I've tweaked your position by splitting the back checkers. Ignore the obvious move which makes the anchor and compare the other choices. Now K and H appear to be best. (The rollout needs extending.) This tells me that in your position, it is critical to split the back checkers. Once they are split, it is less important to move them again. So, you need to understand why it is critical to split the back checkers in your position and why it is not critical in Paul's position.
         
 
         
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 163 | Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver | pip: 162
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-a-a-BD-B---eE---c-cb--AA-:0:0:1:32:0:0:3:0:10 |
| Blue to play 32 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 6/3* 3/1* | eq: -0.0572 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 47.78% (G:15.46% B:0.44%)
52.22% (G:14.40% B:0.70%) | Conf.: ±0.0162 (-0.0734...-0.0410) - [96.6%]
Duration: 4 minutes 07 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 13/11 6/3* | eq: -0.0789 (-0.0218) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 48.37% (G:14.91% B:0.73%)
51.63% (G:16.26% B:1.03%) | Conf.: ±0.0158 (-0.0948...-0.0631) - [2.8%]
Duration: 4 minutes 21 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | 24/21 13/11 | eq: -0.0837 (-0.0266) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 47.98% (G:12.66% B:0.53%)
52.02% (G:14.30% B:0.68%) | Conf.: ±0.0138 (-0.0976...-0.0699) - [0.6%]
Duration: 3 minutes 51 seconds |
|
| 4. | Rollout1 | 13/8 | eq: -0.0952 (-0.0380) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 47.43% (G:12.83% B:0.41%)
52.57% (G:13.69% B:0.58%) | Conf.: ±0.0135 (-0.1086...-0.0817) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 38 seconds |
|
| 5. | Rollout1 | 23/21 6/3* | eq: -0.0992 (-0.0420) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 47.53% (G:14.22% B:0.65%)
52.47% (G:15.41% B:0.87%) | Conf.: ±0.0139 (-0.1131...-0.0853) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 09 seconds |
|
| |
1 1500 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 17408366
Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10