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RO surprise: 6/3 6/2 ... 61 13/6 ... D/P!

Posted By: Daniel Murphy
Date: Tuesday, 15 May 2012, at 4:36 a.m.

In Response To: RO surprise: 9/5*/2 ... any ... cube action (Daniel Murphy)

The score (after 0 games) is: White 0, Blue 0

Move number 5: Blue on roll, cube decision?

White117

1X2X2X1X2X3X ' ' ' ' '1X

 '2O3O2X1X8O ' '2O ' ' '
Blue79
Position ID: be1AgAZ2/GMAAA Match ID: cAkAAAAAAAAE

• Blue doubles

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity +0.5796 
Cubeful equities:
1.Double, pass +1.0000 
2.Double, take +1.0335 +0.0335
3.No double +0.7672 -0.2328
Proper cube action:Double, pass
Rollout details
 WinW gW bg LoseL gL bgCubelessCubeful
Centered 1-cube0.74170.11540.0020-0.25830.02090.0004 +0.5796 +0.7672
Standard error0.00120.00130.0002-0.00120.00070.0001 0.0027 0.0055
Player White owns 2-cube0.75330.12380.0018-0.24670.01900.0004 +1.2254 +1.0335
Standard error0.00140.00150.0002-0.00140.00070.0000 0.0059 0.0087
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 914958680 and quasi-random dice
Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

 

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