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BGonline.org Forums
Proper Cube Action
Posted By: John O'Hagan In Response To: Proper Cube Action (HOMINID)
Date: Monday, 28 October 2013, at 2:03 a.m.
Hominid wrote: "Count the rolls, there are no rolls that leave a direct hit for black and only five chances which leave an indirect hit for eight chances for black to hit."
Not quite right. White should leave a direct shot with 55 since that leaves just two more shots (11 vs. 9) than 7/2(2) 6/1(2)but with a lot less double jeopardy if not hit and better gammon chances as well. Six more numbers leave some number of indirect shots: 53 leaves nine shots, 21 leaves nine or ten (depending on how you play the ace), and 41 (played 7/3x/2) leaves six shots. That totals about 60/1296 hits on the next sequence, a little over 4.5%.
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