[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums

Rollout: Everyone's favorite score!

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Sunday, 24 March 2013, at 5:39 p.m.

In Response To: Everyone's favorite score! (Timothy Chow)

I've noticed that I tend to underestimate the gammon chances when the opponent has a high anchor and a checker on the bar. Try to correct for this tendency, I sent the cube over here. But even ATS that is apparently a tad too ambitious when I don't have that much attacking material handy.





White is Player 2

score: 4
pip: 172
7 point match
pip: 153
score: 3

Blue is Player 1
XGID=a-a-BbC-C--BbC---dAc-b--A-:0:0:1:00:3:4:0:7:10
Blue on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 61.50% (G: 12.99% B: 1.79%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 38.50% (G: 8.75% B: 0.59%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 62.05% (G: 12.61% B: 2.48%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 37.95% (G: 8.90% B: 0.73%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0.251
Double:+0.719
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+0.579
Double/Take:+0.503 (-0.076)
Double/Drop:+1.000 (+0.421)
Best Cube action: No Double / Take
Rollout details
3224 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 2
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Double: ± 0.016 (+0.563...+0.595)
Confidence Double: ± 0.019 (+0.484...+0.521)
Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 20 hours 26 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

Messages In This Thread

 

Post Response
Your Name:
Your E-Mail Address:
Subject:
Message:

If necessary, enter your password below:

Password:
 

 

[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums is maintained by Stick with WebBBS 5.12.