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Is this another chance to open up a 2nd blot?

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Monday, 23 July 2012, at 2:25 p.m.

In Response To: Is this another chance to open up a 2nd blot? (Taper_Mike)

Thanks, Mike! I wouldn't hit here, and my reasoning is as follows. What I see as the key difference between your position and mine is that here White's board is crunched, and so her only real "threat" is to win the race. When ahead in the race, race. Running with bar/15 gives White 18 shots, hitting gives White 15 shots. That's not much difference. If White sends another checker back then Blue loses a great deal. If White doesn't hit back immediately, has Blue gained much? Doesn't seem so to me. Blue gets some extra chances to hit another checker, but that doesn't seem to increase his winning or gammon chances significantly, and his ace-point blot will continue to be a liability until he can cover it. Bar/15.

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