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Just another 5pt problem...yawn

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Monday, 3 November 2014, at 5:54 p.m.

In Response To: Just another 5pt problem...yawn (Timothy Chow)

We seek to enhance the value of our cube ownership here. If we hit loose and cover, and White dances we have 29 rolls to close the 5 pt. Even AtS it would seem that White will have a very difficult take decision after dancing.

If we make the 5 pt, we have 14 3's, 4 7's, 3 9's and 2 12's to cover taking into account dupes. That is only 23 rolls and I think clearly after 5 pt dance, White has a clear take AtS.

What about the chances for White to get stuck on the ace pt after a hit and then crash? Well I'd think they're balanced by the chances that after hitting he bringd back the blot on the 8 pt as a bonus.

6/5x 4/1 looks clear to me.

There also can soon be cubes coming if after White enters with a non hittng 2, Blue covers the 5 pt and White then remains sitting in a 5 pt board with his blot.

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