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Cube action after Kit enters 4 checkers with 55 – Rollout

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Wednesday, 26 November 2014, at 1:53 p.m.

In Response To: Cube action after Kit enters 4 checkers with 55 – Rollout (Casper Van der Tak)

I'm not sure if XG's containment game is strong enough for us to trust small equity differences in these rollouts, but FWIW:





White is Player 2

score: 3
pip: 126
17 point match
pip: 75
score: 7

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-BBCBdBBA---------Acbbbb--:1:1:1:00:7:3:0:17:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 77.44% (G:14.17% B:0.05%) 77.65% (G:13.80% B:0.06%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 22.56% (G:1.44% B:0.04%) 22.35% (G:1.68% B:0.05%)
Cubeless Equities +0.671 +1.224
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0.826 (-0.174)±0.004 (+0.822..+0.829)
Redouble/Take:+1.004 (+0.004)±0.008 (+0.996..+1.011)
Redouble/Pass:+1.000
Best Cube action: Redouble / Pass
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:80.9%
Duration: 13 minutes 39 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

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