pip counts: kit&stick 189, ed&howard 136
Position ID: Zp7BCAawOTjCMA Match ID: MAFqAlAAIAAA

• kit&stick moves 16/14 13/9*

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	16/14 13/9*	-0.1228
			0.5076 0.1145 0.0039 - 0.4924 0.2141 0.0164
	2	2	13/9*/7	-0.1451 ( -0.0223)
			0.5024 0.1143 0.0040 - 0.4976 0.2179 0.0168
	3	2	24/22 13/9*	-0.1905 ( -0.0677)
			0.5031 0.1148 0.0034 - 0.4969 0.2440 0.0160
	4	2	13/9* 8/6	-0.1918 ( -0.0690)
			0.4888 0.1152 0.0043 - 0.5112 0.2247 0.0179

Move number 20: ed&howard to play 64

Pip counts: kit&stick 183, ed&howard 145
Position ID: sLmwwDBmnsEAQw Match ID: cAlzAlAAIAAA

• ed&howard moves bar/15

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	0	bar/15	+0.0980
			0.4957 0.1816 0.0159 - 0.5043 0.1102 0.0026
	2	0	bar/21 8/2	-0.3174 ( -0.4154)
			0.3932 0.1390 0.0104 - 0.6068 0.1534 0.0046
	3	0	bar/21 13/7	-0.4098 ( -0.5078)
			0.3699 0.1319 0.0117 - 0.6301 0.1661 0.0054

Move number 21: kit&stick to play 55

Pip counts: kit&stick 183, ed&howard 135
Position ID: Zp7BBAawubDAMA Match ID: MIF2AlAAIAAA

• kit&stick moves 20/10* 20/15 14/9

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	20/10* 20/15 14/9	+0.1407
			0.5710 0.1367 0.0045 - 0.4290 0.1752 0.0128
	2	2	20/10*/5 14/9	+0.1300 ( -0.0107)
			0.5555 0.1464 0.0055 - 0.4445 0.1591 0.0099
	3	2	20/10*(2)	+0.0546 ( -0.0861)
			0.5491 0.1303 0.0042 - 0.4509 0.1839 0.0149
	4	2	20/10* 14/9 13/8	-0.0859 ( -0.2266)
			0.5191 0.1265 0.0045 - 0.4809 0.2098 0.0210

Move number 22: ed&howard to play 41

Pip counts: kit&stick 163, ed&howard 145
Position ID: sLnFBDBmnsEAQw Match ID: cAlmAlAAIAAA

• ed&howard moves bar/21 6/5

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	bar/21 6/5	-0.3083
			0.3930 0.1431 0.0091 - 0.6070 0.1354 0.0040
	2	2	bar/24 8/4	-0.3199 ( -0.0116)
			0.3885 0.1519 0.0090 - 0.6115 0.1459 0.0052
	3	2	bar/24 6/2	-0.3430 ( -0.0346)
			0.3849 0.1451 0.0077 - 0.6151 0.1468 0.0048
	4	2	bar/24 13/9	-0.4660 ( -0.1576)
			0.3588 0.1389 0.0084 - 0.6412 0.1722 0.0064

Move number 23: kit&stick to play 64

Pip counts: kit&stick 163, ed&howard 140
Position ID: Zp3BAAewucUEMA Match ID: MAFzAlAAIAAA

• kit&stick moves 24/20* 15/9

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	24/20* 15/9	+0.6006
			0.6586 0.1830 0.0065 - 0.3414 0.1203 0.0042
	2	2	24/20* 24/18	+0.5485 ( -0.0521)
			0.6681 0.1737 0.0057 - 0.3319 0.1441 0.0061
	3	2	24/20*/14	+0.4769 ( -0.1237)
			0.6433 0.1748 0.0062 - 0.3567 0.1528 0.0072
	4	0	24/20* 13/7	+0.1375 ( -0.4631)
			0.5719 0.1596 0.0063 - 0.4281 0.2042 0.0153

Move number 24: ed&howard to play 43

Pip counts: kit&stick 153, ed&howard 160
Position ID: sLmLASFmzmCAQw Match ID: cAluAlAAIAAA

• ed&howard moves bar/21 8/5*

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	bar/21 8/5*	-0.4520
			0.3664 0.1433 0.0080 - 0.6336 0.1871 0.0066
	2	2	bar/18	-0.6507 ( -0.1987)
			0.3239 0.0912 0.0038 - 0.6761 0.1605 0.0044
	3	0	bar/22 6/2	-0.8242 ( -0.3722)
			0.2934 0.0749 0.0021 - 0.7066 0.1707 0.0044
	4	0	bar/21 6/3	-0.8445 ( -0.3925)
			0.2909 0.0785 0.0029 - 0.7091 0.1788 0.0049

Annotation

I would still cube this.

Move number 25: kit&stick doubles to 2

Pip counts: kit&stick 158, ed&howard 153
Position ID: Zp1ggAewuYsBUA Match ID: MBlgAlAAIAAA

• ed&howard accepts

Alert: wrong double ( -0.0507)!

Cube decision

Rollout cubeless equity

+0.3460

(Money: +0.3459)

Cubeful equities:

No double

+0.5106

Double, pass

+1.0000

+0.4894

Double, take

+0.4599

-0.0507

Proper cube action:

No double, take (9.4%)

Rollout details

	Win	W g	W bg		Lose	L g	L bg	Cubeless	Cubeful
Centered 1-cube	0.6405	0.2017	0.0077	-	0.3595	0.1380	0.0065	+0.3460	+0.5106
Standard error	0.0017	0.0022	0.0006	-	0.0017	0.0014	0.0006	0.0049	0.0121
Player ed&howard owns 2-cube	0.6474	0.2088	0.0083	-	0.3526	0.1337	0.0068	+0.7556	+0.4599
Standard error	0.0022	0.0029	0.0012	-	0.0022	0.0015	0.0006	0.0122	0.0184

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1056271360 and quasi-random dice

Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16

Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.

Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Move number 26: kit&stick to play 63

Pip counts: kit&stick 158, ed&howard 153
Position ID: Zp1ggAewuYsBUA Match ID: EQFvAlAAIAAA

• kit&stick moves bar/16

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	bar/16	+0.0018
			0.5984 0.1605 0.0051 - 0.4016 0.1901 0.0081
	2	2	bar/22 24/18	-0.0087 ( -0.0104)
			0.5984 0.1619 0.0054 - 0.4016 0.1996 0.0073
	3	2	bar/22 9/3	-0.1474 ( -0.1492)
			0.5492 0.1624 0.0059 - 0.4508 0.2176 0.0119
	4	2	bar/22 8/2	-0.1963 ( -0.1981)
			0.5346 0.1567 0.0057 - 0.4654 0.2242 0.0117

Move number 27: ed&howard to play 53

Pip counts: kit&stick 149, ed&howard 153
Position ID: sLmLESBmnWCABw Match ID: UYluAlAAIAAA

• ed&howard moves 8/5 6/1*

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	8/5 6/1*	-0.0079
			0.3995 0.1918 0.0093 - 0.6005 0.1527 0.0048
	2	2	21/13	-0.2398 ( -0.2319)
			0.3366 0.0939 0.0024 - 0.6634 0.1323 0.0039
	3	2	8/3 6/3	-0.4968 ( -0.4889)
			0.2559 0.0726 0.0025 - 0.7441 0.1742 0.0045
	4	0	21/18 6/1*	-0.3863 ( -0.3784)
			0.3156 0.1164 0.0043 - 0.6844 0.2480 0.0139

Move number 28: kit&stick to play 21

Pip counts: kit&stick 150, ed&howard 145
Position ID: zTZggAewuYsRQA Match ID: EQFlAlAAIAAA

• kit&stick moves bar/24* 10/8

Ply

Move

Equity

bar/24*/22

+0.3337

0.6760	0.2329	0.0068	-	0.3240	0.1154	0.0056	+0.4705	+0.3337
0.0031	0.0042	0.0013	-	0.0031	0.0029	0.0005	0.0090	0.0140

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

605 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1056271360 and quasi-random dice

Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16

Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.

Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

•

bar/24* 10/8

+0.2750 ( -0.0587)

0.6632	0.1992	0.0067	-	0.3368	0.1046	0.0035	+0.4212	+0.2750
0.0028	0.0039	0.0008	-	0.0028	0.0022	0.0005	0.0075	0.0121

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

605 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1056271360 and quasi-random dice

Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16

Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.

Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

bar/24* 16/14

+0.2793 ( -0.0544)

0.6601 0.2193 0.0070 - 0.3399 0.1313 0.0053

bar/24* 8/6

+0.1859 ( -0.1479)

0.6300 0.2153 0.0075 - 0.3700 0.1462 0.0062

Annotation

At the time we had had to leave the checker on the ten point for a few turns. It seemed like a thorn in our side we'd be happy to get rid of. Turns out with them in the air it's best to leave the builder/back of the prime slotted and step up.

Move number 29: ed&howard to play 43

Pip counts: kit&stick 147, ed&howard 169
Position ID: sHmHESBmGzDAQw Match ID: UQluAlAAIAAA

• ed&howard moves bar/22 13/9*

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	bar/22 13/9*	-0.0728
			0.3994 0.1536 0.0077 - 0.6006 0.1813 0.0070
	2	2	bar/18	-0.3303 ( -0.2575)
			0.3236 0.0967 0.0038 - 0.6764 0.1950 0.0062
	3	0	bar/21 13/10	-0.6550 ( -0.5822)
			0.2293 0.0649 0.0026 - 0.7707 0.2570 0.0091
	4	0	bar/22 5/1*	-0.7201 ( -0.6472)
			0.2301 0.0608 0.0014 - 0.7699 0.3153 0.0130

Move number 30: kit&stick to play 65

Pip counts: kit&stick 156, ed&howard 162
Position ID: ZhshwAuweYcBUA Match ID: EQF3AlAAIAAA

• kit&stick cannot move

#		Ply	Move	Equity
			Cannot move

Move number 31: ed&howard to play 64

Pip counts: kit&stick 156, ed&howard 162
Position ID: sHmHAVBmGyHACw Match ID: UQlzAlAAIAAA

• ed&howard moves 21/15 13/9

Annotation

The nine point has little value right now. Sure, it'd be nice, but you need the flex that comes from escaping two back checkers while we're on the bar.

Move number 32: kit&stick to play 62

Pip counts: kit&stick 156, ed&howard 152
Position ID: ZhsDgQuweYcBUA Match ID: EQFrAlAAIAAA

• kit&stick cannot move

#		Ply	Move	Equity
			Cannot move

Move number 33: kit&stick to play 61

Pip counts: kit&stick 156, ed&howard 152
Position ID: ZhsDgQuweYcBUA Match ID: EQFnAlAAIAAA

• kit&stick moves bar/24 8/2

Annotation

Kit gets blamed for this one. I instinctively hopped out when I rolled it, he conned me into playing 8/2. We're worried they'll hit with deuces, breaking the nine point, and we're favored to come in? So we sit back on the ace point ... ?

Move number 34: ed&howard to play 52

Pip counts: kit&stick 149, ed&howard 152
Position ID: YnOHATBmGwOBCw Match ID: UYlqAlAAIAAA

• ed&howard moves 15/8

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	15/8	+0.1474
			0.4647 0.1721 0.0098 - 0.5353 0.1402 0.0051
	2	2	15/10 9/7	+0.0844 ( -0.0630)
			0.4585 0.1706 0.0097 - 0.5415 0.1841 0.0102
	3	2	15/13 9/4	+0.0838 ( -0.0636)
			0.4485 0.1703 0.0104 - 0.5515 0.1637 0.0068
	4	2	9/2	-0.0413 ( -0.1887)
			0.4134 0.1506 0.0087 - 0.5866 0.1824 0.0073

Move number 35: kit&stick to play 61

Pip counts: kit&stick 149, ed&howard 145
Position ID: ZpsGgAtic4cBMA Match ID: EQFnAlAAIAAA

• kit&stick moves 13/7 8/7

Ply

Move

Equity

•

13/7 8/7

+0.1343

0.6200	0.1688	0.0064	-	0.3800	0.1220	0.0047	+0.2836	+0.1343
0.0027	0.0034	0.0008	-	0.0027	0.0024	0.0007	0.0079	0.0122

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

688 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1056271360 and quasi-random dice

Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16

Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.

Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

24/17*

+0.0069 ( -0.1274)

0.5928	0.1730	0.0067	-	0.4072	0.1590	0.0103	+0.1891	+0.0069
0.0029	0.0034	0.0008	-	0.0029	0.0024	0.0007	0.0083	0.0138

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

687 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1056271360 and quasi-random dice

Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16

Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.

Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

9/3*/2

-0.0906 ( -0.2249)

0.5427 0.1703 0.0056 - 0.4573 0.1620 0.0075

24/18 2/1

-0.2028 ( -0.3371)

0.5324 0.1379 0.0047 - 0.4676 0.2226 0.0051

Move number 36: ed&howard to play 44

Pip counts: kit&stick 142, ed&howard 145
Position ID: YtsOATBmmwaACw Match ID: UQlyAlAAIAAA

• ed&howard moves 9/5 8/4 6/2(2)

Alert: very unlucky roll! ( -0.661)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	9/5 8/4 6/2(2)	-0.7121
			0.2026 0.0503 0.0015 - 0.7974 0.2364 0.0060
	2	2	9/5(2) 8/4 6/2	-0.7241 ( -0.0120)
			0.2022 0.0515 0.0016 - 0.7978 0.2476 0.0072
	3	2	9/5(2) 6/2(2)	-0.7271 ( -0.0150)
			0.2007 0.0494 0.0016 - 0.7993 0.2449 0.0070

Move number 37: kit&stick to play 53

Pip counts: kit&stick 142, ed&howard 129
Position ID: njsEgAti2w4BMA Match ID: EYFuAlAAIAAA

• kit&stick moves 24/16*

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	24/16*	+1.0379
			0.8745 0.3455 0.0100 - 0.1255 0.0268 0.0004
	2	2	24/19 9/6	+0.7851 ( -0.2528)
			0.8150 0.2614 0.0077 - 0.1850 0.0474 0.0009
	3	2	24/19 13/10	+0.7161 ( -0.3219)
			0.7958 0.2523 0.0074 - 0.2042 0.0598 0.0015
	4	0	13/8 9/6	+0.6849 ( -0.3530)
			0.7721 0.2653 0.0090 - 0.2279 0.0483 0.0012

Move number 38: ed&howard to play 65

Pip counts: kit&stick 134, ed&howard 145
Position ID: YtsOESCeOwDARQ Match ID: UQl3AlAAIAAA

• ed&howard cannot move

#		Ply	Move	Equity
			Cannot move

Move number 39: kit&stick to play 11

Pip counts: kit&stick 134, ed&howard 145
Position ID: njsAwEVi2w4RIA Match ID: EYFkAlAAIAAA

• kit&stick moves 16/13 9/8

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	2	16/14 13/12 9/8	+1.0339
			0.8734 0.3434 0.0100 - 0.1266 0.0261 0.0004
	2	2	16/14 13/11	+1.0280 ( -0.0059)
			0.8716 0.3410 0.0104 - 0.1284 0.0258 0.0004
•	3	2	16/13 9/8	+1.0277 ( -0.0062)
			0.8743 0.3324 0.0090 - 0.1257 0.0226 0.0002
	4	2	16/14 9/8 2/1	+1.0272 ( -0.0066)
			0.8717 0.3405 0.0096 - 0.1283 0.0254 0.0003

Move number 40: ed&howard to play 42

Pip counts: kit&stick 130, ed&howard 145
Position ID: YtsNAyCeOwDARQ Match ID: UQlqAlAAIAAA

• ed&howard moves bar/23* 5/1*

Move number 41: kit&stick to play 64

Pip counts: kit&stick 154, ed&howard 139
Position ID: PTcAwBWw7YYBYA Match ID: EQFzAlAAIAAA

• kit&stick moves bar/19

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	0	bar/19	+1.1810
			0.9058 0.4070 0.0124 - 0.0942 0.0248 0.0002

Move number 42: ed&howard to play 55

Pip counts: kit&stick 148, ed&howard 139
Position ID: sO2GgUA9NwDAFQ Match ID: UYl2AlAAIAAA

• ed&howard cannot move

#		Ply	Move	Equity
			Cannot move

Move number 43: kit&stick to play 44

Pip counts: kit&stick 148, ed&howard 139
Position ID: PTcAwBWw7YaBQA Match ID: EQFyAlAAIAAA

• kit&stick cannot move

#		Ply	Move	Equity
			Cannot move

Move number 44: ed&howard to play 64

Pip counts: kit&stick 148, ed&howard 139
Position ID: sO2GgUA9NwDAFQ Match ID: UQlzAlAAIAAA

• ed&howard moves 21/11

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	21/11	-0.9922
			0.1277 0.0283 0.0003 - 0.8723 0.3092 0.0080
	2	2	21/15 5/1	-1.0911 ( -0.0989)
			0.1114 0.0201 0.0001 - 0.8886 0.3587 0.0082

Move number 45: kit&stick to play 44

Pip counts: kit&stick 148, ed&howard 129
Position ID: PTcQgBWw7YaBQA Match ID: EQFyAlAAIAAA

• kit&stick cannot move

#		Ply	Move	Equity
			Cannot move

Move number 46: ed&howard to play 42

Pip counts: kit&stick 148, ed&howard 129
Position ID: sO2GgUA9NxCAFQ Match ID: UQlqAlAAIAAA

• ed&howard moves 23/21 11/7

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	23/21 11/7	-0.9433
			0.1335 0.0269 0.0003 - 0.8665 0.2753 0.0059
	2	2	11/5	-0.9489 ( -0.0056)
			0.1288 0.0268 0.0002 - 0.8712 0.2695 0.0061
	3	2	23/21 5/1	-1.0192 ( -0.0759)
			0.1172 0.0221 0.0002 - 0.8828 0.3072 0.0048
	4	2	11/7 4/2	-1.0664 ( -0.1231)
			0.1156 0.0221 0.0002 - 0.8844 0.3453 0.0095

Move number 47: kit&stick to play 51

Pip counts: kit&stick 148, ed&howard 123
Position ID: PTcBgAuw7YaBQA Match ID: EYFmAlAAIAAA

• kit&stick moves bar/24* 8/3*

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	bar/24* 8/3*	+1.2473
			0.9046 0.4617 0.0201 - 0.0954 0.0197 0.0003
	2	2	bar/24* 19/14	+1.1822 ( -0.0651)
			0.9074 0.3921 0.0117 - 0.0926 0.0125 0.0001
	3	2	bar/24* 13/8	+1.1610 ( -0.0863)
			0.8965 0.3971 0.0146 - 0.1035 0.0152 0.0002
	4	2	bar/24*/19	+1.1513 ( -0.0960)
			0.9018 0.3760 0.0104 - 0.0982 0.0120 0.0001

Move number 48: ed&howard to play 53

Pip counts: kit&stick 142, ed&howard 150
Position ID: ZNuGgSCemwDAYQ Match ID: UYluAlAAIAAA

• ed&howard moves bar/22*

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	0	bar/22*	-1.0517
			0.1325 0.0349 0.0011 - 0.8675 0.3787 0.0164

Move number 49: kit&stick to play 64

Pip counts: kit&stick 164, ed&howard 147
Position ID: npsAwEWwbcNAUA Match ID: EQFzAlAAIAAA

• kit&stick moves bar/15

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	bar/15	+1.2126
			0.9121 0.4120 0.0119 - 0.0879 0.0138 0.0002
	2	2	bar/19 13/9	+1.1863 ( -0.0263)
			0.9035 0.4053 0.0134 - 0.0965 0.0140 0.0002
	3	2	bar/19 7/3*	+0.9934 ( -0.2192)
			0.8408 0.3995 0.0195 - 0.1592 0.0521 0.0019
	4	2	bar/19 9/5	+0.8550 ( -0.3576)
			0.8132 0.3380 0.0145 - 0.1868 0.0564 0.0015

Move number 50: ed&howard to play 53

Pip counts: kit&stick 154, ed&howard 147
Position ID: sG3DhCCemwDARQ Match ID: UYluAlAAIAAA

• ed&howard moves bar/22 7/2

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	0	bar/22 7/2	-1.1138
			0.0926 0.0173 0.0001 - 0.9074 0.3391 0.0029

Move number 51: kit&stick to play 42

Pip counts: kit&stick 154, ed&howard 139
Position ID: PjcAwA2wbcOEIA Match ID: EQFqAlAAIAAA

• kit&stick moves 19/17 15/11

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	2	19/15 13/11	+1.2173
			0.9143 0.4121 0.0074 - 0.0857 0.0105 0.0002
•	2	2	19/17 15/11	+1.2096 ( -0.0076)
			0.9132 0.4072 0.0072 - 0.0868 0.0103 0.0001
	3	2	19/13	+1.2064 ( -0.0109)
			0.9125 0.4082 0.0071 - 0.0875 0.0128 0.0001
	4	2	24/22 19/15	+1.2050 ( -0.0122)
			0.9163 0.3938 0.0063 - 0.0837 0.0079 0.0001

Move number 52: ed&howard to play 61

Pip counts: kit&stick 148, ed&howard 139
Position ID: sG2TISA+NwDADQ Match ID: UQlnAlAAIAAA

• ed&howard moves 21/14*

Move number 53: kit&stick to play 31

Pip counts: kit&stick 162, ed&howard 132
Position ID: PjeAgA2wbcMQUA Match ID: EYFlAlAAIAAA

• kit&stick moves bar/24 17/14

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	2	bar/22 17/16	+1.0272
			0.8732 0.3487 0.0080 - 0.1268 0.0351 0.0008
•	2	2	bar/24 17/14	+1.0100 ( -0.0172)
			0.8646 0.3481 0.0092 - 0.1354 0.0317 0.0012
	3	2	bar/22 13/12	+0.9743 ( -0.0530)
			0.8593 0.3430 0.0079 - 0.1407 0.0478 0.0017
	4	2	bar/24 13/10	+0.9393 ( -0.0880)
			0.8439 0.3496 0.0105 - 0.1561 0.0529 0.0035

Move number 54: ed&howard to play 65

Pip counts: kit&stick 158, ed&howard 132
Position ID: sG3DAjA+N4CADQ Match ID: UQl3AlAAIAAA

• ed&howard moves 21/10

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	21/10	-0.9847
			0.1304 0.0337 0.0010 - 0.8696 0.3138 0.0084
	2	2	21/15 14/9	-1.0105 ( -0.0259)
			0.1275 0.0323 0.0007 - 0.8725 0.3298 0.0094
	3	2	14/3	-1.0725 ( -0.0878)
			0.1032 0.0215 0.0004 - 0.8968 0.3267 0.0045

Move number 55: kit&stick to play 51

Pip counts: kit&stick 158, ed&howard 121
Position ID: PjcIAQ2wbcMCMA Match ID: EYFmAlAAIAAA

• kit&stick moves 14/8

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	2	24/19 14/13	+0.8777
			0.8467 0.2689 0.0062 - 0.1533 0.0379 0.0006
•	2	2	14/8	+0.8426 ( -0.0351)
			0.8323 0.2705 0.0083 - 0.1677 0.0413 0.0012
	3	2	24/18	+0.8295 ( -0.0482)
			0.8352 0.2601 0.0062 - 0.1648 0.0490 0.0011
	4	2	14/9 13/12	+0.7700 ( -0.1077)
			0.8083 0.2698 0.0094 - 0.1917 0.0546 0.0024

Move number 56: ed&howard to play 55

Pip counts: kit&stick 152, ed&howard 121
Position ID: sO2GATA+NwgBDQ Match ID: UYl2AlAAIAAA

• ed&howard moves 14/4 10/5

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	0	14/4 10/5	-0.8013
			0.1623 0.0435 0.0011 - 0.8377 0.2235 0.0038

Move number 57: kit&stick to play 51

Pip counts: kit&stick 152, ed&howard 106
Position ID: Pu8AAA2w7YYBMA Match ID: EYFmAlAAIAAA

• kit&stick moves 13/7

Move number 58: ed&howard to play 54

Pip counts: kit&stick 146, ed&howard 106
Position ID: sN0NATA+7wAADQ Match ID: UYlyAlAAIAAA

• ed&howard cannot move

#		Ply	Move	Equity
			Cannot move

Move number 59: kit&stick to play 66

Pip counts: kit&stick 146, ed&howard 106
Position ID: Pu8AAA2w3Q0BMA Match ID: EQF7AlAAIAAA

• kit&stick moves 24/6 24/18

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	24/6 24/18	+0.8235
			0.8482 0.1932 0.0025 - 0.1518 0.0166 0.0001
	2	2	24/6 13/7	+0.8228 ( -0.0007)
			0.8401 0.2129 0.0037 - 0.1599 0.0189 0.0001
	3	2	24/12 24/18 13/7	+0.8024 ( -0.0211)
			0.8420 0.1895 0.0024 - 0.1580 0.0188 0.0001
	4	2	24/18 13/1 7/1	+0.7757 ( -0.0477)
			0.8151 0.2397 0.0031 - 0.1849 0.0319 0.0003

Move number 60: ed&howard to play 52

Pip counts: kit&stick 122, ed&howard 106
Position ID: sLsbggA+7wAADQ Match ID: UYlqAlAAIAAA

• ed&howard moves 5/3

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	2	4/2	-0.8486
			0.1395 0.0139 0.0001 - 0.8605 0.1879 0.0010
•	??	2	5/3	-0.8590 ( -0.0103)
			0.1361 0.0128 0.0001 - 0.8639 0.1880 0.0018

Move number 61: kit&stick to play 54

Pip counts: kit&stick 122, ed&howard 104
Position ID: vt4AAA2wuxuCAA Match ID: EYFyAlAAIAAA

• kit&stick moves 9/4* 8/4

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	9/4* 8/4	+0.9395
			0.8783 0.2309 0.0063 - 0.1217 0.0147 0.0002
	2	2	13/4*	+0.9247 ( -0.0148)
			0.8785 0.2192 0.0035 - 0.1215 0.0151 0.0001
	3	2	18/13 8/4*	+0.8852 ( -0.0542)
			0.8681 0.2043 0.0031 - 0.1319 0.0141 0.0001
	4	2	8/4* 7/2	+0.8797 ( -0.0598)
			0.8586 0.2382 0.0042 - 0.1414 0.0317 0.0005

Move number 62: ed&howard to play 54

Pip counts: kit&stick 113, ed&howard 108
Position ID: 2O4WggC+3gAARg Match ID: UYlyAlAAIAAA

• ed&howard cannot move

#		Ply	Move	Equity
			Cannot move

Move number 63: kit&stick to play 31

Pip counts: kit&stick 113, ed&howard 108
Position ID: vt4AAEbY7haCAA Match ID: EYFlAlAAIAAA

• kit&stick moves 13/9

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	13/9	+0.9830
			0.9001 0.2176 0.0033 - 0.0999 0.0071 0.0001
	2	2	9/5	+0.9508 ( -0.0322)
			0.8790 0.2356 0.0069 - 0.1210 0.0108 0.0001
	3	2	13/10 9/8	+0.9481 ( -0.0349)
			0.8785 0.2342 0.0066 - 0.1215 0.0105 0.0001
	4	2	18/15 13/12	+0.9477 ( -0.0352)
			0.8826 0.2267 0.0068 - 0.1174 0.0130 0.0003

Move number 64: ed&howard to play 62

Pip counts: kit&stick 109, ed&howard 108
Position ID: 2O42gAC+3gAARg Match ID: UQlrAlAAIAAA

• ed&howard moves bar/23

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	0	bar/23	-0.9982
			0.0885 0.0047 0.0000 - 0.9115 0.2051 0.0013

Move number 65: kit&stick to play 64

Pip counts: kit&stick 109, ed&howard 106
Position ID: vt4AABbY7jaAAA Match ID: EQFzAlAAIAAA

• kit&stick moves 18/12 6/2*

Annotation

Correct bot. You're smart, we're dumb, we get it.

Move number 66: ed&howard to play 61

Pip counts: kit&stick 99, ed&howard 108
Position ID: su02AgC+3gAARg Match ID: UQlnAlAAIAAA

• ed&howard moves bar/24

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	0	bar/24	-0.9640
			0.1024 0.0057 0.0000 - 0.8976 0.2048 0.0020

Move number 67: kit&stick to play 64

Pip counts: kit&stick 99, ed&howard 107
Position ID: vt4AACay7TYCAA Match ID: EQFzAlAAIAAA

• kit&stick moves 8/4 8/2

Ply

Move

Equity

•

8/4 8/2

+1.0667

0.9048	0.2624	0.0220	-	0.0952	0.0035	0.0000	+1.1006	+1.0667
0.0030	0.0056	0.0031	-	0.0030	0.0010	0.0002	0.0084	0.0105

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

176 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1056271360 and quasi-random dice

Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16

Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.

Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

12/8 7/1*

+1.0106 ( -0.0561)

0.8975	0.2358	0.0101	-	0.1025	0.0023	0.0000	+1.0475	+1.0106
0.0039	0.0068	0.0023	-	0.0039	0.0041	0.0003	0.0110	0.0122

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

176 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1056271360 and quasi-random dice

Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16

Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.

Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

12/2

+0.9688 ( -0.0980)

0.8988 0.2056 0.0027 - 0.1012 0.0055 0.0000

12/6 9/5

+0.9424 ( -0.1243)

0.8748 0.2379 0.0096 - 0.1252 0.0136 0.0001

Move number 68: ed&howard to play 11

Pip counts: kit&stick 89, ed&howard 107
Position ID: 5rYzAgC+3gAAJg Match ID: UYlkAlAAIAAA

• ed&howard moves 4/3 2/1(3)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	4/3 2/1(3)	-0.8535
			0.1362 0.0074 0.0000 - 0.8638 0.1753 0.0040
	2	2	4/3(2) 2/1(2)	-0.8589 ( -0.0054)
			0.1324 0.0077 0.0000 - 0.8676 0.1724 0.0036
	3	2	5/3 2/1(2)	-0.9193 ( -0.0658)
			0.1184 0.0063 0.0000 - 0.8816 0.1950 0.0061
	4	2	3/1 2/1(2)	-0.9262 ( -0.0727)
			0.1200 0.0057 0.0000 - 0.8800 0.2056 0.0052

Move number 69: kit&stick to play 32

Pip counts: kit&stick 89, ed&howard 103
Position ID: t90AACbmtjMCAA Match ID: EYFpAlAAIAAA

• kit&stick moves 12/9 7/5

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	12/9 7/5	+0.9147
			0.8796 0.1977 0.0037 - 0.1204 0.0069 0.0000
	2	2	12/7	+0.9020 ( -0.0127)
			0.8796 0.1853 0.0029 - 0.1204 0.0058 0.0000
	3	2	12/9 4/2	+0.8761 ( -0.0385)
			0.8701 0.1828 0.0029 - 0.1299 0.0065 0.0000
	4	2	7/2	+0.8729 ( -0.0417)
			0.8647 0.1946 0.0036 - 0.1353 0.0093 0.0001

Move number 70: ed&howard to play 61

Pip counts: kit&stick 84, ed&howard 103
Position ID: 5m5zAAC33QAAJg Match ID: UQlnAlAAIAAA

• ed&howard moves 4/3

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	4/3	-0.8280
			0.1455 0.0080 0.0000 - 0.8545 0.1738 0.0029
	2	2	3/2	-0.8925 ( -0.0645)
			0.1271 0.0062 0.0000 - 0.8729 0.1915 0.0034
	3	2	5/4	-0.8952 ( -0.0672)
			0.1259 0.0058 0.0000 - 0.8741 0.1901 0.0043
	4	2	2/1	-0.8958 ( -0.0678)
			0.1308 0.0064 0.0000 - 0.8692 0.2025 0.0046

Move number 71: kit&stick to play 31

Pip counts: kit&stick 84, ed&howard 102
Position ID: t9sAACbmbnMAAA Match ID: EYFlAlAAIAAA

• kit&stick moves 9/5

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	9/5	+0.9481
			0.8917 0.2008 0.0034 - 0.1083 0.0050 0.0000
	2	2	9/6 5/4	+0.9416 ( -0.0065)
			0.8859 0.2090 0.0039 - 0.1141 0.0066 0.0000
	3	2	5/1*	+0.8424 ( -0.1057)
			0.8605 0.1778 0.0018 - 0.1395 0.0107 0.0000
	4	2	7/6 7/4	+0.8242 ( -0.1240)
			0.8602 0.1536 0.0029 - 0.1398 0.0052 0.0000

Move number 72: ed&howard to play 31

Pip counts: kit&stick 80, ed&howard 102
Position ID: 5t5mAAC32wAAJg Match ID: UYllAlAAIAAA

• ed&howard moves 5/4 5/2

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	5/4 5/2	-0.9188
			0.1149 0.0046 0.0000 - 0.8851 0.1876 0.0029
	2	2	5/1	-0.9496 ( -0.0308)
			0.1126 0.0049 0.0000 - 0.8874 0.2118 0.0040
	3	2	5/2 3/2	-0.9602 ( -0.0414)
			0.1090 0.0042 0.0000 - 0.8910 0.2133 0.0036
	4	2	4/3 4/1	-0.9635 ( -0.0447)
			0.1082 0.0042 0.0000 - 0.8918 0.2149 0.0032

Move number 73: kit&stick to play 11

Pip counts: kit&stick 80, ed&howard 98
Position ID: d3cAACbm3mYAAA Match ID: EYFkAlAAIAAA

• kit&stick moves 9/7(2)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	9/7(2)	+0.9859
			0.9033 0.2081 0.0037 - 0.0967 0.0029 0.0000
	2	2	9/8(2) 2/1*(2)	+0.9654 ( -0.0204)
			0.9051 0.1870 0.0014 - 0.0949 0.0037 0.0000
	3	2	7/6(2) 2/1*(2)	+0.9412 ( -0.0447)
			0.8946 0.1874 0.0019 - 0.1054 0.0037 0.0000
	4	2	9/6 9/8	+0.9404 ( -0.0455)
			0.8756 0.2327 0.0052 - 0.1244 0.0083 0.0000

Move number 74: ed&howard to play 61

Pip counts: kit&stick 76, ed&howard 98
Position ID: 5t4eAAB3dwAAJg Match ID: UQlnAlAAIAAA

• ed&howard moves 22/15

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	22/15	-1.0833
			0.0984 0.0071 0.0000 - 0.9016 0.3056 0.0091
	2	2	22/16 2/1	-1.0921 ( -0.0088)
			0.0992 0.0072 0.0000 - 0.9008 0.3157 0.0098
	3	2	22/16 3/2	-1.0964 ( -0.0131)
			0.0983 0.0064 0.0000 - 0.9017 0.3178 0.0087
	4	2	22/16 4/3	-1.1004 ( -0.0171)
			0.0953 0.0061 0.0000 - 0.9047 0.3146 0.0084

Move number 75: kit&stick to play 62

Pip counts: kit&stick 76, ed&howard 91
Position ID: d3cABCTm3h4AAA Match ID: EQFrAlAAIAAA

• kit&stick moves 7/1* 5/3*

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	7/1* 5/3*	+1.1437
			0.8732 0.4403 0.0144 - 0.1268 0.0210 0.0001
	2	2	7/5 7/1*	+0.9699 ( -0.1738)
			0.8691 0.2743 0.0078 - 0.1309 0.0089 0.0000
	3	2	7/1* 4/2	+0.9016 ( -0.2421)
			0.8485 0.2577 0.0065 - 0.1515 0.0096 0.0000
	4	0	7/1* 6/4	+0.3448 ( -0.7989)
			0.6682 0.1585 0.0035 - 0.3318 0.0291 0.0002

Move number 76: ed&howard to play 65

Pip counts: kit&stick 68, ed&howard 95
Position ID: rbsdAAB3dwAEYA Match ID: UQl3AlAAIAAA

• ed&howard cannot move

#		Ply	Move	Equity
			Cannot move

Move number 77: kit&stick to play 65

Pip counts: kit&stick 68, ed&howard 95
Position ID: d3cABGCtux0AAA Match ID: EQF3AlAAIAAA

• kit&stick moves 7/2 7/1

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	0	7/2 7/1	+1.3388
			0.9154 0.5186 0.0146 - 0.0846 0.0083 0.0000
	2	0	7/1 6/1	+0.8465 ( -0.4924)
			0.8001 0.3358 0.0065 - 0.1999 0.0251 0.0002

Move number 78: ed&howard to play 31

Pip counts: kit&stick 57, ed&howard 95
Position ID: u+4WAAB3dwAEYA Match ID: UYllAlAAIAAA

• ed&howard moves bar/22*

Alert: lucky roll! ( +0.351)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	0	bar/22*	-1.0148
			0.1414 0.0139 0.0000 - 0.8586 0.3505 0.0064

Move number 79: kit&stick to play 63

Pip counts: kit&stick 79, ed&howard 92
Position ID: d3cABEQ7dwsAQA Match ID: EQFvAlAAIAAA

• kit&stick moves bar/16

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	bar/16	+1.2321
			0.8884 0.4756 0.0190 - 0.1116 0.0122 0.0001
	2	2	bar/19 7/4	+1.1782 ( -0.0539)
			0.8959 0.4089 0.0119 - 0.1041 0.0076 0.0000
	3	2	bar/19 4/1	+1.1085 ( -0.1236)
			0.8758 0.3969 0.0081 - 0.1242 0.0126 0.0000
	4	2	bar/19 5/2	+1.0837 ( -0.1484)
			0.8720 0.3824 0.0084 - 0.1280 0.0136 0.0001

Move number 80: ed&howard to play 51

Pip counts: kit&stick 70, ed&howard 92
Position ID: O3cLIAB3dwAERA Match ID: UYlmAlAAIAAA

• ed&howard cannot move

Alert: unlucky roll! ( -0.308)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
			Cannot move

Move number 81: kit&stick to play 52

Pip counts: kit&stick 70, ed&howard 92
Position ID: d3cABEQ7dwsgAA Match ID: EYFqAlAAIAAA

• kit&stick moves 16/11 5/3*

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	16/11 5/3*	+1.3862
			0.9156 0.5683 0.0167 - 0.0844 0.0152 0.0002
	2	2	7/2 5/3*	+1.3251 ( -0.0611)
			0.8983 0.5484 0.0187 - 0.1017 0.0159 0.0001
	3	2	16/11 7/5	+1.2224 ( -0.1638)
			0.9267 0.3771 0.0091 - 0.0733 0.0023 0.0000
	4	2	16/14 7/2	+1.2041 ( -0.1821)
			0.9109 0.3967 0.0107 - 0.0891 0.0045 0.0000

Move number 82: ed&howard to play 52

Pip counts: kit&stick 63, ed&howard 95
Position ID: u24LAQB3dwAEYA Match ID: UYlqAlAAIAAA

• ed&howard cannot move

#		Ply	Move	Equity
			Cannot move

Move number 83: kit&stick to play 55

Pip counts: kit&stick 63, ed&howard 95
Position ID: d3cABGC7bgsBAA Match ID: EYF2AlAAIAAA

• kit&stick moves 11/6 7/2 5/off(2)

Alert: unlucky roll! ( -0.409)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	11/6 7/2 5/off(2)	+1.2004
			0.8876 0.4460 0.0074 - 0.1124 0.0000 0.0000
	2	2	11/1 6/1(2)	+1.0350 ( -0.1655)
			0.8613 0.3646 0.0017 - 0.1387 0.0127 0.0000
	3	0	11/1 7/2 5/off	+0.8522 ( -0.3482)
			0.7843 0.3530 0.0057 - 0.2157 0.0000 0.0000
	4	0	11/1 7/2 6/1	+0.8027 ( -0.3977)
			0.7848 0.3256 0.0030 - 0.2152 0.0188 0.0000

Move number 84: ed&howard to play 54

Pip counts: kit&stick 43, ed&howard 95
Position ID: e50DAMDdHQABGA Match ID: UYlyAlAAIAAA

• ed&howard moves bar/20

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	0	bar/20	-1.3652
			0.0526 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.9474 0.4701 0.0043

Move number 85: kit&stick to play 32

Pip counts: kit&stick 43, ed&howard 90
Position ID: d3cABEF7nQMAAA Match ID: EYFpAlAAIAAA

• kit&stick moves 6/3 2/off

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	6/3 2/off	+1.4910
			0.9795 0.5168 0.0044 - 0.0205 0.0000 0.0000
	2	2	6/3 4/2	+1.4187 ( -0.0724)
			0.9756 0.4587 0.0015 - 0.0244 0.0000 0.0000
	3	2	3/off 2/off	+1.3947 ( -0.0964)
			0.9693 0.4475 0.0043 - 0.0307 0.0000 0.0000
	4	2	6/4 3/off	+1.3185 ( -0.1725)
			0.9627 0.3918 0.0018 - 0.0373 0.0000 0.0000

Move number 86: ed&howard to play 21

Pip counts: kit&stick 38, ed&howard 90
Position ID: u50BAODuDoAgCA Match ID: UQllAlAAIAAA

• ed&howard cannot move

#		Ply	Move	Equity
			Cannot move

Move number 87: kit&stick to play 55

Pip counts: kit&stick 38, ed&howard 90
Position ID: d3cABEG7nQEAAA Match ID: EYF2AlAAIAAA

• kit&stick moves 6/1(2) 4/off(2)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	0	6/1(2) 4/off(2)	+1.4539
			0.9287 0.6033 0.0012 - 0.0713 0.0000 0.0000

Move number 88: ed&howard to play 55

Pip counts: kit&stick 20, ed&howard 90
Position ID: 7xYAALi7AyAIAg Match ID: UYl2AlAAIAAA

• ed&howard moves bar/10 20/15

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	2	bar/10 15/10	-1.3682
			0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 - 1.0000 0.3549 0.0000
•	2	2	bar/10 20/15	-1.3710 ( -0.0028)
			0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 - 1.0000 0.3576 0.0000
	3	2	bar/5	-1.3855 ( -0.0173)
			0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 - 1.0000 0.3716 0.0000

Move number 89: kit&stick to play 31

Pip counts: kit&stick 20, ed&howard 70
Position ID: d3cgGADvFgAAAA Match ID: EYFlAlAAIAAA

• kit&stick moves 3/off 1/off

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	3/off 1/off	+1.3011
			1.0000 0.2902 0.0000 - 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
	2	2	3/off 2/1	+1.1106 ( -0.1905)
			1.0000 0.1066 0.0000 - 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
	3	2	3/2 3/off	+1.1103 ( -0.1908)
			1.0000 0.1064 0.0000 - 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
	4	2	4/off	+1.1079 ( -0.1932)
			1.0000 0.1041 0.0000 - 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000

Move number 90: ed&howard to play 43

Pip counts: kit&stick 16, ed&howard 70
Position ID: dwUAAO7uQDAAAA Match ID: UQluAlAAIAAA

• ed&howard moves 15/12 10/6

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	15/12 10/6	-1.2961
			0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 - 1.0000 0.2854 0.0000
	2	2	15/12 15/11	-1.3052 ( -0.0092)
			0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 - 1.0000 0.2942 0.0000
	3	2	15/8	-1.3420 ( -0.0460)
			0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 - 1.0000 0.3297 0.0000
	4	2	15/11 10/7	-1.3467 ( -0.0507)
			0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 - 1.0000 0.3342 0.0000

Move number 91: kit&stick to play 65

Pip counts: kit&stick 16, ed&howard 63
Position ID: d3cCEQB3BQAAAA Match ID: EQF3AlAAIAAA

• kit&stick moves 4/off 3/off

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	0	4/off 3/off	+1.2668
			1.0000 0.2571 0.0000 - 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000

Move number 92: ed&howard to play 32

Pip counts: kit&stick 9, ed&howard 63
Position ID: dwAAgLs7gQgAAA Match ID: UYlpAlAAIAAA

• ed&howard moves 15/10

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	15/10	-1.4083
			0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 - 1.0000 0.3936 0.0000
	2	2	15/13 12/9	-1.4334 ( -0.0251)
			0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 - 1.0000 0.4178 0.0000
	3	2	12/7	-1.4499 ( -0.0416)
			0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 - 1.0000 0.4337 0.0000
	4	2	15/12 6/4	-1.6272 ( -0.2188)
			0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 - 1.0000 0.6045 0.0000

Move number 93: kit&stick to play 41

Pip counts: kit&stick 9, ed&howard 58
Position ID: d3dCAgB3AAAAAA Match ID: EQFmAlAAIAAA

• kit&stick moves 2/off 1/off

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	2/off 1/off	+1.3000
			1.0000 0.2891 0.0000 - 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
	2	2	2/1 2/off	+1.0624 ( -0.2376)
			1.0000 0.0601 0.0000 - 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000

Move number 94: ed&howard to play 52

Pip counts: kit&stick 6, ed&howard 58
Position ID: GwAA4O5OSAAAAA Match ID: UYlqAlAAIAAA

• ed&howard moves 12/5

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	12/5	-1.3178
			0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 - 1.0000 0.3063 0.0000
	2	2	10/5 4/2	-1.6652 ( -0.3474)
			0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 - 1.0000 0.6412 0.0000
	3	2	10/5 6/4	-1.6652 ( -0.3474)
			0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 - 1.0000 0.6412 0.0000
	4	0	10/5 3/1	-1.6710 ( -0.3532)
			0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 - 1.0000 0.6467 0.0000

Move number 95: kit&stick to play 65

Pip counts: kit&stick 6, ed&howard 51
Position ID: d3eFAAAbAAAAAA Match ID: EQF3AlAAIAAA

• kit&stick moves 2/off(2)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	0	2/off(2)	+1.1861
			1.0000 0.1793 0.0000 - 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000

Move number 96: ed&howard to play 32

Pip counts: kit&stick 2, ed&howard 51
Position ID: AwAAuLsrBAAAAA Match ID: UYlpAlAAIAAA

• ed&howard moves 10/5

Alert: very unlucky roll! ( -0.836)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	2	10/7 5/3	-2.0375
			0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 - 1.0000 1.0000 0.0000
	2	2	10/7 4/2	-2.0375 ( +0.0000)
			0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 - 1.0000 1.0000 0.0000
	3	2	10/8 5/2	-2.0375 ( +0.0000)
			0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 - 1.0000 1.0000 0.0000
	4	2	5/2 4/2	-2.0375 ( +0.0000)
			0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 - 1.0000 1.0000 0.0000
•	14	2	10/5	-2.0375 ( +0.0000)
			0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 - 1.0000 1.0000 0.0000

Move number 97: kit&stick to play 21

Pip counts: kit&stick 2, ed&howard 46
Position ID: d3cLAAADAAAAAA Match ID: EQFlAlAAIAAA

• kit&stick moves 1/off(2)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	0	1/off(2)	+2.0375
			1.0000 1.0000 0.0000 - 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000

kit&stick wins 4 points

Game statistics for game 8
Player	kit&stick	ed&howard
Checker play statistics
Total moves	49	47
Unforced moves	39	32
Unmarked moves	0	0
Moves marked good	47	45
Moves marked doubtful	1	1
Moves marked bad	0	1
Moves marked very bad	1	0
Error rate (total)	-0.380 ( -3.037%)	-0.216 ( -1.314%)
Error rate (per move)	-9.74 ( -0.078%)	-6.74 ( -0.041%)
Chequerplay rating	Advanced	Expert
Luck statistics
Rolls marked very lucky	0	0
Rolls marked lucky	1	2
Rolls unmarked	47	42
Rolls marked unlucky	1	1
Rolls marked very unlucky	0	2
Luck rate (total)	-0.043 ( -2.704%)	-2.276 (-19.477%)
Luck rate (per move)	-0.88 ( -0.055%)	-48.42 ( -0.414%)
Luck rating	None	Better luck next time
Cube statistics
Total cube decisions	12	48
Close or actual cube decisions	1	4
Doubles	1	0
Takes	0	1
Passes	0	0
Missed doubles (below CP)	0	0
Missed doubles (above CP)	0	0
Wrong doubles (below DP)	1 (-0.051 ( -0.200%))	0
Wrong doubles (above TG)	0	0
Wrong takes	0	0
Wrong passes	0	0
Error rate (total)	-0.051 ( -0.200%)	+0.000
Error rate (per cube decision)	-50.69 ( -0.200%)	+0.00
Cube decision rating	Awful!	Supernatural
Overall statistics
Error rate (total)	-0.430 ( -3.238%)	-0.216 ( -1.314%)
Error rate (per decision)	-10.76 ( -0.081%)	-5.99 ( -0.036%)
Equiv. Snowie error rate	-4.48	-2.25
Overall rating	Advanced	Expert
Actual result	+16.40%	-16.40%
Luck adjusted result	-0.37%	+0.37%

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