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Double Match Point:Winning Chances ?

Posted By: Seth
Date: Sunday, 27 April 2014, at 9:37 p.m.

Playing a friend a 15 pointer this week and we ultimately arrived at this position at a score of 14-14. I had gotten 6 off; blotted and was hit.My friend repeatedly hit me trying to get another checker. Talk about luck- I would roll 1-4;1-5, and never had to break that fragile 4 point.
What were my winning chances in this position before I rolled?
Of course, I rolled a 1-6 hitting both;he entered with 1 checker. Then, I rolled 3-3 hitting him on midpoint, and moving 4 point to 1 point.Finally, I rolled a 6-4 passing most of his army, and he needed a 2 from the bar, but missed me for my win.

The score (after 0 games) is: gnubg 14, sethmatch 14 (match to 15 points, post-Crawford play)

Move number 2: gnubg on roll, cube decision?

gnubg104

1X2X2X2X2X2X1X ' ' ' ' '

6O1X '2O1X ' ' ' ' ' '1X
sethmatch39
Position ID: PwYAALVtCwREAA Match ID: MAHgAeAAcAAA

gnubg doubles

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