[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums

62S-53P-63S-31P-61P-32 — Unlimited Games — 3-ply XG2 Rollout

Posted By: Taper_Mike
Date: Friday, 31 May 2013, at 12:14 a.m.

In Response To: Anyone else blunder this one? (David Rennie)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 143
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 155
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=---B-BCbA---cE-a-c-db---B-:0:0:1:32:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 32
1.Rollout124/22 8/5eq: -0.6132
Player:
Opponent:
35.70% (G:8.37% B:0.30%)
64.30% (G:18.67% B:0.60%)
Conf.: ±0.0021 (-0.6152...-0.6111) - [100.0%]
Duration: 5 hours 56 minutes
2.Rollout124/22 24/21eq: -0.6223 (-0.0091)
Player:
Opponent:
35.50% (G:8.79% B:0.36%)
64.50% (G:23.23% B:0.96%)
Conf.: ±0.0029 (-0.6251...-0.6194) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 hours 44 minutes
3.Rollout224/22 13/10eq: -0.6298 (-0.0166)
Player:
Opponent:
35.27% (G:9.09% B:0.42%)
64.73% (G:22.92% B:1.63%)
Conf.: ±0.0038 (-0.6336...-0.6259) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 hours 31 minutes
4.Rollout313/8eq: -0.6351 (-0.0220)
Player:
Opponent:
34.96% (G:8.02% B:0.30%)
65.04% (G:17.91% B:0.59%)
Conf.: ±0.0055 (-0.6406...-0.6296) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 10 minutes
5.Rollout324/21 8/6eq: -0.6377 (-0.0245)
Player:
Opponent:
35.22% (G:8.24% B:0.30%)
64.78% (G:19.72% B:0.72%)
Conf.: ±0.0046 (-0.6423...-0.6330) - [0.0%]
Duration: 56 minutes 53 seconds
 
1 62208 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 22166019
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 31104 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 22166019
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

3 10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 22166019
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Rollout by Taper_Mike
2013-May-29
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10.199.2658
62S-53P-63S-31P-61P-32-tm.xgp
[c U9 Z17 D22 C25] "<=62*31 10
[c U12 Z31 C35 D36 E97] "&e

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

62S-53P-63S-31P-61P-32 — Unlimited Games
Bot Seed Equity Nacbracs Link
GnuBg 0.xx 2-ply Trunc 680354761 –623.630 [c D24 C25 U44 Z79] /0.360t Taper_Mike
XG 2.10 3-ply, Cubes: XGR 22166019 –613.2 [c U9 Z17 D22 C25] "<=62*31 10 Taper_Mike (above)
XG 2.10 XGR++ Eval [XGR++ seed] –595.3 [c U12 Z31 C35 D36 E97] "&e Taper_Mike

Key: C (Cross) = 24/21 8/6, c (cross) = 24/22 8/5, D (Down) = 13/8, E (Each) = 24/21 6/4, U (Up) = 24/22 24/21, Z (Reverse split) = 24/22 13/10

Explanation of nacbracs

In my prior post, I mistook the roll to be played in the position that originally began this thread. This rollout is for a throw of 32.

After 62k, splitting the 22pt and saving the outside blot beats playing up by a small but significant amount.

There are several equivalent move sequences that lead to this position. Listing them below should make it easier to locate this rollout in a search.

  • 62S-53P-63S-31P-61P-32
  • 63S-53P-62S-31P-61P-32
  • 63S-53P-63S-31P-51P-32
  • 63S-53P-64S-31P-41P-32

Mike

Messages In This Thread

 

Post Response

Your Name:
Your E-Mail Address:
Subject:
Message:

If necessary, enter your password below:

Password:

 

 

[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums is maintained by Stick with WebBBS 5.12.