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Cube Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Friday, 11 May 2007, at 10:24 a.m.

In Response To: OLM Thurs. May 10th (Stick)

The score (after 6 games) is: Stick 7, Readers 3 (match to 13 points)

Move number 9: Stick on roll, cube decision?

Stick147


1O ' '2X2X2X '2X '1X '5O

1X ' ' '2O3O '3O '1X '4X

Readers166

Position ID: sHPwAVDYZuIJIA Match ID: MAGgAXAAGAAA

• Stick doubles

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity +0.5600(Money: +0.5692)
Cubeful equities:
1.No double +0.7767
2.Double, pass +1.0000 +0.2233
3.Double, take +0.7655 -0.0112
Proper cube action:No double, take (4.8%)
Rollout details
WinW gW bg LoseL gL bgCubelessCubeful
Centered 1-cube0.69740.22590.0104-0.30260.06000.0019 +0.5600 +0.7767
Standard error0.00230.00320.0011-0.00230.00160.0002 0.0062 0.0164
Player Readers owns 2-cube0.70230.22750.0143-0.29770.05850.0020 +1.1530 +0.7655
Standard error0.00280.00480.0022-0.00280.00170.0004 0.0152 0.0235
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
648 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1063827754 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

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