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Opening Replies: 62R-11 vs. 63R-11 vs. 64R-11

Posted By: Igor
Date: Thursday, 19 June 2014, at 3:51 p.m.

E (Each) almost dominates for 62R-11, E (Each) and N (Near) share the load for 63R-11, and N (Near) dominates for 64R-11. Why? (The hardest result for me to understand is that N beat E in 64R-11 at GS.)

Related rollouts (due to David Rockwell) are posted below.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 159
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 167
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a----E-Ca--eE---c-e----B-:0:0:1:11:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 11
1.Rollout124/22 6/5(2)eq: +0.097
Player:
Opponent:
51.95% (G:14.40% B:0.55%)
48.05% (G:11.17% B:0.44%)
Conf.: 0.002 (+0.094...+0.099) - [100.0%]
Duration: 15 hours 36 minutes
2.Rollout18/7(2) 6/5(2)eq: +0.089 (-0.008)
Player:
Opponent:
51.79% (G:14.89% B:0.57%)
48.21% (G:11.88% B:0.61%)
Conf.: 0.002 (+0.087...+0.091) - [0.0%]
Duration: 15 hours 46 minutes
1 62208 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 21961645
Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 159
1 point match
pip: 167
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a----E-Ca--eE---c-e----B-:0:0:1:11:0:0:0:1:10
Blue to play 11
1.Rollout124/22 6/5(2)eq: +0.042
Player:
Opponent:
52.12% (G:14.87% B:1.78%)
47.88% (G:12.84% B:1.21%)
Conf.: 0.001 (+0.041...+0.044) - [99.0%]
Duration: 10 hours 53 minutes
2.Rollout18/7(2) 6/5(2)eq: +0.041 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:
52.03% (G:15.63% B:1.89%)
47.97% (G:14.12% B:1.81%)
Conf.: 0.001 (+0.039...+0.042) - [1.0%]
Duration: 11 hours 08 minutes
1 31104 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 43482038
Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2





White is Player 2

score: 1
pip: 159
2 point match
Crawford
pip: 167
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a----E-Ca--eE---c-e----B-:0:0:1:11:0:1:1:2:10
Blue to play 11
1.Rollout18/7(2) 6/5(2)eq: +0.360
Player:
Opponent:
51.52% (G:16.46% B:1.17%)
48.48% (G:15.28% B:2.14%)
Conf.: 0.002 (+0.358...+0.361) - [100.0%]
Duration: 8 hours 26 minutes
2.Rollout124/22 6/5(2)eq: +0.351 (-0.009)
Player:
Opponent:
51.59% (G:15.94% B:1.14%)
48.41% (G:14.75% B:1.59%)
Conf.: 0.002 (+0.349...+0.352) - [0.0%]
Duration: 8 hours 18 minutes
1 31104 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 36662869
Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 159
2 point match
Crawford
pip: 167
score: 1

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a----E-Ca--eE---c-e----B-:0:0:1:11:1:0:1:2:10
Blue to play 11
1.Rollout124/22 6/5(2)eq: -0.170
Player:
Opponent:
51.57% (G:14.27% B:1.70%)
48.43% (G:10.05% B:0.82%)
Conf.: 0.002 (-0.172...-0.168) - [100.0%]
Duration: 16 hours 39 minutes
2.Rollout18/7(2) 6/5(2)eq: -0.194 (-0.025)
Player:
Opponent:
51.14% (G:15.05% B:1.75%)
48.86% (G:10.85% B:1.19%)
Conf.: 0.002 (-0.196...-0.192) - [0.0%]
Duration: 16 hours 57 minutes
1 15552 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 52538529
Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 158
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 167
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a----E-C-a-eE---c-e----B-:0:0:1:11:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 11
1.Rollout124/22 6/5(2)eq: +0.089
Player:
Opponent:
51.69% (G:14.54% B:0.51%)
48.31% (G:11.20% B:0.45%)
Conf.: 0.002 (+0.088...+0.091) - [99.5%]
Duration: 3 days 02 hours 30 minutes
2.Rollout18/7(2) 6/5(2)eq: +0.086 (-0.003)
Player:
Opponent:
51.69% (G:15.22% B:0.56%)
48.31% (G:12.17% B:0.65%)
Conf.: 0.002 (+0.084...+0.088) - [0.5%]
Duration: 3 days 02 hours 22 minutes
1 62208 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 77148817
Moves and cube decisions: 4-ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 158
1 point match
pip: 167
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a----E-C-a-eE---c-e----B-:0:0:1:11:0:0:0:1:10
Blue to play 11
1.Rollout18/7(2) 6/5(2)eq: +0.041
Player:
Opponent:
52.05% (G:15.37% B:1.59%)
47.95% (G:14.50% B:1.85%)
Conf.: 0.001 (+0.040...+0.042) - [99.1%]
Duration: 3 days 20 hours 27 minutes
2.Rollout124/22 6/5(2)eq: +0.040 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:
51.98% (G:14.44% B:1.45%)
48.02% (G:12.84% B:1.16%)
Conf.: 0.001 (+0.039...+0.040) - [0.9%]
Duration: 3 days 19 hours 04 minutes
1 31104 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 11570774
Moves and cube decisions: 4-ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2





White is Player 2

score: 1
pip: 158
2 point match
Crawford
pip: 167
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a----E-C-a-eE---c-e----B-:0:0:1:11:0:1:1:2:10
Blue to play 11
1.Rollout18/7(2) 6/5(2)eq: +0.362
Player:
Opponent:
51.46% (G:16.66% B:1.07%)
48.54% (G:15.56% B:2.11%)
Conf.: 0.002 (+0.360...+0.364) - [100.0%]
Duration: 8 hours 36 minutes
2.Rollout124/22 6/5(2)eq: +0.346 (-0.016)
Player:
Opponent:
51.36% (G:15.95% B:1.07%)
48.64% (G:15.00% B:1.57%)
Conf.: 0.002 (+0.344...+0.348) - [0.0%]
Duration: 8 hours 28 minutes
1 20736 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 65923736
Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 158
2 point match
Crawford
pip: 167
score: 1

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a----E-C-a-eE---c-e----B-:0:0:1:11:1:0:1:2:10
Blue to play 11
1.Rollout124/22 6/5(2)eq: -0.173
Player:
Opponent:
51.17% (G:13.41% B:1.56%)
48.83% (G:9.80% B:0.74%)
Conf.: 0.002 (-0.174...-0.171) - [100.0%]
Duration: 3 hours 02 minutes
2.Rollout18/7(2) 6/5(2)eq: -0.195 (-0.022)
Player:
Opponent:
51.00% (G:14.79% B:1.64%)
49.00% (G:10.73% B:1.27%)
Conf.: 0.002 (-0.197...-0.193) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 hours 06 minutes
1 15552 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 61443565
Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 157
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 167
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a----E-C--aeE---c-e----B-:0:0:1:11:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 11
1.Rollout18/7(2) 6/5(2)eq: +0.097
Player:
Opponent:
51.95% (G:15.07% B:0.56%)
48.05% (G:12.08% B:0.65%)
Conf.: 0.008 (+0.089...+0.105) - [100.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 06 minutes
2.Rollout124/22 6/5(2)eq: +0.043 (-0.054)
Player:
Opponent:
50.76% (G:13.94% B:0.50%)
49.24% (G:11.78% B:0.47%)
Conf.: 0.007 (+0.036...+0.050) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 06 minutes
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 95089519
Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 157
1 point match
pip: 167
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a----E-C--aeE---c-e----B-:0:0:1:11:0:0:0:1:10
Blue to play 11
1.Rollout18/7(2) 6/5(2)eq: +0.045
Player:
Opponent:
52.24% (G:15.33% B:1.72%)
47.76% (G:14.63% B:2.04%)
Conf.: 0.002 (+0.043...+0.047) - [100.0%]
Duration: 7 hours 31 minutes
2.Rollout124/22 6/5(2)eq: +0.021 (-0.024)
Player:
Opponent:
51.03% (G:14.25% B:1.55%)
48.97% (G:13.97% B:1.25%)
Conf.: 0.002 (+0.019...+0.022) - [0.0%]
Duration: 7 hours 19 minutes
1 10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 9492315
Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2





White is Player 2

score: 1
pip: 157
2 point match
Crawford
pip: 167
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a----E-C--aeE---c-e----B-:0:0:1:11:0:1:1:2:10
Blue to play 11
1.Rollout18/7(2) 6/5(2)eq: +0.372
Player:
Opponent:
51.73% (G:16.86% B:1.20%)
48.27% (G:15.57% B:2.31%)
Conf.: 0.004 (+0.368...+0.376) - [100.0%]
Duration: 3 hours 09 minutes
2.Rollout124/22 6/5(2)eq: +0.322 (-0.050)
Player:
Opponent:
50.73% (G:15.37% B:1.05%)
49.27% (G:15.54% B:1.64%)
Conf.: 0.004 (+0.318...+0.326) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 hours 06 minutes
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 80721804
Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 157
2 point match
Crawford
pip: 167
score: 1

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a----E-C--aeE---c-e----B-:0:0:1:11:1:0:1:2:10
Blue to play 11
1.Rollout18/7(2) 6/5(2)eq: -0.192
Player:
Opponent:
51.19% (G:14.74% B:1.66%)
48.81% (G:10.79% B:1.32%)
Conf.: 0.002 (-0.194...-0.190) - [100.0%]
Duration: 13 hours 57 minutes
2.Rollout124/22 6/5(2)eq: -0.207 (-0.015)
Player:
Opponent:
50.00% (G:12.78% B:1.44%)
50.00% (G:10.34% B:0.76%)
Conf.: 0.002 (-0.208...-0.205) - [0.0%]
Duration: 13 hours 46 minutes
1 20736 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 99278748
Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

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