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Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Monday, 18 January 2010, at 9:23 p.m.

In Response To: Toughest 52 of my life (Stick)

I won't hide my disappointment in the plays being so close. (less than 1% MWC between the first best play and the fifth best play) With the amount of time I spent on this OtB I'd have liked a bigger difference for all the mental anguish I went through just to beat this donkey.

My play, bar/20 18/16 was ahead after 10k but slipped after 15k. At this point I won't extend the rollout any further because the top 2 plays will remain the top 2 and the rest should remain the rest. I had planned on giving my analysis but it seems like so much work now, esp. for such a small difference, that I'm passing unless someone really wants to hear me babble on.





is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 181
1 point match
pip: 161
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=--aabACBC--AbBb--cAcAa---A:0:0:1:52:0:0:0:1:10
to play 52

1.Rollout1Bar/20 5/3*eq: +0.090
Player:
Opponent:
54.49% (G:21.34% B:3.18%)
45.51% (G:13.02% B:1.79%)
Conf: 0.003 (+0.087...+0.093)
Duration: 12 hours 14 minutes 39 seconds
2.Rollout1Bar/20 18/16eq: +0.086 (-0.004)
Player:
Opponent:
54.31% (G:20.12% B:3.14%)
45.69% (G:14.51% B:1.99%)
Conf: 0.003 (+0.083...+0.089)
Duration: 12 hours 41 minutes 17 seconds
3.Rollout2Bar/20 7/5eq: +0.077 (-0.013)
Player:
Opponent:
53.83% (G:22.72% B:4.19%)
46.17% (G:13.82% B:1.90%)
Conf: 0.004 (+0.073...+0.081)
Duration: 5 hours 21 minutes 08 seconds
4.Rollout2Bar/18eq: +0.075 (-0.015)
Player:
Opponent:
53.76% (G:19.11% B:2.80%)
46.24% (G:15.76% B:2.38%)
Conf: 0.004 (+0.071...+0.079)
Duration: 5 hours 01 minute 28 seconds
5.Rollout2Bar/20 13/11eq: +0.074 (-0.016)
Player:
Opponent:
53.68% (G:19.87% B:3.24%)
46.32% (G:15.14% B:1.96%)
Conf: 0.004 (+0.070...+0.078)
Duration: 4 hours 59 minutes 52 seconds
1 15552 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 1296
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

2 9723 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 1296
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

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