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4ply XG2 rollouts where split or Up are best

Posted By: Dmitriy Obukhov
Date: Friday, 2 August 2013, at 3:52 a.m.

In Response To: Never? (David Rockwell)

In the second position cube is accidently on leader's side. So, this rollout is equivalent to 1away-7away Post Crofford. Personally, I have some doubts in 3ply rollouts for this particular opening.

Anyway, Split is very competitiv. Could be best.





White is Player 2

score: 1
pip: 167
7 point match
pip: 167
score: 6

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-b----E-C---eE---c-e----B-:0:0:1:43:6:1:0:7:10
Blue to play 43
1.Rollout124/20 13/10eq: -0.9306
Player:
Opponent:
49.22% (G:15.99% B:2.43%)
50.78% (G:13.62% B:0.48%)
Conf.: 0.0014 (-0.9320...-0.9292) - [53.1%]
Duration: 2 days 01 hour 15 minutes
2.Rollout124/21 13/9eq: -0.9310 (-0.0004)
Player:
Opponent:
49.23% (G:16.32% B:2.54%)
50.77% (G:13.63% B:0.49%)
Conf.: 0.0014 (-0.9324...-0.9296) - [29.2%]
Duration: 2 days 00 hour 35 minutes
3.Rollout124/21 24/20eq: -0.9312 (-0.0006)
Player:
Opponent:
49.18% (G:15.12% B:2.28%)
50.82% (G:13.85% B:0.38%)
Conf.: 0.0014 (-0.9327...-0.9298) - [17.7%]
Duration: 2 days 01 hour 08 minutes
4.Rollout213/10 13/9eq: -0.9480 (-0.0174)
Player:
Opponent:
49.10% (G:17.55% B:2.77%)
50.90% (G:14.16% B:0.54%)
Conf.: 0.0043 (-0.9523...-0.9438) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 hours 13 minutes
1 46656 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 75109221
Moves and cube decisions: 4-ply

2 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 75109221
Moves and cube decisions: 4-ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 167
7 point match
Crawford
pip: 167
score: 6

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-b----E-C---eE---c-e----B-:1:1:1:34:6:0:1:7:10
Blue to play 34
1.Rollout124/20 13/10eq: -0.2131
Player:
Opponent:
49.28% (G:15.94% B:2.49%)
50.72% (G:13.65% B:0.50%)
Conf.: 0.0009 (-0.2140...-0.2122) - [53.8%]
Duration: 2 days 00 hour 21 minutes
2.Rollout124/21 13/9eq: -0.2132 (-0.0001)
Player:
Opponent:
49.28% (G:16.33% B:2.58%)
50.72% (G:13.64% B:0.52%)
Conf.: 0.0009 (-0.2141...-0.2123) - [41.9%]
Duration: 1 day 23 hours 45 minutes
3.Rollout224/21 24/20eq: -0.2153 (-0.0022)
Player:
Opponent:
49.33% (G:15.49% B:2.42%)
50.67% (G:14.00% B:0.42%)
Conf.: 0.0026 (-0.2179...-0.2126) - [4.3%]
Duration: 5 hours 33 minutes
4.Rollout213/10 13/9eq: -0.2241 (-0.0111)
Player:
Opponent:
49.25% (G:17.62% B:2.85%)
50.75% (G:14.16% B:0.68%)
Conf.: 0.0027 (-0.2268...-0.2215) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 hours 09 minutes
1 46656 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 75109221
First 1 moves and cube decisions: 4-ply
Remaining moves and cube decisions: 4-ply

2 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 75109221
First 1 moves and cube decisions: 4-ply
Remaining moves and cube decisions: 4-ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2





White is Player 2

score: 6
pip: 167
7 point match
pip: 167
score: 5

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-b----E-C---eE---c-e----B-:0:0:1:34:5:6:0:7:10
Blue to play 34
1.Rollout124/21 24/20eq: +0.9347
Player:
Opponent:
50.06% (G:12.18% B:0.74%)
49.94% (G:13.83% B:0.91%)
Conf.: 0.0022 (+0.9325...+0.9369) - [99.8%]
Duration: 4 hours 38 minutes
2.Rollout124/21 13/9eq: +0.9293 (-0.0053)
Player:
Opponent:
50.13% (G:14.23% B:0.88%)
49.87% (G:14.30% B:1.23%)
Conf.: 0.0026 (+0.9267...+0.9320) - [0.1%]
Duration: 6 hours 41 minutes
3.Rollout124/20 13/10eq: +0.9291 (-0.0056)
Player:
Opponent:
50.20% (G:13.73% B:0.92%)
49.80% (G:14.46% B:1.07%)
Conf.: 0.0025 (+0.9266...+0.9317) - [0.1%]
Duration: 5 hours 53 minutes
4.Rollout113/10 13/9eq: +0.9240 (-0.0106)
Player:
Opponent:
49.95% (G:15.81% B:1.37%)
50.05% (G:15.21% B:1.87%)
Conf.: 0.0031 (+0.9209...+0.9271) - [0.0%]
Duration: 7 hours 42 minutes
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 4-ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

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