Game number 9

The score (after 8 games) is: kit&stick 9, ed&howard 4 (match to 19 points)

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Move number 1: ed&howard to play 65

+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+
|5O ' ' '3X '|   |5X ' ' ' '2O|
|                   |   |                   |
|                 | 1 |       6 5       |
|5X ' ' '3O '|   |5O ' ' ' '2X|
+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+

Pip counts: kit&stick 167, ed&howard 167
Position ID: 4HPwATDgc/ABMA Match ID: cAl3ApAAIAAA

• ed&howard moves 24/13

# Ply Move Equity
• 1 2 24/13 +0.1585
  0.5334 0.1225 0.0043 - 0.4666 0.1202 0.0026  
  2 2 24/18 13/8 +0.1303 ( -0.0282)
  0.5210 0.1329 0.0058 - 0.4790 0.1285 0.0034  
  3 2 13/8 13/7 +0.0467 ( -0.1118)
  0.4909 0.1442 0.0068 - 0.5091 0.1396 0.0059  
  4 2 13/2 -0.0223 ( -0.1808)
  0.4742 0.1387 0.0058 - 0.5258 0.1500 0.0061  

Move number 2: kit&stick to play 65

+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+
|6O ' ' '3X '|   |5X ' ' ' '1O|
|                   |   |                   |
|       6 5       | 1 |                 |
|5X ' ' '3O '|   |5O ' ' ' '2X|
+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+

Pip counts: kit&stick 167, ed&howard 156
Position ID: 4HPwAyDgc/ABMA Match ID: MAF3ApAAIAAA

• kit&stick moves 24/13

# Ply Move Equity
• 1 2 24/13 -0.1519
  0.4748 0.0930 0.0015 - 0.5252 0.1154 0.0022  
  2 2 24/18 13/8 -0.1817 ( -0.0298)
  0.4690 0.1061 0.0025 - 0.5310 0.1315 0.0030  
  3 2 13/8 13/7 -0.2432 ( -0.0913)
  0.4441 0.1193 0.0026 - 0.5559 0.1300 0.0050  
  4 2 13/7 6/1* -0.2501 ( -0.0982)
  0.4462 0.1187 0.0025 - 0.5538 0.1371 0.0061  

Move number 3: ed&howard to play 52

+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+
|6O ' ' '3X '|   |5X ' ' ' '1O|
|                   |   |                   |
|                 | 1 |       5 2       |
|6X ' ' '3O '|   |5O ' ' ' '1X|
+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+

Pip counts: kit&stick 156, ed&howard 156
Position ID: 4HPwAyDgc/ADIA Match ID: cIlqApAAIAAA

• ed&howard moves 13/11 13/8

# Ply Move Equity
• 1 2 13/11 13/8 +0.1461
  0.5258 0.1201 0.0021 - 0.4742 0.1035 0.0019  
  2 2 24/22 13/8 +0.1229 ( -0.0232)
  0.5268 0.1042 0.0021 - 0.4732 0.1061 0.0019  
  3 2 13/6 +0.0738 ( -0.0723)
  0.5083 0.1058 0.0015 - 0.4917 0.1032 0.0018  
  4 2 13/11 6/1* +0.0225 ( -0.1236)
  0.4883 0.1190 0.0019 - 0.5117 0.1136 0.0031  

Move number 4: kit&stick to play 41

+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+
|4O ' ' '3X '|   |5X ' ' ' '1O|
|                   |   |                   |
|       4 1       | 1 |                 |
|6X1O ' '4O '|   |5O ' ' ' '1X|
+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+

Pip counts: kit&stick 156, ed&howard 149
Position ID: 4PPIAyDgc/ADIA Match ID: MAFmApAAIAAA

• kit&stick moves 13/8

# Ply Move Equity
• 1 2 13/8 -0.2870
  0.4430 0.0863 0.0013 - 0.5570 0.1347 0.0026  
  2 2 24/23 13/9 -0.3176 ( -0.0306)
  0.4352 0.0905 0.0015 - 0.5648 0.1424 0.0030  
  3 2 13/9 6/5 -0.3310 ( -0.0440)
  0.4321 0.0963 0.0021 - 0.5679 0.1489 0.0053  
  4 2 6/1* -0.3534 ( -0.0664)
  0.4217 0.0891 0.0014 - 0.5783 0.1364 0.0039  

Move number 5: ed&howard to play 43

+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+
|4O ' ' '4X '|   |5X ' ' ' '1O|
|                   |   |                   |
|                 | 1 |       4 3       |
|5X1O ' '4O '|   |5O ' ' ' '1X|
+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+

Pip counts: kit&stick 151, ed&howard 149
Position ID: 4PPgAyDg88gDIA Match ID: cAluApAAIAAA

• ed&howard moves 24/20 13/10

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity +0.1594(Money: +0.1638)
 0.5570 0.1347 0.0026 - 0.4430 0.0863 0.0013
Cubeful equities:
1.No double +0.2870 
2.Double, pass +1.0000 +0.7130
3.Double, take +0.1456 -0.1414
Proper cube action:No double, take (16.5%)

 

# Ply Move Equity
  1 2 13/6 +0.1135
  0.5167 0.1171 0.0016 - 0.4833 0.1033 0.0018  
  2 2 24/21 13/9 +0.1045 ( -0.0090)
  0.5175 0.1146 0.0027 - 0.4825 0.1106 0.0024  
  3 2 13/9 11/8 +0.1000 ( -0.0136)
  0.5119 0.1150 0.0016 - 0.4881 0.0989 0.0017  
  4 2 13/10 13/9 +0.0933 ( -0.0202)
  0.5055 0.1319 0.0027 - 0.4945 0.1119 0.0032  
• 5 2 24/20 13/10 +0.0808 ( -0.0328)
  0.5130 0.1090 0.0026 - 0.4870 0.1123 0.0024  

Move number 6: kit&stick to play 65

+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+
|3O ' ' '4X '|   |5X1O ' ' ' '|
|                   |   |                   |
|       6 5       | 1 |                 |
|5X1O1O '4O '|   |5O ' ' ' '1X|
+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+

Pip counts: kit&stick 151, ed&howard 142
Position ID: 4POUAwLg8+ADIA Match ID: MAF3ApAAIAAA

• kit&stick moves 24/13

# Ply Move Equity
• 1 2 24/13 -0.0042
  0.5031 0.0233 0.0003 - 0.4969 0.0185 0.0002  
  2 2 13/2 -0.3611 ( -0.3569)
  0.4167 0.0813 0.0011 - 0.5833 0.1268 0.0029  
  3 2 13/8 13/7 -0.3621 ( -0.3579)
  0.4127 0.0800 0.0012 - 0.5873 0.1160 0.0027  
  4 2 13/7 8/3 -0.4026 ( -0.3985)
  0.4044 0.0853 0.0015 - 0.5956 0.1300 0.0041  

Move number 7: ed&howard to play 51

+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+
|3O ' ' '4X '|   |5X1O ' ' ' '|
|                   |   |                   |
|                 | 1 |       5 1       |
|6X1O1O '4O '|   |5O ' ' ' ' '|
+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+

Pip counts: kit&stick 140, ed&howard 142
Position ID: 4PPgBwDg85QDAg Match ID: cIlmApAAIAAA

• ed&howard moves 10/5 6/5

# Ply Move Equity
• 1 2 10/5 6/5 -0.0611
  0.4777 0.0303 0.0002 - 0.5223 0.0347 0.0006  
  2 2 10/5 8/7 -0.0705 ( -0.0094)
  0.4692 0.0544 0.0006 - 0.5308 0.0518 0.0010  
  3 2 13/8 6/5 -0.0780 ( -0.0169)
  0.4684 0.0533 0.0006 - 0.5316 0.0550 0.0012  
  4 2 20/14 -0.0840 ( -0.0229)
  0.4739 0.0177 0.0001 - 0.5261 0.0300 0.0005  

Move number 8: kit&stick to play 21

+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+
|3O ' ' '4X '|   |5X1O ' ' ' '|
|                   |   |                   |
|       2 1       | 1 |                 |
|6X1O ' '4O '|   |4O2O ' ' ' '|
+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+

Pip counts: kit&stick 140, ed&howard 136
Position ID: sOeRAwLg8+AHAA Match ID: MAFlApAAIAAA

• kit&stick moves 6/3

# Ply Move Equity
• 1 2 6/3 -0.2052
  0.4387 0.0187 0.0003 - 0.5613 0.0237 0.0003  
  2 2 13/11 6/5* -0.2377 ( -0.0325)
  0.4640 0.0591 0.0009 - 0.5360 0.1265 0.0031  
  3 2 8/5* -0.3607 ( -0.1555)
  0.4325 0.0547 0.0008 - 0.5675 0.1328 0.0029  
  4 2 6/5*/3 -0.3885 ( -0.1833)
  0.4286 0.0522 0.0008 - 0.5714 0.1370 0.0030  

Move number 9: ed&howard to play 42

+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+
|3O ' ' '4X '|   |4X1O '1X ' '|
|                   |   |                   |
|                 | 1 |       4 2       |
|6X1O ' '4O '|   |4O2O ' ' ' '|
+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+

Pip counts: kit&stick 137, ed&howard 136
Position ID: xPPgBwCw55EDAg Match ID: cAlqApAAIAAA

• ed&howard moves 8/4 6/4


Annotation
Minimize shots and get into a race where you're slightly ahead instead of lingering back where we have pick & pass numbers, or the more likely scenario, we strengthen our board and then you don't get away. Run while we have the blot.

Move number 10: kit&stick to play 22

+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+
|3O ' ' '4X '|   |4X1O '1X ' '|
|                   |   |                   |
|       2 2       | 1 |                 |
|6X1O ' '3O '|   |3O2O2O ' ' '|
+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+

Pip counts: kit&stick 137, ed&howard 130
Position ID: 2M6RAwLE8+AHAA Match ID: MAFpApAAIAAA

• kit&stick moves 13/11(2) 6/4(2)

# Ply Move Equity
  1 2 13/11(3) 8/6 +0.0334
  0.5176 0.0290 0.0005 - 0.4824 0.0279 0.0002  
• 2 2 13/11(2) 6/4(2) +0.0232 ( -0.0101)
  0.5146 0.0375 0.0007 - 0.4854 0.0349 0.0005  
  3 2 13/11(4) +0.0218 ( -0.0116)
  0.5149 0.0290 0.0005 - 0.4851 0.0304 0.0003  
  4 2 13/11(3) 6/4 +0.0072 ( -0.0261)
  0.5087 0.0245 0.0005 - 0.4913 0.0246 0.0003  

Move number 11: ed&howard to play 55

+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+
|3O2X ' '4X '|   |2X1O2X1X ' '|
|                   |   |                   |
|                 | 1 |       5 5       |
|4X1O ' '3O '|   |3O2O2O ' ' '|
+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+

Pip counts: kit&stick 129, ed&howard 130
Position ID: NPOYBwDYzpEDAg Match ID: cIl2ApAAIAAA

• ed&howard moves 20/5 11/6

Alert: very lucky roll! ( +0.797)

# Ply Move Equity
  1 2 20/10 13/3 +0.8991
  0.7699 0.0035 0.0000 - 0.2301 0.0005 0.0000  
  2 2 20/5 13/8 +0.8949 ( -0.0041)
  0.7660 0.0044 0.0000 - 0.2340 0.0005 0.0000  
  3 2 20/5 8/3 +0.8928 ( -0.0062)
  0.7661 0.0049 0.0000 - 0.2339 0.0007 0.0000  
  4 2 20/10 11/6 8/3 +0.8922 ( -0.0068)
  0.7660 0.0042 0.0000 - 0.2340 0.0007 0.0000  
• 6 2 20/5 11/6 +0.8892 ( -0.0099)
  0.7637 0.0042 0.0000 - 0.2363 0.0006 0.0000  

Move number 12: kit&stick to play 21

+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+
|3O2X ' '4X '|   |2X '2X1X ' '|
|                   |   |                   |
|       2 1       | 1 |                 |
|4X ' ' '3O '|   |4O3O2O ' ' '|
+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+

Pip counts: kit&stick 129, ed&howard 110
Position ID: 2D0HBwA085gHAA Match ID: MAFlApAAIAAA

• kit&stick moves 8/5

# Ply Move Equity
  1 2 11/10 8/6 -1.0000
  0.1800 0.0008 0.0000 - 0.8200 0.0035 0.0000  
  2 2 11/9 8/7 -1.0000 ( +0.0000)
  0.1797 0.0007 0.0000 - 0.8203 0.0030 0.0000  
  3 2 13/11 6/5 -1.0000 ( +0.0000)
  0.1803 0.0009 0.0000 - 0.8197 0.0048 0.0000  
  4 2 8/7 8/6 -1.0000 ( +0.0000)
  0.1791 0.0009 0.0000 - 0.8209 0.0037 0.0000  
• 5 2 8/5 -1.0000 ( +0.0000)
  0.1788 0.0008 0.0000 - 0.8212 0.0035 0.0000  

Move number 13: ed&howard doubles to 2

+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+
|3O2X ' '3X '|   |2X1X2X1X ' '|
|                   |   |                   |
|                 |   |       [2]       |
|4X ' ' '3O '|   |4O3O2O ' ' '|
+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+

Pip counts: kit&stick 126, ed&howard 110
Position ID: tOaYBwDYPQcHAA Match ID: cBFgApAAIAAA

• kit&stick rejects

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity +0.6450(Money: +0.6450)
 0.8212 0.0035 0.0000 - 0.1788 0.0008 0.0000
Cubeful equities:
1.Double, pass +1.0000 
2.Double, take +1.1838 +0.1838
3.No double +0.9461 -0.0539
Proper cube action:Double, pass

 

ed&howard wins 1 point

Game statistics for game 9
Playerkit&sticked&howard
Checker play statistics
Total moves 6 6
Unforced moves 6 6
Unmarked moves 0 0
Moves marked good 6 5
Moves marked doubtful 0 1
Moves marked bad 0 0
Moves marked very bad 0 0
Error rate (total) -0.010 ( -0.038%) -0.090 ( -0.343%)
Error rate (per move) -1.69 ( -0.006%) -15.04 ( -0.057%)
Chequerplay rating Supernatural Intermediate
Luck statistics
Rolls marked very lucky 0 1
Rolls marked lucky 0 0
Rolls unmarked 6 5
Rolls marked unlucky 0 0
Rolls marked very unlucky 0 0
Luck rate (total) -0.528 ( -2.006%) +0.258 ( +0.980%)
Luck rate (per move) -87.99 ( -0.334%) +42.98 ( +0.163%)
Luck rating Go to bed Good dice, man!
Cube statistics
Total cube decisions 7 6
Close or actual cube decisions 1 2
Doubles 0 1
Takes 0 0
Passes 1 0
Missed doubles (below CP) 0 0
Missed doubles (above CP) 0 0
Wrong doubles (below DP) 0 0
Wrong doubles (above TG) 0 0
Wrong takes 0 0
Wrong passes 0 0
Error rate (total) +0.000 +0.000
Error rate (per cube decision) +0.00 +0.00
Cube decision rating Supernatural Supernatural
Overall statistics
Error rate (total) -0.010 ( -0.038%) -0.090 ( -0.343%)
Error rate (per decision) -1.45 ( -0.005%) -11.28 ( -0.043%)
Equiv. Snowie error rate -0.84 -7.52
Overall rating Supernatural Advanced
Actual result -3.40% +3.40%
Luck adjusted result -0.41% +0.41%

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