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Running would have been better on the 2nd roll.

Posted By: Igor
Date: Sunday, 15 June 2014, at 3:34 p.m.

In Response To: Running would have been better on the 2nd roll. (Taper_Mike)

If this were a second roll 62S-42, then hitting is marginally correct (according to Ballard--Weaver terminology). Why is it better than making the 4pt? Let's compare the two moves:

1. Hitting

Pros: unstacks the heavy midpoint, fights for initiative

Cons: does not unstack the heavy 6pt

2. Making the 4pt

Pros: unstacks the heavy 6pt, makes a good inner board point

Cons: strips the 8pt, does not unstack the heavy midpoint, does not fight for initiative

It looks like hitting is a better overall play.

Now, in the third roll OP we have already transferred one spare from the midpoint to the 8pt. So, the above analysis therefore becomes

1. Hitting

Pros: unstacks the heavy midpoint, fights for initiative

Cons: does not unstack the heavy 6pt

2. Making the 4pt

Pros: unstacks the heavy 6pt, makes a good inner board point

Cons: strips the 8pt, does not unstack the heavy midpoint, does not fight for initiative

This brings making the 4pt on top of hitting I believe.

I have not included in the above analysis the effect of the small split since I don't really know how it affects our decision. If it does, then I would guess not by much at all.

Messages In This Thread

• Running would have been better on the 2nd roll.
  Taper_Mike -- Sunday, 15 June 2014, at 12:01 a.m.
  • 51S-62S-42 and variant
    Nack Ballard -- Sunday, 15 June 2014, at 12:59 a.m.
    • 51S-62S-42 and variant
      Taper_Mike -- Sunday, 15 June 2014, at 1:12 a.m.
      • 51S-62S-42 and variant
        Nack Ballard -- Sunday, 15 June 2014, at 1:21 a.m.
        • 51S-62S-42 and variant
          Taper_Mike -- Sunday, 15 June 2014, at 2:18 a.m.
          • 51S-62S-42 and variant
            Nack Ballard -- Monday, 16 June 2014, at 5:01 a.m.
  • Running would have been better on the 2nd roll.
    Timothy Chow -- Sunday, 15 June 2014, at 1:46 a.m.
    • Running would have been better on the 2nd roll.
      neilkaz -- Sunday, 15 June 2014, at 2:44 a.m.
      • Running would have been better on the 2nd roll.
        David Presser -- Sunday, 15 June 2014, at 4:08 a.m.
  • Running would have been better on the 2nd roll.
    Igor -- Sunday, 15 June 2014, at 3:34 p.m.
  • 51S-62S-42 and Variants – No Jacoby, No Beavers – 3-ply XG2 Rollouts
    Taper_Mike -- Monday, 16 June 2014, at 1:07 a.m.
    • 51S-62S-42 and Variants – No Jacoby, No Beavers – 3-ply XG2 Rollouts
      Igor -- Monday, 16 June 2014, at 1:58 a.m.
    • 51S-62S-42 and Variants – No Jacoby, No Beavers – 3-ply XG2 Rollouts
      Daniel Murphy -- Monday, 16 June 2014, at 3:00 a.m.
      • Good variants from Daniel
        Taper_Mike -- Tuesday, 17 June 2014, at 9:58 a.m.
        • Good variants from Daniel
          Taper_Mike -- Wednesday, 18 June 2014, at 3:09 a.m.