
              
 
              
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 124 | 7 point match | pip: 86 score: 0
Blue is Player 1 | |
XGID=--ABbaJ--B--aa-----bbabba-:0:0:1:43:0:0:0:7:10 |
Blue to play 43 |
1. | Rollout1 | 6/3 6/2 | eq: +0,981 |
| Player: Opponent: | 73,60% (G:11,10% B:0,17%) 26,40% (G:2,26% B:0,07%) | Conf.: ± 0,012 (+0,969...+0,993) - [100,0%] Duration: 9 minutes 21 seconds |
|
2. | Rollout1 | 9/5* 5/2 | eq: +0,859 (-0,122) |
| Player: Opponent: | 75,87% (G:16,01% B:0,42%) 24,13% (G:1,99% B:0,07%) | Conf.: ± 0,008 (+0,851...+0,867) - [0,0%] Duration: 4 minutes 28 seconds |
|
|
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01, MET: GnuBG 11 point
I still cann not understand why my move didn't win the RO. With the cube centered, the play with the best gwc should give me the best opportunity to double next roll.
Now with the right cubeaction:

              
 
              
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 124 | 7 point match | pip: 86 score: 0
Blue is Player 1 | |
XGID=--ABbaJ--B--aa-----bbabba-:1:-1:1:43:0:0:0:7:10 |
Blue to play 43 |
1. | Rollout1 | 9/5* 5/2 | eq: +0,614 |
| Player: Opponent: | 77,98% (G:15,44% B:0,52%) 22,02% (G:1,70% B:0,07%) | Conf.: ± 0,007 (+0,607...+0,621) - [100,0%] Duration: 9 minutes 40 seconds |
|
2. | Rollout1 | 6/3 6/2 | eq: +0,481 (-0,133) |
| Player: Opponent: | 73,60% (G:11,10% B:0,17%) 26,40% (G:2,26% B:0,07%) | Conf.: ± 0,006 (+0,476...+0,487) - [0,0%] Duration: 6 minutes 56 seconds |
|
|
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01, MET: GnuBG 11 point
DMP here:

              
 
              
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 124 | 1 point match | pip: 86 score: 0
Blue is Player 1 | |
XGID=--ABbaJ--B--aa-----bbabba-:0:0:1:43:0:0:0:1:10 |
Blue to play 43 |
1. | Rollout1 | 9/5* 5/2 | eq: +0,541 |
| Player: Opponent: | 77,04% (G:24,21% B:0,82%) 22,96% (G:1,40% B:0,10%) | Conf.: ± 0,004 (+0,537...+0,545) - [100,0%] Duration: 13 minutes 50 seconds |
|
2. | Rollout1 | 6/3 6/2 | eq: +0,455 (-0,086) |
| Player: Opponent: | 72,75% (G:18,17% B:0,30%) 27,25% (G:1,63% B:0,05%) | Conf.: ± 0,004 (+0,451...+0,459) - [0,0%] Duration: 10 minutes 43 seconds |
|
|
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01, MET: GnuBG 11 point
And yes, sure, MD on my part before I rolled 43:

              
 
              
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 124 | 7 point match | pip: 86 score: 0
Blue is Player 1 | |
XGID=--ABbaJ--B--aa-----bbabba-:0:0:1:00:0:0:0:7:10 |
Blue on roll, cube action? |
Analyzed in XG Roller++ | No double | Double/Take |
Player Winning Chances: | 68,77% (G:10,57% B:0,18%) | 69,70% (G:10,80% B:0,18%) |
Opponent Winning Chances: | 31,23% (G:2,83% B:0,07%) | 30,30% (G:2,74% B:0,07%) |
Cubeless Equities | +0,457 | +0,979 |
Cubeful Equities |
No double: | +0,621 (-0,131) | |
Double/Take: | +0,752 | |
Double/Pass: | +1,000 (+0,248) |
|
Best Cube action: Double / Take |
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01, MET: GnuBG 11 point