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42P-43D-64R-52, rollout

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Wednesday, 25 January 2012, at 11:42 p.m.

In Response To: xxP-43D-64R-52, four positions (Nack Ballard)

According to this series of rollouts, against no point (other than the 6pt), Blue's K beats P by .030. Against the 2pt, K beats P by .017. Against the 3pt, K beats P by .012. Against the 4pt (in a reversal, see rollout details below), P beats K by .001.

Can you guess which play is better, and by how much, against the 5pt (31P-43D-64R-52)?

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 151 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 160 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a----E-CAAaeC---b-d-b--B-:0:0:1:52:0:0:3:0:10
42P-43D-64R-52

1.	Rollout1	9/4 6/4	eq: -0.219
	Player: Opponent: 44.15% (G:12.97% B:0.46%) 55.85% (G:14.95% B:0.87%) Conf.: ± 0.005 (-0.224...-0.214) - [58.0%] Duration: 9 hours 10 minutes
2.	Rollout1	13/11* 6/1*	eq: -0.220 (-0.001)
	Player: Opponent: 44.88% (G:15.59% B:0.48%) 55.12% (G:19.14% B:1.71%) Conf.: ± 0.006 (-0.226...-0.214) - [42.0%] Duration: 10 hours 02 minutes
1 10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 41156302 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01

Nack

Messages In This Thread

• What would you play? and why :)
  Christian Sorensen -- Tuesday, 24 January 2012, at 11:18 a.m.
  • What would you play? and why :)
    Casper van der Tak -- Tuesday, 24 January 2012, at 11:24 a.m.
    • What would you play? and why :)
      Sebastiaan Kuijs -- Tuesday, 24 January 2012, at 1:35 p.m.
      • Perhaps You Should Consider Parcheesi
        Paul Weaver -- Tuesday, 24 January 2012, at 4:38 p.m.
        • Perhaps You Should Consider Parcheesi
          Casper van der Tak -- Tuesday, 24 January 2012, at 4:44 p.m.
          • Perhaps You Should Consider Parcheesi
            Sebastiaan Kuijs -- Tuesday, 24 January 2012, at 5:16 p.m.
            • Perhaps You Should Consider Parcheesi
              Casper van der Tak -- Tuesday, 24 January 2012, at 5:26 p.m.
              • Perhaps You Should Consider Parcheesi
                Sebastiaan kuijs -- Tuesday, 24 January 2012, at 7:50 p.m.
                • Perhaps You Should Consider Parcheesi
                  Casper van der Tak -- Tuesday, 24 January 2012, at 8:33 p.m.
                  • Perhaps You Should Consider Parcheesi
                    Gregg Cattanach -- Wednesday, 25 January 2012, at 2:08 p.m.
        • Perhaps You Should Consider Parcheesi
          Sebastiaan Kuijs -- Tuesday, 24 January 2012, at 4:45 p.m.
        • Perhaps You Should Consider Parcheesi
          Colin Owen -- Tuesday, 24 January 2012, at 5:30 p.m.
          • Perhaps You Should Consider Parcheesi
            Dmitriy Obukhov -- Tuesday, 24 January 2012, at 7:05 p.m.
            • Perhaps You Should Consider Parcheesi
              Colin Owen -- Tuesday, 24 January 2012, at 10:12 p.m.
        • Perhaps You Should Consider Parcheesi
          higonefive -- Tuesday, 24 January 2012, at 6:10 p.m.
  • What would you play? and why :)
    Michael Depreli -- Tuesday, 24 January 2012, at 12:51 p.m.
  • What would you play? and why :)
    pontiac -- Tuesday, 24 January 2012, at 4:38 p.m.
  • 43D 64R 52?
    neilkaz -- Tuesday, 24 January 2012, at 7:01 p.m.
    • xxP-43D-64R-52, four positions
      Nack Ballard -- Wednesday, 25 January 2012, at 4:49 a.m.
      • xxP-43D-64R-52, four positions
        Daniel Murphy -- Wednesday, 25 January 2012, at 6:56 a.m.
        • xxP-43D-64R-52, four positions
          Daniel Murphy -- Wednesday, 25 January 2012, at 6:57 a.m.
      • 64P-43D-64R-52, rollout
        Nack Ballard -- Wednesday, 25 January 2012, at 10:01 p.m.
      • 53P-43D-64R-52, rollout
        Nack Ballard -- Wednesday, 25 January 2012, at 10:41 p.m.
      • 42P-43D-64R-52, rollout
        Nack Ballard -- Wednesday, 25 January 2012, at 11:42 p.m.
        • 42P-43D-64R-52, rollout
          Timothy Chow -- Thursday, 26 January 2012, at 1:56 a.m.
          • 42P-43D-64R-52, rollout
            Nack Ballard -- Thursday, 26 January 2012, at 7:08 a.m.
          • 42P-43D-64R-52, rollout
            Casper van der Tak -- Thursday, 26 January 2012, at 7:11 a.m.
      • 31P-43D-64R-52, rollout
        Nack Ballard -- Thursday, 26 January 2012, at 5:05 a.m.
      • ( xxP)-43D-64R-52, summary of five positions
        Nack Ballard -- Thursday, 26 January 2012, at 6:04 a.m.
    • 43D 64R 52?
      Nack Ballard -- Wednesday, 25 January 2012, at 4:54 a.m.
      • 43D-64R-52, rollout
        Nack Ballard -- Wednesday, 25 January 2012, at 6:28 p.m.
  • What would you play? and why :)
    Turz -- Wednesday, 25 January 2012, at 10:13 a.m.