Game number 10

The score (after 9 games) is: kit&stick 9, ed&howard 5 (match to 19 points)

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Move number 1: ed&howard to play 63

+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+

+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+

Pip counts: kit&stick 167, ed&howard 167
Position ID: 4HPwATDgc/ABMA Match ID: cAlvApAAKAAA

• ed&howard moves 24/18 13/10

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	24/18 13/10	+0.0989
			0.5141 0.1362 0.0063 - 0.4859 0.1363 0.0044
	2	2	24/15	+0.0690 ( -0.0299)
			0.5098 0.1229 0.0047 - 0.4902 0.1335 0.0037
	3	2	13/4	+0.0393 ( -0.0596)
			0.4925 0.1435 0.0060 - 0.5075 0.1409 0.0062
	4	2	24/21 13/7	+0.0376 ( -0.0613)
			0.4937 0.1389 0.0066 - 0.5063 0.1401 0.0052

Move number 2: kit&stick to play 53

Pip counts: kit&stick 167, ed&howard 158
Position ID: 4HPiQSDgc/ABMA Match ID: MIFuApAAKAAA

• kit&stick moves 8/3 6/3

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	8/3 6/3	-0.1857
			0.4629 0.1287 0.0037 - 0.5371 0.1414 0.0062
	2	2	24/21 6/1*	-0.2127 ( -0.0270)
			0.4603 0.1176 0.0038 - 0.5397 0.1427 0.0059
	3	2	24/21 13/8	-0.2212 ( -0.0355)
			0.4585 0.1106 0.0032 - 0.5415 0.1425 0.0045
	4	2	13/5	-0.2739 ( -0.0881)
			0.4433 0.1159 0.0034 - 0.5567 0.1488 0.0074

Move number 3: ed&howard to play 11

Pip counts: kit&stick 159, ed&howard 158
Position ID: jGfwATDgc+JBIA Match ID: cIlkApAAKAAA

• ed&howard moves 8/7(2) 6/5(2)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	8/7(2) 6/5(2)	+0.3377
			0.5746 0.1804 0.0114 - 0.4254 0.1547 0.0071
	2	2	10/8 6/5(2)	+0.3125 ( -0.0251)
			0.5706 0.1627 0.0094 - 0.4294 0.1337 0.0042
	3	2	8/5 6/5	+0.2958 ( -0.0419)
			0.5634 0.1701 0.0107 - 0.4366 0.1414 0.0056
	4	2	10/9 6/5(3)	+0.2954 ( -0.0423)
			0.5639 0.1697 0.0103 - 0.4361 0.1444 0.0056

Move number 4: kit&stick to play 51

Pip counts: kit&stick 159, ed&howard 154
Position ID: sFviQSCMZ/ABMA Match ID: MIFmApAAKAAA

• kit&stick moves 8/7* 6/1*

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	8/7* 6/1*	-0.4004
			0.4193 0.1736 0.0079 - 0.5807 0.2075 0.0186
	2	2	13/7*	-0.4670 ( -0.0667)
			0.4020 0.1386 0.0066 - 0.5980 0.1906 0.0127
	3	2	24/23 6/1*	-0.5029 ( -0.1026)
			0.3946 0.1291 0.0047 - 0.6054 0.1890 0.0105
	4	2	24/23 13/8	-0.5543 ( -0.1539)
			0.3756 0.1080 0.0028 - 0.6244 0.1758 0.0072

Move number 5: ed&howard to play 31

Pip counts: kit&stick 153, ed&howard 162
Position ID: GVfwATCwW+IBYA Match ID: cIllApAAKAAA

• ed&howard moves bar/24*

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		+0.1975	(Money: +0.2060)
	0.5807 0.2075 0.0186 - 0.4193 0.1736 0.0079
Cubeful equities:
1.	No double	+0.4004
2.	Double, pass	+1.0000	+0.5996
3.	Double, take	+0.3129	-0.0875
Proper cube action:		No double, take (12.7%)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	0	bar/24*	+0.5203
			0.6036 0.2271 0.0233 - 0.3964 0.1337 0.0068

Move number 6: kit&stick to play 53

Pip counts: kit&stick 177, ed&howard 161
Position ID: sFviAVCMK/gAWA Match ID: MIFuApAAKAAA

• kit&stick moves bar/17*

Alert: lucky roll! ( +0.381)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	0	bar/17*	-0.1129
			0.4860 0.1813 0.0130 - 0.5140 0.1712 0.0163
	2	0	bar/22 13/8	-0.5239 ( -0.4110)
			0.3962 0.1271 0.0063 - 0.6038 0.2219 0.0215
	3	0	bar/22 6/1*	-0.6152 ( -0.5024)
			0.3901 0.1320 0.0060 - 0.6099 0.2416 0.0326
	4	0	bar/22 8/3	-0.8820 ( -0.7691)
			0.3446 0.0992 0.0041 - 0.6554 0.2492 0.0277

Move number 7: ed&howard to play 64

Pip counts: kit&stick 169, ed&howard 178
Position ID: jCv4EDCwG/EAaA Match ID: cAlzApAAKAAA

• ed&howard moves bar/21

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	0	bar/21	+0.0579
			0.5043 0.1623 0.0131 - 0.4957 0.1901 0.0130

Move number 8: kit&stick to play 64

Pip counts: kit&stick 169, ed&howard 174
Position ID: sBvxAFGMK/gQMA Match ID: MAFzApAAKAAA

• kit&stick moves 13/7 8/4*

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	13/7 8/4*	-0.1042
			0.4883 0.1950 0.0164 - 0.5117 0.1759 0.0137
	2	2	17/11 8/4*	-0.2327 ( -0.1285)
			0.4624 0.1731 0.0119 - 0.5376 0.1856 0.0170
	3	2	17/7	-0.2930 ( -0.1888)
			0.4429 0.1373 0.0068 - 0.5571 0.1731 0.0096
	4	2	13/9 13/7	-0.3489 ( -0.2446)
			0.4362 0.1562 0.0110 - 0.5638 0.2103 0.0194

Move number 9: ed&howard to play 32

Pip counts: kit&stick 159, ed&howard 178
Position ID: LDfwEDCwG/EAaA Match ID: cIlpApAAKAAA

• ed&howard moves bar/23

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	0	bar/23	-0.1723
			0.4586 0.1362 0.0088 - 0.5414 0.2356 0.0187

Move number 10: kit&stick to play 62

Pip counts: kit&stick 159, ed&howard 176
Position ID: sBvxAFQsN/AQMA Match ID: MAFrApAAKAAA

• kit&stick moves 17/11 6/4

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	2	13/7 6/4	+0.2415
			0.5564 0.2399 0.0191 - 0.4436 0.1316 0.0063
•	2	2	17/11 6/4	+0.2318 ( -0.0097)
			0.5598 0.2228 0.0152 - 0.4402 0.1255 0.0055
	3	2	17/15*/9	+0.1700 ( -0.0715)
			0.5380 0.2373 0.0220 - 0.4620 0.1390 0.0080
	4	2	17/15* 13/7	+0.1008 ( -0.1407)
			0.5247 0.2292 0.0209 - 0.4753 0.1476 0.0083

Move number 11: ed&howard to play 63

Pip counts: kit&stick 151, ed&howard 176
Position ID: bDbkATCwG/EAVA Match ID: cAlvApAAKAAA

• ed&howard cannot move

Alert: unlucky roll! ( -0.338)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
			Cannot move

Move number 12: kit&stick to play 32

Pip counts: kit&stick 151, ed&howard 176
Position ID: sBvxAFRsNuQBMA Match ID: MIFpApAAKAAA

• kit&stick moves 24/21 13/11

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		+0.4577	(Money: +0.4398)
	0.6117 0.2951 0.0250 - 0.3883 0.0997 0.0041
Cubeful equities:
1.	No double	+0.5383
2.	Double, pass	+1.0000	+0.4617
3.	Double, take	+0.4320	-0.1063
Proper cube action:		No double, take (18.7%)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	24/21 13/11	+0.6053
			0.6367 0.2791 0.0247 - 0.3633 0.0884 0.0028
	2	2	24/22 24/21	+0.5918 ( -0.0135)
			0.6354 0.2727 0.0241 - 0.3646 0.0892 0.0028
	3	2	24/21 11/9	+0.5355 ( -0.0698)
			0.6152 0.2785 0.0251 - 0.3848 0.0989 0.0038
	4	2	24/22 13/10	+0.5010 ( -0.1043)
			0.6100 0.2619 0.0199 - 0.3900 0.1027 0.0040

Move number 13: ed&howard to play 64

Pip counts: kit&stick 146, ed&howard 176
Position ID: bDbMASKwG/EAVA Match ID: cAlzApAAKAAA

• ed&howard cannot move

Alert: unlucky roll! ( -0.453)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
			Cannot move

Move number 14: kit&stick to play 11

Pip counts: kit&stick 146, ed&howard 176
Position ID: sBvxAFRsNswBIg Match ID: MIFkApAAKAAA

• kit&stick moves 7/5(2)

Alert: missed double ( -0.1157)! [bad]

Cube decision

Rollout cubeless equity

+0.6937

(Money: +0.6913)

Cubeful equities:

Double, pass

+1.0000

Double, take

+1.0801

+0.0801

No double

+0.8843

-0.1157

Proper cube action:

Double, pass

Rollout details

	Win	W g	W bg		Lose	L g	L bg	Cubeless	Cubeful
Centered 1-cube	0.6779	0.3559	0.0439	-	0.3221	0.0619	0.0024	+0.6937	+0.8843
Standard error	0.0040	0.0047	0.0042	-	0.0040	0.0022	0.0003	0.0116	0.0265
Player ed&howard owns 2-cube	0.6770	0.3657	0.0454	-	0.3230	0.0555	0.0032	+1.4178	+1.0801
Standard error	0.0059	0.0064	0.0043	-	0.0059	0.0030	0.0004	0.0320	0.0454

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

250 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1056271360 and quasi-random dice

Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16

Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.

Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	7/5(2)	+1.0041
			0.7226 0.3759 0.0389 - 0.2774 0.0596 0.0018
	2	2	3/2/1(2)	+0.9504 ( -0.0537)
			0.7020 0.4434 0.0393 - 0.2980 0.0675 0.0021
	3	2	24/22 3/2*(2)	+0.8979 ( -0.1063)
			0.6872 0.3702 0.0403 - 0.3128 0.0688 0.0020
	4	2	24/23 11/10 3/2*(2)	+0.8645 ( -0.1397)
			0.6755 0.3790 0.0430 - 0.3245 0.0768 0.0028

Annotation

Were we sleeping? I don't think we discussed this, though I could be wrong, and I certainly don't think we're TG. We'll make up for it in a few turns though...

Move number 15: ed&howard to play 32

Pip counts: kit&stick 142, ed&howard 176
Position ID: bBvMASKwG/EAVA Match ID: cIlpApAAKAAA

• ed&howard moves bar/23 13/10

Alert: lucky roll! ( +0.314)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	bar/23 13/10	-0.6119
			0.3619 0.0814 0.0021 - 0.6381 0.2546 0.0178
	2	2	bar/23 10/7	-0.7592 ( -0.1474)
			0.3274 0.0699 0.0016 - 0.6726 0.2531 0.0147
	3	0	bar/23 6/3	-1.0000 ( -0.3881)
			0.2936 0.0535 0.0008 - 0.7064 0.3756 0.0466
	4	0	bar/23 7/4*	-1.0000 ( -0.3881)
			0.3119 0.0653 0.0015 - 0.6881 0.4093 0.0846

Move number 16: kit&stick to play 55

Pip counts: kit&stick 142, ed&howard 171
Position ID: sBvjACxsG8wBIg Match ID: MIF2ApAAKAAA

• kit&stick moves 11/1*(2)

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		+0.4805	(Money: +0.4651)
	0.6381 0.2546 0.0178 - 0.3619 0.0814 0.0021
Cubeful equities:
1.	No double	+0.6119
2.	Double, pass	+1.0000	+0.3881
3.	Double, take	+0.5426	-0.0693
Proper cube action:		No double, take (15.1%)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	11/1*(2)	+0.8282
			0.6560 0.3345 0.0166 - 0.3440 0.0647 0.0017
	2	2	21/1*	+0.6646 ( -0.1636)
			0.6460 0.2738 0.0153 - 0.3540 0.0797 0.0026
	3	2	21/11 13/8(2)	+0.6542 ( -0.1740)
			0.6413 0.2649 0.0168 - 0.3587 0.0718 0.0020
	4	2	21/6 13/8	+0.6234 ( -0.2048)
			0.6355 0.2736 0.0172 - 0.3645 0.0802 0.0028

Move number 17: ed&howard to play 66

Pip counts: kit&stick 122, ed&howard 172
Position ID: s23AASKwG+MATA Match ID: cAl7ApAAKAAA

• ed&howard cannot move

#		Ply	Move	Equity
			Cannot move

Move number 18: kit&stick to play 42

Pip counts: kit&stick 122, ed&howard 172
Position ID: sBvjAEyzbcABIg Match ID: MAFqApAAKAAA

• kit&stick moves 24/22 21/17

Alert: double decision marked bad

Cube decision

Rollout cubeless equity

+0.6015

(Money: +0.5923)

Cubeful equities:

No double

+0.7569

Double, pass

+1.0000

+0.2431

Double, take

+0.7413

-0.0156

Proper cube action:

No double, take (6.0%)

Rollout details

	Win	W g	W bg		Lose	L g	L bg	Cubeless	Cubeful
Centered 1-cube	0.6523	0.3345	0.0165	-	0.3477	0.0612	0.0021	+0.6015	+0.7569
Standard error	0.0026	0.0027	0.0008	-	0.0026	0.0021	0.0003	0.0070	0.0217
Player ed&howard owns 2-cube	0.6490	0.3401	0.0164	-	0.3510	0.0606	0.0020	+1.1845	+0.7413
Standard error	0.0039	0.0045	0.0016	-	0.0039	0.0028	0.0005	0.0229	0.0365

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

304 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1056271360 and quasi-random dice

Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16

Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.

Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	24/22 21/17	+0.8895
			0.7054 0.3561 0.0156 - 0.2946 0.0485 0.0012
	2	2	24/22 13/9	+0.8771 ( -0.0125)
			0.6851 0.3636 0.0180 - 0.3149 0.0545 0.0015
	3	2	21/17 13/11	+0.8382 ( -0.0513)
			0.6818 0.3564 0.0167 - 0.3182 0.0548 0.0015
	4	2	13/7	+0.7882 ( -0.1014)
			0.6415 0.3372 0.0167 - 0.3585 0.0690 0.0019

Annotation

We discussed cubing here aloud which greatly helped our double when we cubed next turn. Kit said something along the lines of "We'll probably escape a back checker and they fan, when this happens do they still have a take? If so then we roll on." We rolled, they took the hook, line, & sinker routine.

Move number 19: ed&howard to play 43

Pip counts: kit&stick 116, ed&howard 172
Position ID: s23AIQiwG+MATA Match ID: cAluApAAKAAA

• ed&howard cannot move

#		Ply	Move	Equity
			Cannot move

Annotation

This is why we didn't cube them out earlier? lol

Move number 20: kit&stick doubles to 2

Pip counts: kit&stick 116, ed&howard 172
Position ID: sBvjAEyzbcAhCA Match ID: MBlgApAAKAAA

• ed&howard accepts

Alert: wrong take ( -0.1602)! [very bad]

Cube decision

Rollout cubeless equity

+0.7519

(Money: +0.7386)

Cubeful equities:

Double, pass

+1.0000

Double, take

+1.1602

+0.1602

No double

+0.8534

-0.1466

Proper cube action:

Double, pass

Rollout details

	Win	W g	W bg		Lose	L g	L bg	Cubeless	Cubeful
Centered 1-cube	0.7000	0.3604	0.0164	-	0.3000	0.0376	0.0006	+0.7519	+0.8534
Standard error	0.0027	0.0027	0.0009	-	0.0027	0.0021	0.0002	0.0070	0.0187
Player ed&howard owns 2-cube	0.6997	0.3702	0.0190	-	0.3003	0.0386	0.0015	+1.5160	+1.1602
Standard error	0.0034	0.0039	0.0015	-	0.0034	0.0026	0.0002	0.0191	0.0293

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

368 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1056271360 and quasi-random dice

Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16

Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.

Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Move number 21: kit&stick to play 54

Pip counts: kit&stick 116, ed&howard 172
Position ID: sBvjAEyzbcAhCA Match ID: EYFyApAAKAAA

• kit&stick moves 22/13

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	2	22/17 13/9	+0.7267
			0.7471 0.3912 0.0143 - 0.2529 0.0314 0.0007
•	2	2	22/13	+0.7090 ( -0.0177)
			0.7412 0.3865 0.0145 - 0.2588 0.0304 0.0007
	3	2	17/8	+0.6291 ( -0.0976)
			0.7141 0.3859 0.0170 - 0.2859 0.0383 0.0009
	4	2	13/4	+0.5418 ( -0.1848)
			0.6900 0.3756 0.0164 - 0.3100 0.0485 0.0012

Move number 22: ed&howard to play 64

Pip counts: kit&stick 107, ed&howard 172
Position ID: s23AQwCwG+MATA Match ID: UQlzApAAKAAA

• ed&howard cannot move

#		Ply	Move	Equity
			Cannot move

Move number 23: kit&stick to play 52

Pip counts: kit&stick 107, ed&howard 172
Position ID: sBvjAEyzbcBDAA Match ID: EYFqApAAKAAA

• kit&stick moves 13/6

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	13/6	+0.7971
			0.7567 0.4250 0.0153 - 0.2433 0.0226 0.0004
	2	2	13/11 13/8	+0.7858 ( -0.0113)
			0.7542 0.4268 0.0157 - 0.2458 0.0272 0.0007
	3	0	13/8 6/4	+0.1108 ( -0.6864)
			0.5864 0.3042 0.0130 - 0.4136 0.1116 0.0052
	4	0	6/4 6/1	+0.1101 ( -0.6870)
			0.5831 0.2609 0.0069 - 0.4169 0.0818 0.0017

Move number 24: ed&howard to play 21

Pip counts: kit&stick 100, ed&howard 172
Position ID: s+2AQwCwG+MATA Match ID: UQllApAAKAAA

• ed&howard moves bar/23 6/5

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	bar/23 6/5	-0.4584
			0.3174 0.0330 0.0004 - 0.6826 0.2845 0.0109
	2	2	bar/23 5/4	-0.5038 ( -0.0454)
			0.3062 0.0295 0.0003 - 0.6938 0.2964 0.0126
	3	2	bar/23 7/6	-0.5204 ( -0.0620)
			0.2971 0.0314 0.0004 - 0.7029 0.2927 0.0120
	4	2	bar/23 10/9	-0.7420 ( -0.2836)
			0.2807 0.0235 0.0002 - 0.7193 0.4557 0.0308

Move number 25: kit&stick to play 22

Pip counts: kit&stick 100, ed&howard 169
Position ID: cBvjAByz7YBDAA Match ID: EQFpApAAKAAA

• kit&stick moves 13/11(3) 6/4

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	13/11(3) 6/4	+0.3690
			0.6540 0.2831 0.0109 - 0.3460 0.0446 0.0006
	2	2	13/9 13/11(2)	+0.3568 ( -0.0123)
			0.6507 0.2837 0.0119 - 0.3493 0.0482 0.0008
	3	2	13/5	+0.3173 ( -0.0517)
			0.6400 0.2827 0.0111 - 0.3600 0.0551 0.0010
	4	2	13/7 6/4	+0.1991 ( -0.1699)
			0.6076 0.2730 0.0108 - 0.3924 0.0712 0.0017

Move number 26: ed&howard to play 61

Pip counts: kit&stick 92, ed&howard 169
Position ID: s9vgQABwG+MAHA Match ID: UQlnApAAKAAA

• ed&howard moves 13/6

Annotation

An oversight perhaps.

Move number 27: kit&stick to play 65

Pip counts: kit&stick 92, ed&howard 162
Position ID: cDfGAByz2+BAAA Match ID: EQF3ApAAKAAA

• kit&stick moves 17/6

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	0	17/6	+0.8329
			0.7984 0.3400 0.0071 - 0.2016 0.0099 0.0000
	2	0	11/6 11/5	+0.2658 ( -0.5671)
			0.6191 0.2717 0.0089 - 0.3809 0.0457 0.0007
	3	0	17/11 6/1	+0.1971 ( -0.6359)
			0.6129 0.2403 0.0050 - 0.3871 0.0621 0.0008
	4	0	11/5 6/1	-0.2696 ( -1.1025)
			0.4782 0.2016 0.0053 - 0.5217 0.1239 0.0027

Move number 28: ed&howard to play 42

Pip counts: kit&stick 81, ed&howard 162
Position ID: s9vBAQBwN8YAHA Match ID: UQlqApAAKAAA

• ed&howard moves 13/9 6/4

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	13/9 6/4	-0.7269
			0.2479 0.0124 0.0001 - 0.7521 0.3506 0.0146
	2	2	10/4	-0.7304 ( -0.0035)
			0.2451 0.0131 0.0001 - 0.7549 0.3481 0.0135
	3	2	13/9 10/8	-0.7455 ( -0.0186)
			0.2420 0.0113 0.0001 - 0.7580 0.3522 0.0145
	4	2	13/11 13/9	-0.7472 ( -0.0203)
			0.2346 0.0115 0.0001 - 0.7654 0.3367 0.0109

Move number 29: kit&stick to play 61

Pip counts: kit&stick 81, ed&howard 156
Position ID: 6DaNAByz28EBAA Match ID: EQFnApAAKAAA

• kit&stick moves 11/5 4/3

Ply

Move

Equity

11/5 6/5

+0.8346

0.7891	0.3687	0.0179	-	0.2109	0.0108	0.0001	+0.9512	+0.8346
0.0032	0.0040	0.0014	-	0.0032	0.0013	0.0001	0.0075	0.0103

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

325 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1056271360 and quasi-random dice

Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16

Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.

Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

•

11/5 4/3

+0.8025 ( -0.0320)

0.7931	0.3366	0.0137	-	0.2069	0.0120	0.0002	+0.9188	+0.8025
0.0029	0.0037	0.0012	-	0.0029	0.0011	0.0001	0.0073	0.0102

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

325 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1056271360 and quasi-random dice

Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16

Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.

Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

11/4

+0.7771 ( -0.0575)

0.7816 0.3279 0.0077 - 0.2184 0.0118 0.0000

11/10 11/5

+0.7661 ( -0.0685)

0.7651 0.3621 0.0168 - 0.2349 0.0174 0.0002

Move number 30: ed&howard to play 21

Pip counts: kit&stick 74, ed&howard 156
Position ID: c7uDAQDoNo0AHA Match ID: UQllApAAKAAA

• ed&howard moves 10/8 5/4

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	10/8 5/4	-0.7378
			0.2546 0.0093 0.0000 - 0.7454 0.3742 0.0150
	2	2	13/11 5/4	-0.7612 ( -0.0234)
			0.2449 0.0088 0.0000 - 0.7551 0.3708 0.0142
	3	2	9/7 5/4	-0.7845 ( -0.0467)
			0.2383 0.0091 0.0000 - 0.7617 0.3785 0.0132
	4	2	10/8 9/8	-0.7887 ( -0.0509)
			0.2385 0.0091 0.0000 - 0.7615 0.3859 0.0148

Move number 31: kit&stick to play 31

Pip counts: kit&stick 74, ed&howard 153
Position ID: 2LaKABxzu4MBAA Match ID: EYFlApAAKAAA

• kit&stick moves 6/3 5/4

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	6/3 5/4	+0.7229
			0.7611 0.3285 0.0061 - 0.2389 0.0134 0.0000
	2	2	5/1	+0.5897 ( -0.1333)
			0.7232 0.2990 0.0054 - 0.2768 0.0198 0.0001
	3	2	11/10 6/3	+0.4966 ( -0.2264)
			0.6825 0.3128 0.0095 - 0.3175 0.0261 0.0002
	4	2	4/3 4/1	+0.3574 ( -0.3655)
			0.6417 0.2899 0.0053 - 0.3583 0.0320 0.0001

Move number 32: ed&howard to play 41

Pip counts: kit&stick 70, ed&howard 153
Position ID: 826DAQDYtooAHA Match ID: UQlmApAAKAAA

• ed&howard moves 13/8

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	13/8	-0.7233
			0.2601 0.0136 0.0001 - 0.7399 0.3564 0.0139
	2	2	10/6 9/8	-0.7315 ( -0.0082)
			0.2526 0.0142 0.0001 - 0.7474 0.3539 0.0129
	3	2	13/12 10/6	-0.7427 ( -0.0194)
			0.2466 0.0132 0.0001 - 0.7534 0.3628 0.0148
	4	2	13/9 10/9	-0.7493 ( -0.0260)
			0.2449 0.0126 0.0001 - 0.7551 0.3623 0.0127

Move number 33: kit&stick to play 32

Pip counts: kit&stick 70, ed&howard 148
Position ID: 2LYVABzzboMBAA Match ID: EYFpApAAKAAA

• kit&stick moves 11/6

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	11/6	+0.7267
			0.7558 0.3347 0.0067 - 0.2442 0.0141 0.0001
	2	2	6/4 6/3	+0.4610 ( -0.2657)
			0.6677 0.3166 0.0056 - 0.3323 0.0239 0.0001
	3	0	11/9 4/1	+0.3039 ( -0.4228)
			0.6324 0.2554 0.0036 - 0.3676 0.0304 0.0003
	4	0	4/1 3/1	+0.2730 ( -0.4537)
			0.6207 0.2535 0.0032 - 0.3793 0.0302 0.0000

Move number 34: ed&howard to play 64

Pip counts: kit&stick 65, ed&howard 148
Position ID: 824HAQDYthUAHA Match ID: UQlzApAAKAAA

• ed&howard moves 23/13

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	23/13	-0.9124
			0.1726 0.0016 0.0000 - 0.8274 0.3249 0.0156
	2	2	10/6 9/3	-0.9143 ( -0.0019)
			0.1757 0.0024 0.0000 - 0.8243 0.3393 0.0139
	3	2	9/3 7/3	-0.9184 ( -0.0061)
			0.1782 0.0022 0.0000 - 0.8218 0.3491 0.0148
	4	2	10/6 8/2	-0.9347 ( -0.0223)
			0.1768 0.0022 0.0000 - 0.8232 0.3630 0.0154

Move number 35: kit&stick to play 55

Pip counts: kit&stick 65, ed&howard 138
Position ID: 2LYVARjzbgcBAA Match ID: EYF2ApAAKAAA

• kit&stick moves 11/1 5/off(2)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	0	11/1 5/off(2)	+0.8948
			0.7950 0.3980 0.0078 - 0.2050 0.0000 0.0000
	2	0	11/1 6/1 5/off	+0.1592 ( -0.7356)
			0.5580 0.2561 0.0034 - 0.4420 0.0000 0.0000
	3	0	11/1 6/1(2)	+0.1312 ( -0.7637)
			0.5651 0.2422 0.0022 - 0.4349 0.0232 0.0000

Move number 36: ed&howard to play 43

Pip counts: kit&stick 45, ed&howard 138
Position ID: 550DAAC2bUUABg Match ID: UQluApAAKAAA

• ed&howard moves 13/6

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	2	10/3	-0.9954
			0.1957 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.8043 0.4684 0.0160
•	2	2	13/6	-0.9969 ( -0.0015)
			0.1878 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.8122 0.4488 0.0158
	3	2	9/6 7/3	-0.9999 ( -0.0045)
			0.1893 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.8107 0.4582 0.0161
	4	2	10/6 9/6	-1.0015 ( -0.0060)
			0.1804 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.8196 0.4372 0.0146

Move number 37: kit&stick to play 63

Pip counts: kit&stick 45, ed&howard 131
Position ID: 2G4rABjnnQMAAA Match ID: EQFvApAAKAAA

• kit&stick moves 6/off 3/off

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	6/off 3/off	+1.0352
			0.8049 0.5086 0.0182 - 0.1951 0.0000 0.0000
	2	2	6/off 4/1	+0.8997 ( -0.1355)
			0.7758 0.4529 0.0076 - 0.2242 0.0000 0.0000
	3	0	6/3 6/off	+0.5318 ( -0.5034)
			0.6690 0.3518 0.0077 - 0.3310 0.0000 0.0000

Move number 38: ed&howard to play 64

Pip counts: kit&stick 36, ed&howard 131
Position ID: 584AAIDttgKAAQ Match ID: UQlzApAAKAAA

• ed&howard moves 9/3 7/3

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	2	10/6 9/3	-1.0297
			0.1855 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.8145 0.4721 0.0181
•	2	2	9/3 7/3	-1.0319 ( -0.0021)
			0.1931 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.8069 0.4914 0.0196
	3	2	9/3 8/4	-1.0441 ( -0.0144)
			0.1879 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.8121 0.4930 0.0196
	4	2	10/4 9/5	-1.0442 ( -0.0145)
			0.1833 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.8167 0.4812 0.0182

Move number 39: kit&stick to play 32

Pip counts: kit&stick 36, ed&howard 121
Position ID: bLsmABjnzgAAAA Match ID: EYFpApAAKAAA

• kit&stick moves 6/4 6/3

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	0	6/4 6/3	+1.2793
			0.9120 0.4883 0.0095 - 0.0880 0.0000 0.0000
	2	0	4/1 3/1	+0.8078 ( -0.4715)
			0.7601 0.4009 0.0059 - 0.2399 0.0000 0.0000
	3	0	6/4 3/off	+0.4483 ( -0.8311)
			0.6435 0.3252 0.0150 - 0.3565 0.0000 0.0000
	4	0	6/1	+0.4001 ( -0.8792)
			0.6336 0.3052 0.0091 - 0.3664 0.0000 0.0000

Move number 40: ed&howard to play 55

Pip counts: kit&stick 31, ed&howard 121
Position ID: 5z0AAMC2awKAAQ Match ID: UYl2ApAAKAAA

• ed&howard moves 23/8 10/5

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	23/8 10/5	-1.2010
			0.0402 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.9598 0.2926 0.0062
	2	2	23/3	-1.2204 ( -0.0194)
			0.0409 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.9591 0.3132 0.0068
	3	2	23/13 10/5 8/3	-1.2221 ( -0.0211)
			0.0420 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.9580 0.3173 0.0073
	4	2	23/13 10/5 7/2	-1.2224 ( -0.0214)
			0.0472 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.9528 0.3298 0.0081

Move number 41: kit&stick to play 41

Pip counts: kit&stick 31, ed&howard 101
Position ID: bHcdABDnPQAAAA Match ID: EQFmApAAKAAA

• kit&stick moves 4/off 1/off

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	4/off 1/off	+1.1414
			0.9533 0.2515 0.0035 - 0.0467 0.0000 0.0000
	2	2	4/3 4/off	+1.0180 ( -0.1234)
			0.9383 0.1663 0.0011 - 0.0617 0.0000 0.0000
	3	0	4/off 3/2*	+0.6008 ( -0.5406)
			0.7460 0.2230 0.0020 - 0.2540 0.0000 0.0000

Move number 42: ed&howard to play 32

Pip counts: kit&stick 26, ed&howard 101
Position ID: 8w4AALDddQBAAA Match ID: UYlpApAAKAAA

• ed&howard moves 8/6 8/5

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	8/6 8/5	-1.1796
			0.0439 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.9561 0.2793 0.0071
	2	2	8/6 7/4	-1.2067 ( -0.0271)
			0.0475 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.9525 0.3133 0.0091
	3	2	8/5 7/5	-1.2149 ( -0.0354)
			0.0432 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.9568 0.3122 0.0077
	4	2	8/6 5/2	-1.2336 ( -0.0540)
			0.0553 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.9447 0.3569 0.0118

Move number 43: kit&stick to play 62

Pip counts: kit&stick 26, ed&howard 96
Position ID: bO8VABDzDgAAAA Match ID: EQFrApAAKAAA

• kit&stick moves 4/off 3/1

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	0	4/off 3/1	+1.0636
			0.9511 0.1799 0.0022 - 0.0489 0.0000 0.0000
	2	0	4/2* 4/off	+0.3831 ( -0.6805)
			0.6812 0.1620 0.0015 - 0.3188 0.0000 0.0000

Move number 44: ed&howard to play 33

Pip counts: kit&stick 20, ed&howard 96
Position ID: 5wYAANjeKwAgAA Match ID: UYltApAAKAAA

• ed&howard moves 8/2 7/4 5/2

Annotation

They're itching to give us a gammon.

Move number 45: kit&stick to play 11

Pip counts: kit&stick 20, ed&howard 84
Position ID: trsHABDnBgAAAA Match ID: EYFkApAAKAAA

• kit&stick moves 3/2*/off 1/off

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	3/2*/off 1/off	+1.3608
			0.9871 0.3776 0.0144 - 0.0129 0.0000 0.0000
	2	2	4/3(2) 1/off(2)	+1.2310 ( -0.1298)
			0.9971 0.2355 0.0014 - 0.0029 0.0000 0.0000
	3	2	3/2*(3) 1/off	+1.1987 ( -0.1621)
			0.9870 0.2275 0.0022 - 0.0130 0.0000 0.0000
	4	2	3/2*/1 3/2(2)	+1.1608 ( -0.2000)
			0.9879 0.1875 0.0021 - 0.0121 0.0000 0.0000

Move number 46: ed&howard to play 53

Pip counts: kit&stick 16, ed&howard 86
Position ID: swEAANvdAwAgAA Match ID: UYluApAAKAAA

• ed&howard moves bar/17

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	bar/17	-1.2846
			0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 - 1.0000 0.2829 0.0000
	2	2	bar/20 4/1	-1.4169 ( -0.1323)
			0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 - 1.0000 0.4144 0.0000
	3	2	bar/20 5/2	-1.4525 ( -0.1678)
			0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 - 1.0000 0.4497 0.0000
	4	2	bar/20 6/3	-1.4588 ( -0.1742)
			0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 - 1.0000 0.4560 0.0000

Move number 47: kit&stick to play 61

Pip counts: kit&stick 16, ed&howard 78
Position ID: trsHQACzAQAAAA Match ID: EQFnApAAKAAA

• kit&stick moves 4/off 1/off

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	4/off 1/off	+1.2772
			1.0000 0.2755 0.0000 - 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
	2	2	4/off 3/2	+1.1053 ( -0.1719)
			1.0000 0.1046 0.0000 - 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
	3	2	4/3 4/off	+1.0938 ( -0.1834)
			1.0000 0.0932 0.0000 - 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000

Move number 48: ed&howard to play 31

Pip counts: kit&stick 11, ed&howard 78
Position ID: WQAAwHb3AAgAAA Match ID: UYllApAAKAAA

• ed&howard moves 17/14 2/1

Alert: unlucky roll! ( -0.309)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	17/14 2/1	-1.5480
			0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 - 1.0000 0.5447 0.0000
	2	2	17/13	-1.5521 ( -0.0041)
			0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 - 1.0000 0.5488 0.0000
	3	2	17/14 5/4	-1.5750 ( -0.0269)
			0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 - 1.0000 0.5715 0.0000
	4	2	17/14 6/5	-1.5765 ( -0.0285)
			0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 - 1.0000 0.5731 0.0000

Move number 49: kit&stick to play 52

Pip counts: kit&stick 11, ed&howard 74
Position ID: tbsHCABZAAAAAA Match ID: EYFqApAAKAAA

• kit&stick moves 4/2 3/off

Alert: unlucky roll! ( -0.407)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	2	4/off 3/1	+1.1684
			1.0000 0.1674 0.0000 - 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
•	??	2	4/2 3/off	+1.1684 ( -0.0001)
			1.0000 0.1673 0.0000 - 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000

Move number 50: ed&howard to play 62

Pip counts: kit&stick 6, ed&howard 74
Position ID: FQAAULt7gAAAAA Match ID: UQlrApAAKAAA

• ed&howard moves 14/6

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	2	14/8 4/2	-1.1397
			0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 - 1.0000 0.1389 0.0000
	2	2	14/8 6/4	-1.1397 ( +0.0000)
			0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 - 1.0000 0.1389 0.0000
	3	2	14/8 3/1	-1.1397 ( +0.0000)
			0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 - 1.0000 0.1389 0.0000
•	4	2	14/6	-1.1397 ( +0.0000)
			0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 - 1.0000 0.1389 0.0000

Move number 51: kit&stick to play 32

Pip counts: kit&stick 6, ed&howard 66
Position ID: tbsPAAAVAAAAAA Match ID: EYFpApAAKAAA

• kit&stick moves 3/off 2/off

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	3/off 2/off	+1.0000
			1.0000 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
	2	2	3/1 2/off	+1.0000 ( +0.0000)
			1.0000 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000

kit&stick wins 2 points

Game statistics for game 10
Player	kit&stick	ed&howard
Checker play statistics
Total moves	25	25
Unforced moves	25	17
Unmarked moves	0	0
Moves marked good	25	24
Moves marked doubtful	0	1
Moves marked bad	0	0
Moves marked very bad	0	0
Error rate (total)	-0.060 ( -0.451%)	-0.080 ( -0.661%)
Error rate (per move)	-2.38 ( -0.018%)	-4.72 ( -0.039%)
Chequerplay rating	World class	World class
Luck statistics
Rolls marked very lucky	0	0
Rolls marked lucky	1	1
Rolls unmarked	23	21
Rolls marked unlucky	1	3
Rolls marked very unlucky	0	0
Luck rate (total)	+0.098 ( -0.668%)	-1.225 ( -6.089%)
Luck rate (per move)	+3.93 ( -0.027%)	-48.99 ( -0.244%)
Luck rating	None	Better luck next time
Cube statistics
Total cube decisions	10	25
Close or actual cube decisions	5	2
Doubles	1	0
Takes	0	1
Passes	0	0
Missed doubles (below CP)	0	0
Missed doubles (above CP)	1 (-0.116 ( -0.469%))	0
Wrong doubles (below DP)	0	0
Wrong doubles (above TG)	0	0
Wrong takes	0	1 (-0.160 ( -0.649%))
Wrong passes	0	0
Error rate (total)	-0.116 ( -0.469%)	-0.160 ( -0.649%)
Error rate (per cube decision)	-23.14 ( -0.094%)	-80.10 ( -0.324%)
Cube decision rating	Casual player	Awful!
Overall statistics
Error rate (total)	-0.175 ( -0.919%)	-0.240 ( -1.310%)
Error rate (per decision)	-5.84 ( -0.031%)	-12.65 ( -0.069%)
Equiv. Snowie error rate	-3.51	-4.81
Overall rating	Expert	Intermediate
Actual result	+8.60%	-8.60%
Luck adjusted result	+3.18%	-3.18%

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Output generated Wed Mar 26 17:50:46 2008 by GNU Backgammon 0.16-mingw (HTML Export version 1.172)