|
BGonline.org Forums
$-game cube RO
Posted By: Chuck Bower In Response To: OLM Thurs. May 10th (Stick)
Date: Tuesday, 15 May 2007, at 4:01 p.m.
Certainly no question about the money game cube decisions. Although the accepted cube equities appear consistent between the two rollouts (actual score vs. $-game) the standard error (uncertainty) on the earlier rollout's cubeless eq. (after accepted cube) is 0.003 so the two rollouts are discrepant at the 2.9 j.s.d. level. I interpret that to mean that there is SOME difference in the way the positions are played, (not surprisingly) motivated by the score.
BTW, the Janowski $ takepoint cubeless equity here is 0.596.
The score (after 0 games) is: White 7, Blue 3
Move number 3: White to play 41
Pip counts: White 147, Blue 166
Position ID: sHPwAVDYZuIJIA Match ID: MAEGAHAAGAAA
• White doubles
Cube decision Rollout cubeless equity +0.5645 Cubeful equities: 1. Double, take +0.9260 2. Double, pass +1.0000 +0.0740 3. No double +0.8597 -0.0664 Proper cube action: Double, take Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.7008 0.2117 0.0106 - 0.2992 0.0575 0.0020 +0.5645 +0.8597 Standard error 0.0004 0.0007 0.0002 - 0.0004 0.0003 0.0001 0.0012 0.0033 Player Blue owns 2-cube 0.7005 0.2281 0.0106 - 0.2995 0.0577 0.0026 +1.1586 +0.9260 Standard error 0.0005 0.0007 0.0002 - 0.0005 0.0003 0.0001 0.0029 0.0042 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 12863 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1058393472 and quasi-random dice Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] Different evaluations after 8 plies: Play: 0-ply cubeful prune [expert] Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
|
BGonline.org Forums is maintained by Stick with WebBBS 5.12.