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Rollout of Pos. 1

Posted By: Stick
Date: Sunday, 7 December 2014, at 11:53 p.m.

In Response To: Rollout Results Posted (Paul Weaver)

While this is too few trials it is still an interesting comparison to me to Paul's 3ply/XGR/normal search space rollout. My rollout is for unlimited games whereas Paul's was AtS. (6a 6a) My equities are clearly going to end up being lower than Paul's. When trying to get a better grip on some of these positions we can't only up the move and cube ply, we really need to use a larger search interval. If you play some of these positions out against XG you will see that it all too often doesn't come up with the best play simply because it didn't make it through the move filter. I still can't imagine anything but anchoring up being technically correct. Even with these settings the bot will make questionable plays when playing it out.

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 194 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 165 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-ab-cBCBB-B-b-----AdaaBa-A:1:-1:1:52:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 52

1.	Rollout1	Bar/20* 22/20	eq: +0.718
	Player: Opponent: 71.75% (G:40.63% B:3.36%) 28.25% (G:3.59% B:0.00%) Conf.: ± 0.039 (+0.679...+0.757) - [58.2%] Duration: 1 day 12 hours 04 minutes
2.	Rollout2	Bar/20* 18/16	eq: +0.712 (-0.006)
	Player: Opponent: 71.19% (G:41.30% B:3.63%) 28.81% (G:3.87% B:0.23%) Conf.: ± 0.032 (+0.680...+0.744) - [40.9%] Duration: 1 day 10 hours 45 minutes
3.	Rollout2	Bar/20* 20/18	eq: +0.667 (-0.051)
	Player: Opponent: 70.96% (G:39.54% B:3.11%) 29.04% (G:4.21% B:0.21%) Conf.: ± 0.038 (+0.629...+0.705) - [0.9%] Duration: 1 day 09 hours 52 minutes
1 432 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 67130772 Moves: XG Roller+, cube decisions: 4-ply Search interval: Gigantic 2 432 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 67130772 Moves: XG Roller+, cube decisions: 4-ply Search interval: Gigantic

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.206.pre-release

---

Paul's Original Rollout Results

1.	Rollout1	Bar/20* 18/16	eq: +0.794
	Player: Opponent: 73.07% (G:41.16% B:3.60%) 26.93% (G:3.85% B:0.21%) Conf.: ± 0.020 (+0.774...+0.814) - [81.3%] Duration: 13 minutes 45 seconds
2.	Rollout1	Bar/20* 22/20	eq: +0.780 (-0.014)
	Player: Opponent: 73.13% (G:39.95% B:2.97%) 26.87% (G:3.64% B:0.22%) Conf.: ± 0.022 (+0.758...+0.802) - [16.6%] Duration: 13 minutes 54 seconds
3.	Rollout1	Bar/20* 20/18	eq: +0.768 (-0.026)
	Player: Opponent: 72.74% (G:39.70% B:3.14%) 27.26% (G:3.98% B:0.33%) Conf.: ± 0.019 (+0.749...+0.787) - [2.1%] Duration: 13 minutes 07 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 101 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

Messages In This Thread

• I Screwed Up My BackGame Defense Checker Play
  Paul Weaver -- Tuesday, 2 December 2014, at 5:06 p.m.
  • I Screwed Up My BackGame Defense Checker Play
    Keene -- Tuesday, 2 December 2014, at 5:58 p.m.
  • I Screwed Up My BackGame Defense Checker Play
    Taper_Mike -- Tuesday, 2 December 2014, at 8:15 p.m.
  • I Screwed Up My BackGame Defense Checker Play
    ah_clem -- Tuesday, 2 December 2014, at 8:42 p.m.
  • I Screwed Up My BackGame Defense Checker Play
    Stick -- Tuesday, 2 December 2014, at 9:06 p.m.
    • I Screwed Up My BackGame Defense Checker Play
      Keene -- Tuesday, 2 December 2014, at 9:18 p.m.
    • I Screwed Up My BackGame Defense Checker Play
      vidis13 -- Tuesday, 2 December 2014, at 9:51 p.m.
    • I Screwed Up My BackGame Defense Checker Play
      Ian Dunstan -- Wednesday, 3 December 2014, at 9:56 a.m.
  • Rollout Results Posted
    Paul Weaver -- Wednesday, 3 December 2014, at 12:20 p.m.
    • Rollout Results Posted
      Timothy Chow -- Wednesday, 3 December 2014, at 10:46 p.m.
      • Agreed - these were some very instructive and thematic positions *NM*
        Snua -- Thursday, 4 December 2014, at 1:34 p.m.
    • Rollout Results Posted
      Christian Munk-Christensen -- Thursday, 4 December 2014, at 3:38 p.m.
      • Rollout Result Of Play Mentioned By CMC
        Paul Weaver -- Friday, 5 December 2014, at 1:58 a.m.
        • Rollout Result Of Play Mentioned By CMC
          christian munk-christensen -- Friday, 5 December 2014, at 11:12 a.m.
    • Rollout of Pos. 1
      Stick -- Sunday, 7 December 2014, at 11:53 p.m.