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Q about Neil's Numbers

Posted By: Henrik Bukkjaer
Date: Saturday, 28 April 2012, at 9:16 p.m.

In Response To: Q about Neil's Numbers (adambulldog)

Haven't seen the article, nor do I know what Stick thinks, but.....

....I'm almost sure he would never go through the calculations Dmitriy suggests here!

The wonder of Neils numbers for the purpose of calculating gammon price, is in the formulas:

Take the first part:

(WinGammon-WinSingle)

This is easier to calculate, than even a single ME using Neils numbers:

NN_formula= 50% + lead x constant

where constant is a function of trailer score, thus the same for WinGammon and WinSingle, giving you: (50% + LGam x C) - (50% + LSin x C) Equal to: (LGam - LSin) x C

And (LGam - LSin) = Cube value, giving you:

WinGammon - WinSingle = CubeVal x Constant(trailer)

Say you lead a 7 point match 2-0 and the cube is at 1, then you get: WinGammon-WinSingle = 1 x 6,5%

Easy as pie....

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