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Revised 2-1 Ats Opening Roll Heuristic

Posted By: Jason Lee
Date: Saturday, 10 May 2014, at 1:00 p.m.

In Response To: Revised 2-1 Ats Opening Roll Heuristic (AdamStocks)

I'm really pleased to see this kind of analysis, and I'm not at all surprised to see a rather arbitrary looking boundary line.

Kit Woolsey often writes in the analysis for his OLM about how maybe ahead in the score he does X and behind in the score he does Y, and I always felt like the phase change shouldn't necessarily happen there. That kind of boundary is good as a heuristic, but the truth is probably messier. I don't recall seeing any analysis before that shows a messy boundary. Great stuff.

JLee

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