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Mythbuster failed – Two Variants – Rollouts

Posted By: Taper_Mike
Date: Friday, 7 October 2016, at 5:08 a.m.

In Response To: Mythbuster failed – Two Variants (Taper_Mike)

The rollouts below are not completely significant, but both indicate that "blotty" play is best in the two variants.

My commentary can be found here and here.

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Variant 1

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 128 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 131 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=--B-A-D-C-b-cC---dBc-aaa--:0:0:1:63:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 63

1.	Rollout1	13/7 8/5	eq: +0.0025
	Player: Opponent: 50.35% (G:4.02% B:0.09%) 49.65% (G:2.59% B:0.10%) Conf.: ±0.0046 (-0.0021...+0.0071) - [94.3%] Duration: 26 minutes 06 seconds
2.	Rollout1	13/7 6/3	eq: -0.0030 (-0.0055)
	Player: Opponent: 50.06% (G:4.10% B:0.10%) 49.94% (G:2.91% B:0.13%) Conf.: ±0.0050 (-0.0079...+0.0020) - [5.7%] Duration: 24 minutes 52 seconds
3.	Rollout1	13/4	eq: -0.0157 (-0.0182)
	Player: Opponent: 49.65% (G:3.92% B:0.11%) 50.35% (G:2.89% B:0.11%) Conf.: ±0.0048 (-0.0205...-0.0110) - [0.0%] Duration: 24 minutes 14 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 72338940 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

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Variant 2

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 128 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 132 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=--B--AD-C-b-cC---dBc-aaa--:0:0:1:62:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 62

1.	Rollout1	13/7 6/4	eq: -0.0421
	Player: Opponent: 48.90% (G:4.12% B:0.11%) 51.10% (G:2.71% B:0.12%) Conf.: ±0.0047 (-0.0467...-0.0374) - [89.8%] Duration: 26 minutes 11 seconds
2.	Rollout1	13/5	eq: -0.0463 (-0.0043)
	Player: Opponent: 48.70% (G:3.88% B:0.10%) 51.30% (G:2.68% B:0.11%) Conf.: ±0.0046 (-0.0509...-0.0417) - [10.1%] Duration: 24 minutes 03 seconds
3.	Rollout1	13/7 8/6	eq: -0.0515 (-0.0094)
	Player: Opponent: 48.45% (G:3.99% B:0.10%) 51.55% (G:2.88% B:0.14%) Conf.: ±0.0046 (-0.0561...-0.0469) - [0.1%] Duration: 22 minutes 12 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 72338940 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

Mike

Messages In This Thread

• Mythbuster failed
  Svilo -- Wednesday, 5 October 2016, at 6:21 p.m.
  • Mythbuster failed
    Taper_Mike -- Wednesday, 5 October 2016, at 10:15 p.m.
  • Mythbuster failed
    Keene -- Thursday, 6 October 2016, at 2:00 a.m.
  • Mythbuster failed – Two Variants
    Taper_Mike -- Thursday, 6 October 2016, at 2:52 a.m.
    • Mythbuster failed – Two Variants
      Timothy Chow -- Thursday, 6 October 2016, at 9:55 p.m.
      • Mythbuster failed – Two Variants
        Keene -- Thursday, 6 October 2016, at 10:13 p.m.
      • Mythbuster failed – Two Variants
        Taper_Mike -- Friday, 7 October 2016, at 4:57 a.m.
        • Mythbuster failed – Two Variants
          Timothy Chow -- Friday, 7 October 2016, at 4:08 p.m.
          • Mythbuster failed – Two Variants
            Taper_Mike -- Saturday, 8 October 2016, at 2:44 a.m.
    • Mythbuster failed – Two Variants – Rollouts
      Taper_Mike -- Friday, 7 October 2016, at 5:08 a.m.