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Post-Crawford Take/Pass Decision ROLLOUT

Posted By: Bruce Farquhar
Date: Monday, 24 March 2014, at 10:27 p.m.

In Response To: Post-Crawford Take/Pass Decision (mandm1951)





White is Player 1

score: 6
pip: 159
7 point match
pip: 158
score: 1

Blue is Player 2
XGID=-b----E-D---eD---b-dA-b-A-:0:0:1:00:1:6:0:7:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 52.97% (G:13.81% B:0.61%) 53.80% (G:14.77% B:0.48%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 47.03% (G:13.19% B:0.88%) 46.20% (G:15.16% B:1.62%)
Cubeless Equities +0.234 +1.057
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.918 (-0.082)±0.006 (+0.912..+0.923)
Double/Take:+1.057 (+0.057)±0.010 (+1.047..+1.067)
Double/Pass:+1.000
Best Cube action: Double / Pass
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 9 minutes 18 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

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