Game number 11

The score (after 10 games) is: kit&stick 11, ed&howard 5 (match to 19 points)

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Move number 1: kit&stick to play 64

+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+

+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+

Pip counts: kit&stick 167, ed&howard 167
Position ID: 4HPwATDgc/ABMA Match ID: MABzArAAKAAA

• kit&stick moves 24/14

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	2	24/18 13/9	-0.0257
			0.5141 0.1391 0.0064 - 0.4859 0.1350 0.0043
	2	2	8/2 6/2	-0.0430 ( -0.0173)
			0.5051 0.1578 0.0080 - 0.4949 0.1405 0.0054
•	3	2	24/14	-0.0436 ( -0.0179)
			0.5113 0.1217 0.0047 - 0.4887 0.1311 0.0035
	4	2	24/20 13/7	-0.0916 ( -0.0659)
			0.4947 0.1370 0.0064 - 0.5053 0.1354 0.0050

Annotation

I made the decisions on the first three rolls, go figure, and I stand by my run =)

Move number 2: ed&howard to play 65

Pip counts: kit&stick 157, ed&howard 167
Position ID: 4HPwBSDgc/ABMA Match ID: cAl3ArAAKAAA

• ed&howard moves 24/13

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	24/13	-0.0447
			0.4759 0.0981 0.0017 - 0.5241 0.1193 0.0025
	2	2	24/18 13/8	-0.0508 ( -0.0061)
			0.4717 0.1100 0.0030 - 0.5283 0.1323 0.0035
	3	2	24/18 6/1*	-0.0924 ( -0.0477)
			0.4621 0.1071 0.0027 - 0.5379 0.1392 0.0048
	4	2	13/7 6/1*	-0.1030 ( -0.0584)
			0.4500 0.1249 0.0029 - 0.5500 0.1415 0.0068

Annotation

64R/65? Nobody even thinks about the split, I have the rollout but not posted yet.

Move number 3: kit&stick to play 52

Pip counts: kit&stick 157, ed&howard 156
Position ID: 4HPwAyDgc/AFIA Match ID: MIFqArAAKAAA

• kit&stick moves 14/9 13/11

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	14/9 13/11	+0.0040
			0.5131 0.1242 0.0023 - 0.4869 0.1037 0.0023
	2	2	24/22 14/9	-0.0059 ( -0.0099)
			0.5147 0.1108 0.0025 - 0.4853 0.1052 0.0021
	3	2	14/9 8/6	-0.0934 ( -0.0974)
			0.4886 0.1100 0.0018 - 0.5114 0.1111 0.0023
	4	2	13/11 13/8	-0.1012 ( -0.1052)
			0.4903 0.1158 0.0026 - 0.5097 0.1237 0.0029

Move number 4: ed&howard to play 32

Pip counts: kit&stick 150, ed&howard 156
Position ID: 4HPJAyDgc/ADIA Match ID: cIlpArAAKAAA

• ed&howard moves 13/11 13/10

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	13/11 13/10	-0.1280
			0.4529 0.1025 0.0022 - 0.5471 0.1410 0.0039
	2	2	24/21 13/11	-0.1298 ( -0.0018)
			0.4623 0.0851 0.0021 - 0.5377 0.1430 0.0034
	3	2	24/22 13/10	-0.1565 ( -0.0285)
			0.4540 0.0904 0.0021 - 0.5460 0.1540 0.0036
	4	2	13/8	-0.2060 ( -0.0780)
			0.4383 0.0859 0.0016 - 0.5617 0.1508 0.0031

Move number 5: kit&stick to play 41

Pip counts: kit&stick 150, ed&howard 151
Position ID: 4HPKAyDgc8kDIA Match ID: MAFmArAAKAAA

• kit&stick moves 9/5 6/5

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	9/5 6/5	+0.1344
			0.5502 0.1425 0.0032 - 0.4498 0.1029 0.0025
	2	2	11/7 8/7	-0.0341 ( -0.1685)
			0.5099 0.1207 0.0024 - 0.4901 0.1202 0.0025
	3	2	13/9 11/10	-0.0377 ( -0.1721)
			0.5075 0.1209 0.0026 - 0.4925 0.1182 0.0028
	4	2	24/23 13/9	-0.0461 ( -0.1806)
			0.5089 0.1158 0.0023 - 0.4911 0.1241 0.0028

Move number 6: ed&howard to play 22

Pip counts: kit&stick 145, ed&howard 151
Position ID: sOfIAyDgc8oDIA Match ID: cAlpArAAKAAA

• ed&howard moves 24/22 13/11 6/4(2)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	2	13/11(2) 6/4(2)	-0.0421
			0.4776 0.1092 0.0021 - 0.5224 0.1348 0.0036
•	2	2	24/22 13/11 6/4(2)	-0.0432 ( -0.0011)
			0.4832 0.1045 0.0029 - 0.5168 0.1454 0.0036
	3	2	13/11 10/8 6/4(2)	-0.0566 ( -0.0145)
			0.4742 0.1047 0.0021 - 0.5258 0.1351 0.0030
	4	2	13/11 8/4 6/4	-0.0805 ( -0.0384)
			0.4660 0.1108 0.0023 - 0.5340 0.1416 0.0040

Move number 7: kit&stick to play 44

Pip counts: kit&stick 145, ed&howard 143
Position ID: mHOaAwiw58gDIA Match ID: MAFyArAAKAAA

• kit&stick moves 11/3* 8/4(2)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	11/3* 8/4(2)	+0.1920
			0.5366 0.2378 0.0064 - 0.4634 0.1125 0.0060
	2	2	24/16 13/9(2)	+0.1341 ( -0.0579)
			0.5526 0.1382 0.0033 - 0.4474 0.1117 0.0033
	3	2	13/9(2) 11/3*	+0.1341 ( -0.0580)
			0.5381 0.1921 0.0041 - 0.4619 0.1116 0.0044
	4	2	13/9(2) 6/2(2)	+0.0710 ( -0.1211)
			0.5195 0.1934 0.0031 - 0.4805 0.1110 0.0040

Move number 8: ed&howard to play 63

Pip counts: kit&stick 129, ed&howard 146
Position ID: tD3BAyCYc5oDQA Match ID: cAlvArAAKAAA

• ed&howard moves bar/22*/16

Alert: lucky roll! ( +0.595)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	bar/22*/16	+0.4766
			0.6195 0.1214 0.0050 - 0.3805 0.1093 0.0023
	2	2	bar/22* 10/4	+0.3544 ( -0.1222)
			0.5759 0.1629 0.0093 - 0.4241 0.1380 0.0031
	3	2	bar/22* 13/7	+0.1483 ( -0.3283)
			0.5306 0.1593 0.0089 - 0.4694 0.1932 0.0095
	4	0	bar/22* 11/5	-0.0401 ( -0.5167)
			0.4851 0.1506 0.0087 - 0.5149 0.2378 0.0143

Move number 9: kit&stick to play 33

Pip counts: kit&stick 151, ed&howard 137
Position ID: mHOaIwDYnuABUA Match ID: MIFtArAAKAAA

• kit&stick moves bar/22 8/5 6/3(2)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	bar/22 8/5 6/3(2)	-0.4591
			0.3647 0.0633 0.0006 - 0.6353 0.0693 0.0026
	2	2	bar/22 13/7 6/3	-0.4836 ( -0.0245)
			0.3624 0.0687 0.0010 - 0.6376 0.0844 0.0043
	3	2	bar/22 13/10(2) 6/3	-0.4857 ( -0.0267)
			0.3594 0.0642 0.0008 - 0.6406 0.0766 0.0037
	4	2	bar/22 13/7 8/5	-0.5179 ( -0.0588)
			0.3543 0.0693 0.0010 - 0.6457 0.0863 0.0035

Move number 10: ed&howard to play 66

Pip counts: kit&stick 139, ed&howard 137
Position ID: bDfgASSYc5ojAA Match ID: cAl7ArAAKAAA

• ed&howard moves 16/10 13/7(3)

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		+0.2714	(Money: +0.2785)
	0.6353 0.0693 0.0026 - 0.3647 0.0633 0.0006
Cubeful equities:
1.	No double	+0.4591
2.	Double, pass	+1.0000	+0.5409
3.	Double, take	+0.4003	-0.0588
Proper cube action:		No double, take (9.8%)

Alert: lucky roll! ( +0.436)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	16/10 13/7(3)	+1.0000
			0.8053 0.1146 0.0030 - 0.1947 0.0182 0.0003
	2	2	16/4 11/5(2)	+0.8021 ( -0.1979)
			0.7129 0.1277 0.0048 - 0.2871 0.0500 0.0010
	3	0	16/10 11/5(2) 8/2	+0.5693 ( -0.4307)
			0.6508 0.1390 0.0057 - 0.3492 0.0894 0.0016
	4	0	16/10 8/2(3)	+0.5686 ( -0.4314)
			0.6521 0.1236 0.0035 - 0.3479 0.0641 0.0009

Move number 11: kit&stick to play 41

Pip counts: kit&stick 139, ed&howard 113
Position ID: mLuzAQBsN+ABJA Match ID: MAFmArAAKAAA

• kit&stick moves 13/8

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	2	13/12 13/9	-1.0000
			0.1828 0.0189 0.0001 - 0.8172 0.1510 0.0052
•	2	2	13/8	-1.0028 ( -0.0028)
			0.1807 0.0187 0.0001 - 0.8193 0.1505 0.0047
	3	2	13/9 5/4	-1.0054 ( -0.0054)
			0.1793 0.0187 0.0001 - 0.8207 0.1532 0.0047
	4	2	24/23 13/9	-1.0174 ( -0.0174)
			0.1757 0.0176 0.0001 - 0.8243 0.1675 0.0044

Move number 12: ed&howard to play 41

Pip counts: kit&stick 134, ed&howard 113
Position ID: bDfBASSYu7MBAA Match ID: cAlmArAAKAAA

• ed&howard moves 11/10 11/7

Cube decision

Rollout cubeless equity

+0.7458

(Money: +0.7491)

Cubeful equities:

No double

+1.0315

Double, take

+1.5044

+0.4729

Double, pass

+1.0000

-0.0315

Proper cube action:

Too good to double, pass (6.2%)

Rollout details

	Win	W g	W bg		Lose	L g	L bg	Cubeless	Cubeful
Centered 1-cube	0.8143	0.1327	0.0026	-	0.1857	0.0146	0.0002	+0.7458	+1.0315
Standard error	0.0024	0.0051	0.0007	-	0.0024	0.0010	0.0000	0.0051	0.0057
Player kit&stick owns 2-cube	0.8333	0.1480	0.0002	-	0.1667	0.0152	0.0005	+1.5919	+1.5044
Standard error	0.0043	0.0064	0.0036	-	0.0043	0.0017	0.0001	0.0180	0.0258

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

108 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1056271360 and quasi-random dice

Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16

Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.

Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	11/10 11/7	+1.0000
			0.7970 0.0954 0.0025 - 0.2030 0.0145 0.0001
	2	2	8/4 7/6	+0.9975 ( -0.0025)
			0.7686 0.1119 0.0034 - 0.2314 0.0212 0.0003
	3	2	11/6	+0.8384 ( -0.1616)
			0.7539 0.1188 0.0035 - 0.2461 0.0367 0.0007
	4	2	11/10 8/4	+0.8374 ( -0.1626)
			0.7418 0.1086 0.0032 - 0.2582 0.0368 0.0006

Annotation

I tend to cube very small play ons instead of beating myself up roll after roll over .02. The chance my opponent might take greatly outweighs the play on in general. Here however they're playing Kit & Stick, so they know we're passing, thus making it correct to play on.

Did I say it was correct to play on? Did you agree with me without thinking it over? Your fault. What might another reason be to not play on even though it's technically a play on & you know if you cube your opponents will pass? You don't know how to play the position out. In this example the play for both sides may seem pretty straightforward but it's not. White's play to me is easy, Black's play can get tricky, as you will see.

Move number 13: kit&stick to play 41

Pip counts: kit&stick 134, ed&howard 108
Position ID: mHvnAABsN8EBJA Match ID: MAFmArAAKAAA

• kit&stick moves 13/8

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	13/8	-1.0049
			0.1886 0.0159 0.0001 - 0.8114 0.1254 0.0033
	2	2	13/9 8/7	-1.0076 ( -0.0028)
			0.1911 0.0165 0.0001 - 0.8089 0.1301 0.0039
	3	2	13/12 13/9	-1.0086 ( -0.0038)
			0.1908 0.0165 0.0001 - 0.8092 0.1311 0.0046
	4	2	13/9 5/4	-1.0096 ( -0.0047)
			0.1885 0.0162 0.0001 - 0.8115 0.1319 0.0037

Move number 14: ed&howard to play 53

Pip counts: kit&stick 129, ed&howard 108
Position ID: bDeDASSYe+cAAA Match ID: cIluArAAKAAA

• ed&howard moves 10/5 8/5

Cube decision

Rollout cubeless equity

+0.7425

(Money: +0.7453)

Cubeful equities:

No double

+1.0448

Double, take

+1.4807

+0.4359

Double, pass

+1.0000

-0.0448

Proper cube action:

Too good to double, pass (9.3%)

Rollout details

	Win	W g	W bg		Lose	L g	L bg	Cubeless	Cubeful
Centered 1-cube	0.8171	0.1208	0.0032	-	0.1829	0.0127	0.0002	+0.7425	+1.0448
Standard error	0.0026	0.0045	0.0003	-	0.0026	0.0006	0.0000	0.0055	0.0094
Player kit&stick owns 2-cube	0.8356	0.1211	0.0028	-	0.1644	0.0118	0.0003	+1.5574	+1.4807
Standard error	0.0044	0.0052	0.0005	-	0.0044	0.0012	0.0000	0.0192	0.0225

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

108 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1056271360 and quasi-random dice

Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16

Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.

Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	10/5 8/5	+1.0205
			0.8407 0.1364 0.0030 - 0.1593 0.0099 0.0001
	2	2	8/3* 6/3	+1.0158 ( -0.0047)
			0.8166 0.1697 0.0045 - 0.1834 0.0168 0.0002
	3	0	10/2	+0.5138 ( -0.5067)
			0.6487 0.0974 0.0029 - 0.3513 0.0720 0.0009
	4	0	7/4 7/2	+0.5000 ( -0.5205)
			0.6411 0.1025 0.0034 - 0.3589 0.0710 0.0010

Move number 15: kit&stick to play 54

Pip counts: kit&stick 129, ed&howard 100
Position ID: 2O7NAABsN4MBJA Match ID: MIFyArAAKAAA

• kit&stick moves 13/9 13/8

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	2	13/4	-1.0601
			0.1584 0.0152 0.0001 - 0.8416 0.1968 0.0056
•	2	2	13/9 13/8	-1.0613 ( -0.0012)
			0.1561 0.0142 0.0001 - 0.8439 0.1953 0.0048
	3	2	13/9 8/3	-1.0708 ( -0.0107)
			0.1668 0.0213 0.0003 - 0.8332 0.2305 0.0102
	4	2	8/4 8/3	-1.0759 ( -0.0158)
			0.1555 0.0156 0.0001 - 0.8445 0.2105 0.0066

Move number 16: ed&howard to play 31

Pip counts: kit&stick 120, ed&howard 100
Position ID: bDcXACTY7s0AAA Match ID: cIllArAAKAAA

• ed&howard moves 7/4 6/5

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		+0.8692	(Money: +0.8737)
	0.8439 0.1953 0.0048 - 0.1561 0.0142 0.0001
Cubeful equities:
1.	No double	+1.0613
2.	Double, take	+1.6863	+0.6249
3.	Double, pass	+1.0000	-0.0613
Proper cube action:		Too good to double, pass (8.9%)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	7/4 6/5	+1.0240
			0.8430 0.1242 0.0024 - 0.1570 0.0099 0.0002
	2	2	7/6 7/4	+1.0162 ( -0.0078)
			0.8341 0.1237 0.0027 - 0.1659 0.0115 0.0002
	3	2	8/7 8/5	+1.0000 ( -0.0240)
			0.8205 0.0818 0.0014 - 0.1795 0.0093 0.0001
	4	2	10/6	+0.9569 ( -0.0671)
			0.8201 0.1133 0.0026 - 0.1799 0.0157 0.0003

Move number 17: kit&stick to play 51

Pip counts: kit&stick 120, ed&howard 96
Position ID: uNvNAABsNxcAJA Match ID: MIFmArAAKAAA

• kit&stick moves 9/4 8/7

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	9/4 8/7	-1.0823
			0.1525 0.0143 0.0002 - 0.8475 0.2162 0.0063
	2	2	24/23 9/4	-1.0849 ( -0.0026)
			0.1503 0.0154 0.0002 - 0.8497 0.2390 0.0055
	3	2	9/3	-1.0861 ( -0.0038)
			0.1469 0.0135 0.0001 - 0.8531 0.2175 0.0058
	4	2	24/23 8/3	-1.0889 ( -0.0066)
			0.1520 0.0161 0.0002 - 0.8480 0.2446 0.0071

Move number 18: ed&howard to play 64

Pip counts: kit&stick 114, ed&howard 96
Position ID: 7G4NACS4280AAA Match ID: cAlzArAAKAAA

• ed&howard moves 7/1* 5/1

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		+0.8982	(Money: +0.9031)
	0.8475 0.2162 0.0063 - 0.1525 0.0143 0.0002
Cubeful equities:
1.	No double	+1.0823
2.	Double, take	+1.7515	+0.6692
3.	Double, pass	+1.0000	-0.0823
Proper cube action:		Too good to double, pass (11.0%)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	7/1* 5/1	+1.0935
			0.8325 0.2308 0.0043 - 0.1675 0.0145 0.0005
	2	2	10/6 10/4	+1.0395 ( -0.0541)
			0.8493 0.1388 0.0031 - 0.1507 0.0098 0.0001
	3	2	10/6 7/1*	+0.8414 ( -0.2522)
			0.7502 0.2080 0.0055 - 0.2498 0.0544 0.0020
	4	2	10/4 5/1*	+0.7675 ( -0.3260)
			0.7336 0.1708 0.0045 - 0.2664 0.0551 0.0017

Move number 19: kit&stick to play 61

Pip counts: kit&stick 115, ed&howard 86
Position ID: 47bNAADsbg0ARA Match ID: MAFnArAAKAAA

• kit&stick cannot move

#		Ply	Move	Equity
			Cannot move

Move number 20: ed&howard to play 43

Pip counts: kit&stick 115, ed&howard 86
Position ID: 7G4NAETjts0AAA Match ID: cAluArAAKAAA

• ed&howard moves 10/3*

Ply

Move

Equity

•

10/3*

+1.1342

0.7996	0.4217	0.0095	-	0.2004	0.0397	0.0025	+0.9914	+1.1342
0.0024	0.0039	0.0009	-	0.0024	0.0016	0.0009	0.0068	0.0132

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

390 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1056271360 and quasi-random dice

Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16

Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.

Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

10/7 10/6

+1.1160 ( -0.0182)

0.8515	0.2397	0.0038	-	0.1485	0.0088	0.0003	+0.9342	+1.1160
0.0019	0.0046	0.0009	-	0.0019	0.0007	0.0001	0.0043	0.0072

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

390 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1056271360 and quasi-random dice

Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16

Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.

Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

8/5 8/4

+1.0751 ( -0.0590)

0.8453 0.2058 0.0036 - 0.1547 0.0139 0.0004

10/6 4/1

+1.0585 ( -0.0757)

0.8165 0.2046 0.0029 - 0.1835 0.0164 0.0007

Annotation

Were they sure of the hit? No ... was GNU sure of the hit? No... this is the first knock against playing on. They came out with the correct play but I guarantee you they weren't sure. (I was there, I saw it lol)

Move number 21: kit&stick to play 21

Pip counts: kit&stick 118, ed&howard 79
Position ID: 022bAADsbg0AYA Match ID: MAFlArAAKAAA

• kit&stick moves bar/23

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	0	bar/23	-1.3165
			0.1246 0.0155 0.0001 - 0.8754 0.4809 0.0112

Move number 22: ed&howard to play 63

Pip counts: kit&stick 116, ed&howard 79
Position ID: 7G4NAEjTbZsAAA Match ID: cAlvArAAKAAA

• ed&howard moves 8/5 8/2*

Alert: unlucky roll! ( -0.352)

Ply

Move

Equity

10/1

+0.6798

0.6891	0.2470	0.0048	-	0.3109	0.0656	0.0026	+0.5626	+0.6798
0.0019	0.0031	0.0005	-	0.0019	0.0015	0.0005	0.0053	0.0107

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

619 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1052800745 and quasi-random dice

Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16

Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.

Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

•

8/5 8/2*

+0.5860 ( -0.0938)

0.6602	0.3839	0.0117	-	0.3398	0.1301	0.0105	+0.5944	+0.5860
0.0019	0.0027	0.0008	-	0.0019	0.0037	0.0009	0.0059	0.0137

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

619 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1052800745 and quasi-random dice

Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16

Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.

Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

10/7 8/2*

+0.6355 ( -0.0443)

0.6595 0.3669 0.0101 - 0.3405 0.1248 0.0062

10/4 6/3

+0.5329 ( -0.1469)

0.6369 0.2447 0.0046 - 0.3631 0.0631 0.0025

Annotation

Oopsie, play on tossed out the window.

Move number 23: kit&stick to play 42

Pip counts: kit&stick 118, ed&howard 70
Position ID: q7uNAADsbg0AYA Match ID: MAFqArAAKAAA

• kit&stick moves bar/23*

Alert: lucky roll! ( +0.332)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	0	bar/23*	-0.4650
			0.4553 0.1568 0.0076 - 0.5447 0.3137 0.0168

Annotation

Somehow I feel we received some sort of Weaver variation to get to this cube. Such a mfj.

Move number 24: ed&howard doubles to 2

Pip counts: kit&stick 116, ed&howard 93
Position ID: 7G4NAEjT3UYAQA Match ID: cBFgArAAKAAA

• kit&stick accepts

Cube decision

Rollout cubeless equity

+0.1609

(Money: +0.1593)

Cubeful equities:

Double, take

+0.2339

Double, pass

+1.0000

+0.7661

No double

+0.1722

-0.0617

Proper cube action:

Double, take

Rollout details

	Win	W g	W bg		Lose	L g	L bg	Cubeless	Cubeful
Centered 1-cube	0.5315	0.3067	0.0139	-	0.4685	0.2085	0.0157	+0.1609	+0.1722
Standard error	0.0019	0.0024	0.0010	-	0.0019	0.0022	0.0018	0.0060	0.0127
Player kit&stick owns 2-cube	0.5348	0.3093	0.0142	-	0.4652	0.2067	0.0143	+0.3782	+0.2339
Standard error	0.0023	0.0027	0.0010	-	0.0023	0.0027	0.0014	0.0135	0.0175

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

634 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1056271360 and quasi-random dice

Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16

Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.

Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Move number 25: ed&howard to play 31

Pip counts: kit&stick 116, ed&howard 93
Position ID: 7G4NAEjT3UYAQA Match ID: QYllArAAKAAA

• ed&howard moves bar/24 5/2*

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	bar/24 5/2*	+0.3772
			0.5822 0.3748 0.0200 - 0.4178 0.1945 0.0175
	2	2	bar/24 10/7	+0.2155 ( -0.1616)
			0.5388 0.2915 0.0145 - 0.4612 0.1362 0.0048
	3	0	bar/24 6/3	+0.0454 ( -0.3318)
			0.4960 0.2542 0.0121 - 0.5040 0.2031 0.0160
	4	0	bar/24 4/1	-0.0628 ( -0.4399)
			0.4654 0.2220 0.0107 - 0.5346 0.2103 0.0145

Move number 26: kit&stick to play 64

Pip counts: kit&stick 118, ed&howard 89
Position ID: q9tGACDsbg0AYA Match ID: AQFzArAAKAAA

• kit&stick cannot move

Alert: very unlucky roll! ( -0.857)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
			Cannot move

Move number 27: ed&howard to play 32

Pip counts: kit&stick 118, ed&howard 89
Position ID: 7G4NAGCr20YAIA Match ID: QYlpArAAKAAA

• ed&howard moves 5/3 5/2

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	5/3 5/2	+1.1089
			0.7948 0.5364 0.0188 - 0.2052 0.0354 0.0010
	2	2	6/3 4/2	+0.9750 ( -0.1339)
			0.7456 0.5299 0.0244 - 0.2544 0.0776 0.0049
	3	2	7/2	+0.9604 ( -0.1485)
			0.7393 0.5310 0.0271 - 0.2607 0.0887 0.0067
	4	2	10/7 4/2	+0.9081 ( -0.2008)
			0.7278 0.4987 0.0239 - 0.2722 0.0695 0.0021

Move number 28: kit&stick to play 66

Pip counts: kit&stick 118, ed&howard 84
Position ID: 285GACDsbg0AYA Match ID: AQF7ArAAKAAA

• kit&stick cannot move

#		Ply	Move	Equity
			Cannot move

Move number 29: ed&howard to play 32

Pip counts: kit&stick 118, ed&howard 84
Position ID: 7G4NAGDbzkYAIA Match ID: QYlpArAAKAAA

• ed&howard moves 10/8 4/1

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	10/8 4/1	+1.0143
			0.7696 0.5042 0.0158 - 0.2304 0.0358 0.0009
	2	2	10/8 7/4	+1.0030 ( -0.0113)
			0.7744 0.4834 0.0153 - 0.2256 0.0333 0.0008
	3	2	7/2	+0.9747 ( -0.0396)
			0.7615 0.4874 0.0146 - 0.2385 0.0409 0.0011
	4	2	10/7 4/2	+0.9190 ( -0.0953)
			0.7474 0.4663 0.0130 - 0.2526 0.0398 0.0010

Move number 30: kit&stick to play 61

Pip counts: kit&stick 118, ed&howard 79
Position ID: t80WACDsbg0AYA Match ID: AQFnArAAKAAA

• kit&stick cannot move

#		Ply	Move	Equity
			Cannot move

Move number 31: ed&howard to play 52

Pip counts: kit&stick 118, ed&howard 79
Position ID: 7G4NAGC3zRYAIA Match ID: QYlqArAAKAAA

• ed&howard moves 8/6 7/2

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	8/6 7/2	+0.8675
			0.7291 0.4551 0.0112 - 0.2709 0.0336 0.0005
	2	2	8/1	+0.7916 ( -0.0760)
			0.7064 0.4348 0.0104 - 0.2936 0.0395 0.0007
	3	2	8/3 7/5	+0.5428 ( -0.3247)
			0.6284 0.3879 0.0113 - 0.3716 0.0901 0.0032
	4	0	7/5 7/2	+0.4931 ( -0.3744)
			0.6131 0.3860 0.0117 - 0.3869 0.1181 0.0044

Move number 32: kit&stick to play 64

Pip counts: kit&stick 118, ed&howard 72
Position ID: d5sLACDsbg0AYA Match ID: AQFzArAAKAAA

• kit&stick cannot move

#		Ply	Move	Equity
			Cannot move

Move number 33: ed&howard to play 31

Pip counts: kit&stick 118, ed&howard 72
Position ID: 7G4NAGB3mwsAIA Match ID: QYllArAAKAAA

• ed&howard moves 24/23 7/4

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	24/23 7/4	+0.7583
			0.7059 0.4061 0.0085 - 0.2941 0.0376 0.0006
	2	2	7/4 2/1	+0.6973 ( -0.0610)
			0.6764 0.4118 0.0095 - 0.3236 0.0430 0.0007
	3	2	6/3 2/1	+0.6892 ( -0.0691)
			0.6769 0.4042 0.0083 - 0.3231 0.0420 0.0006
	4	2	6/2	+0.6544 ( -0.1039)
			0.6689 0.3908 0.0072 - 0.3311 0.0446 0.0006

Move number 34: kit&stick to play 63

Pip counts: kit&stick 118, ed&howard 68
Position ID: dzsHABDsbg0AYA Match ID: AQFvArAAKAAA

• kit&stick cannot move

#		Ply	Move	Equity
			Cannot move

Move number 35: ed&howard to play 21

Pip counts: kit&stick 118, ed&howard 68
Position ID: 7G4NAGB3OwcAEA Match ID: QQllArAAKAAA

• ed&howard moves 6/4 2/1

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	2	6/3	+0.6000
			0.6552 0.3695 0.0066 - 0.3448 0.0435 0.0006
•	2	2	6/4 2/1	+0.5916 ( -0.0084)
			0.6516 0.3692 0.0075 - 0.3484 0.0459 0.0008
	3	2	4/1	+0.5792 ( -0.0208)
			0.6450 0.3752 0.0072 - 0.3550 0.0537 0.0009
	4	0	6/5 4/2	+0.2297 ( -0.3704)
			0.5435 0.2938 0.0062 - 0.4565 0.1257 0.0031

Move number 36: kit&stick to play 41

Pip counts: kit&stick 118, ed&howard 65
Position ID: b3sGABDsbg0AYA Match ID: AQFmArAAKAAA

• kit&stick cannot move

#		Ply	Move	Equity
			Cannot move

Move number 37: ed&howard to play 64

Pip counts: kit&stick 118, ed&howard 65
Position ID: 7G4NAGBvewYAEA Match ID: QQlzArAAKAAA

• ed&howard moves 6/2

Alert: very unlucky roll! ( -0.737)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	0	6/2	-0.0282
			0.4717 0.1948 0.0023 - 0.5283 0.1014 0.0021

Move number 38: kit&stick to play 21

Pip counts: kit&stick 118, ed&howard 61
Position ID: 7/YEABDsbg0AYA Match ID: AQFlArAAKAAA

• kit&stick cannot move

Alert: unlucky roll! ( -0.512)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
			Cannot move

Move number 39: ed&howard to play 64

Pip counts: kit&stick 118, ed&howard 61
Position ID: 7G4NAGDv9gQAEA Match ID: QQlzArAAKAAA

• ed&howard moves 6/2

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	0	6/2	+0.2421
			0.5656 0.2258 0.0015 - 0.4344 0.0471 0.0003

Move number 40: kit&stick to play 62

Pip counts: kit&stick 118, ed&howard 57
Position ID: 7+0BABDsbg0AYA Match ID: AQFrArAAKAAA

• kit&stick moves bar/19

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	0	bar/19	-0.0611
			0.5099 0.0466 0.0002 - 0.4901 0.2117 0.0026

Move number 41: ed&howard to play 53

Pip counts: kit&stick 112, ed&howard 57
Position ID: 7G4NgEDv7QEAEA Match ID: QYluArAAKAAA

• ed&howard moves 23/18*/15

Alert: very lucky roll! ( +1.014)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	23/18*/15	+1.1725
			0.8400 0.5074 0.0034 - 0.1600 0.0075 0.0000
	2	2	23/18* 4/1	+1.0359 ( -0.1366)
			0.8040 0.4586 0.0021 - 0.1960 0.0106 0.0001

Move number 42: kit&stick to play 43

Pip counts: kit&stick 130, ed&howard 49
Position ID: 7+0BEADsbgZAYA Match ID: AQFuArAAKAAA

• kit&stick cannot move

Alert: unlucky roll! ( -0.328)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
			Cannot move

Move number 43: ed&howard to play 51

Pip counts: kit&stick 130, ed&howard 49
Position ID: 7G4GQGDv7QEQAA Match ID: QYlmArAAKAAA

• ed&howard moves 15/9

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	15/9	+1.5832
			0.9461 0.6686 0.0048 - 0.0539 0.0010 0.0000
	2	2	15/10 2/1	+1.4791 ( -0.1041)
			0.9127 0.6405 0.0058 - 0.0873 0.0033 0.0000
	3	2	15/10 4/3	+1.4576 ( -0.1256)
			0.9028 0.6400 0.0063 - 0.0972 0.0027 0.0000
	4	0	15/10 3/2	+0.4797 ( -1.1034)
			0.6321 0.3095 0.0024 - 0.3679 0.0480 0.0003

Move number 44: kit&stick to play 41

Pip counts: kit&stick 130, ed&howard 43
Position ID: 7+1BAADsbgZAYA Match ID: AQFmArAAKAAA

• kit&stick cannot move

#		Ply	Move	Equity
			Cannot move

Move number 45: ed&howard to play 33

Pip counts: kit&stick 130, ed&howard 43
Position ID: 7G4GQGDv7UEAAA Match ID: QYltArAAKAAA

• ed&howard moves 9/6*/3 4/1(2)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	9/6*/3 4/1(2)	+1.6648
			0.9311 0.7716 0.0099 - 0.0689 0.0000 0.0000
	2	2	9/6*/off 4/1	+1.5288 ( -0.1360)
			0.8718 0.7506 0.0229 - 0.1282 0.0000 0.0000
	3	0	4/1(4)	+1.3290 ( -0.3359)
			0.8565 0.6236 0.0001 - 0.1435 0.0042 0.0000
	4	0	9/6* 4/1 3/off(2)	+1.0182 ( -0.6467)
			0.7264 0.5629 0.0295 - 0.2736 0.0000 0.0000

Move number 46: kit&stick to play 11

Pip counts: kit&stick 136, ed&howard 31
Position ID: v3cDAADsbgYAcA Match ID: AYFkArAAKAAA

• kit&stick cannot move

#		Ply	Move	Equity
			Cannot move

Move number 47: ed&howard to play 64

Pip counts: kit&stick 136, ed&howard 31
Position ID: 7G4GAHC/dwMAAA Match ID: QQlzArAAKAAA

• ed&howard moves 4/off(2)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	0	4/off(2)	+1.7436
			0.9317 0.8307 0.0214 - 0.0683 0.0000 0.0000

Move number 48: kit&stick to play 64

Pip counts: kit&stick 136, ed&howard 23
Position ID: v3cAAAC7mwEAHA Match ID: AQFzArAAKAAA

• kit&stick moves bar/21 bar/19

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	0	bar/21 bar/19	-1.6883
			0.0695 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.9305 0.8014 0.0052

Move number 49: ed&howard to play 41

Pip counts: kit&stick 126, ed&howard 23
Position ID: 7G4GQEK/dwAAAA Match ID: QQlmArAAKAAA

• ed&howard moves 3/off 1/off

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	3/off 1/off	+1.9341
			0.9979 0.8987 0.0015 - 0.0021 0.0000 0.0000
	2	2	3/off 2/1	+1.8936 ( -0.0405)
			0.9911 0.8754 0.0005 - 0.0089 0.0000 0.0000
	3	0	3/2 3/off	+1.0642 ( -0.8699)
			0.7639 0.5647 0.0002 - 0.2361 0.0000 0.0000

Move number 50: kit&stick to play 21

Pip counts: kit&stick 126, ed&howard 19
Position ID: 3xsAAMDuZgAkBA Match ID: AQFlArAAKAAA

• kit&stick cannot move

#		Ply	Move	Equity
			Cannot move

Move number 51: ed&howard to play 32

Pip counts: kit&stick 126, ed&howard 19
Position ID: 7G4GQELfGwAAAA Match ID: QYlpArAAKAAA

• ed&howard moves 3/1 3/off

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	0	3/1 3/off	+1.9598
			0.9897 0.9410 0.0012 - 0.0103 0.0000 0.0000
	2	0	3/off 2/off	+1.3371 ( -0.6227)
			0.8206 0.6991 0.0050 - 0.1794 0.0000 0.0000

Move number 52: kit&stick to play 65

Pip counts: kit&stick 126, ed&howard 14
Position ID: vwcAAGB3MwASAg Match ID: AQF3ArAAKAAA

• kit&stick moves bar/20 21/15

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	2	bar/14	-2.0104
			0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 - 1.0000 0.9692 0.0000
	2	2	bar/19 21/16	-2.0105 ( -0.0001)
			0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 - 1.0000 0.9693 0.0000
•	3	2	bar/20 21/15	-2.0106 ( -0.0002)
			0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 - 1.0000 0.9694 0.0000
	4	2	bar/20 19/13	-2.0111 ( -0.0007)
			0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 - 1.0000 0.9699 0.0000

Move number 53: ed&howard to play 32

Pip counts: kit&stick 115, ed&howard 14
Position ID: 7G4GhAK/BwAAAA Match ID: QYlpArAAKAAA

• ed&howard moves 2/off(2)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	0	2/off(2)	+2.0032
			1.0000 0.9623 0.0000 - 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000

Move number 54: kit&stick to play 52

Pip counts: kit&stick 115, ed&howard 10
Position ID: vwEAANjdDAgFAA Match ID: AYFqArAAKAAA

• kit&stick moves 19/14 8/6

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	2	15/10 8/6	-2.0174
			0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 - 1.0000 0.9759 0.0000
	2	2	20/15 8/6	-2.0187 ( -0.0013)
			0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 - 1.0000 0.9772 0.0000
•	3	2	19/14 8/6	-2.0190 ( -0.0016)
			0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 - 1.0000 0.9775 0.0000
	4	2	20/18 15/10	-2.0218 ( -0.0044)
			0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 - 1.0000 0.9802 0.0000

Move number 55: ed&howard to play 32

Pip counts: kit&stick 108, ed&howard 10
Position ID: 7O4ECgK/AQAAAA Match ID: QYlpArAAKAAA

• ed&howard moves 2/off(2)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	0	2/off(2)	+2.0132
			1.0000 0.9719 0.0000 - 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000

Move number 56: kit&stick to play 63

Pip counts: kit&stick 108, ed&howard 6
Position ID: PwAAAHZ3AgUBAA Match ID: AQFvArAAKAAA

• kit&stick moves 15/6

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	15/6	-2.0335
			0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 - 1.0000 0.9913 0.0000
	2	2	20/14 8/5	-2.0342 ( -0.0007)
			0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 - 1.0000 0.9920 0.0000
	3	2	20/14 15/12	-2.0343 ( -0.0008)
			0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 - 1.0000 0.9922 0.0000
	4	2	15/9 8/5	-2.0343 ( -0.0009)
			0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 - 1.0000 0.9922 0.0000

Move number 57: ed&howard to play 31

Pip counts: kit&stick 99, ed&howard 6
Position ID: 7O4JBAI/AAAAAA Match ID: QYllArAAKAAA

• ed&howard moves 1/off(2)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	0	1/off(2)	+2.0161
			1.0000 0.9746 0.0000 - 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000

ed&howard wins 4 points

Game statistics for game 11
Player	kit&stick	ed&howard
Checker play statistics
Total moves	28	28
Unforced moves	12	22
Unmarked moves	0	0
Moves marked good	28	27
Moves marked doubtful	0	0
Moves marked bad	0	1
Moves marked very bad	0	0
Error rate (total)	-0.024 ( -0.096%)	-0.103 ( -0.420%)
Error rate (per move)	-1.98 ( -0.008%)	-4.70 ( -0.019%)
Chequerplay rating	Supernatural	World class
Luck statistics
Rolls marked very lucky	0	1
Rolls marked lucky	1	2
Rolls unmarked	24	23
Rolls marked unlucky	2	1
Rolls marked very unlucky	1	1
Luck rate (total)	-2.331 (-18.034%)	-0.256 ( -2.967%)
Luck rate (per move)	-83.23 ( -0.644%)	-9.14 ( -0.106%)
Luck rating	Go to bed	None
Cube statistics
Total cube decisions	28	12
Close or actual cube decisions	1	6
Doubles	0	1
Takes	1	0
Passes	0	0
Missed doubles (below CP)	0	0
Missed doubles (above CP)	0	0
Wrong doubles (below DP)	0	0
Wrong doubles (above TG)	0	0
Wrong takes	0	0
Wrong passes	0	0
Error rate (total)	+0.000	+0.000
Error rate (per cube decision)	+0.00	+0.00
Cube decision rating	Supernatural	Supernatural
Overall statistics
Error rate (total)	-0.024 ( -0.096%)	-0.103 ( -0.420%)
Error rate (per decision)	-1.83 ( -0.007%)	-3.69 ( -0.015%)
Equiv. Snowie error rate	-0.42	-1.85
Overall rating	Supernatural	World class
Actual result	-14.97%	+14.97%
Luck adjusted result	+0.09%	-0.09%

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Output generated Wed Mar 26 17:50:46 2008 by GNU Backgammon 0.16-mingw (HTML Export version 1.172)