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RO surprise: 6/3 6/2 ... 21 4/1 ... D/Pass

Posted By: Daniel Murphy
Date: Wednesday, 16 May 2012, at 1:06 a.m.

In Response To: RO surprise: 6/3 6/2 ... 62 12/4 ... D/T (Daniel Murphy)

The score (after 0 games) is: White 0, Blue 0

Move number 5: Blue on roll, cube decision?

White121

2X2X2X '2X2X ' ' ' ' '1X

 '2O3O2X1X8O ' '2O ' '1X
Blue79
Position ID: 22yggAZ2/GMAAA Match ID: cAkAAAAAAAAE

• Blue doubles

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity +0.5892
Cubeful equities:
1.Double, pass +1.0000
2.Double, take +1.0436 +0.0436
3.No double +0.7775 -0.2225
Proper cube action:Double, pass
Rollout details
WinW gW bg LoseL gL bgCubelessCubeful
Centered 1-cube0.73620.13690.0015-0.26380.02110.0006 +0.5892 +0.7775
Standard error0.00120.00150.0001-0.00120.00080.0002 0.0028 0.0055
Player White owns 2-cube0.74400.15710.0016-0.25600.02030.0005 +1.2517 +1.0436
Standard error0.00130.00160.0002-0.00130.00080.0002 0.0058 0.0078
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 914958680 and quasi-random dice
Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

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